A Escola das Odds

Karolina Muchova v Anastasia Zakharova

Início: 2026-06-29 17:47 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Karolina Muchova (Local)

Previsão 84.07%1.19odd justa
EV -3.32%
Vantagem -2.88%
Kelly -22.11%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
81.70%83.96%84.13%85.37%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.091.121.121.1591.74%89.11%89.29%86.96%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Anastasia Zakharova (Visitante)

Previsão 15.93%6.28odd justa
EV +6.87%
Vantagem +1.02%
Kelly +1.20%
Crescimento +0.083%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.71

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
14.63%16.04%15.87%18.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.005.916.006.7120.00%16.92%16.67%14.90%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
1xBet1.15I 86.96%NM 85.37%EV -3.32%E -2.88%K -22.11%G +0.000%6.71I 14.90%NM 14.63%EV +6.87%E +1.02%K +1.20%G +0.083%1.9%2026-06-29 17:39
Winamax (DE)1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV +3.53%E +0.542%K +0.641%G +0.023%3.9%2026-06-29 17:27
BoyleSports1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +3.53%E +0.542%K +0.641%G +0.023%4.7%2026-06-29 17:11
DraftKings1.13I 88.50%NM 84.71%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000%6.26I 15.97%NM 15.29%EV -0.297%E -0.047%K -0.056%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-29 17:40
MyBookie.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -0.456%E -0.073%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 17:40
Fanatics1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -2.85%E -0.466%K -0.558%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 17:40
Unibet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -2.85%E -0.466%K -0.558%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 17:10
BetRivers1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -2.85%E -0.466%K -0.558%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 17:10
Unibet (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -2.85%E -0.466%K -0.558%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 17:10
Casumo1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -2.85%E -0.466%K -0.558%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 17:11
Unibet (NL)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -2.85%E -0.466%K -0.558%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 17:10
ATG (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -2.85%E -0.466%K -0.558%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 17:10
Svenska Spel1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -2.85%E -0.466%K -0.558%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 17:10
betPARX1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -2.85%E -0.466%K -0.558%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 17:10
Pinnacle1.14I 87.72%NM 84.23%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%6.09I 16.42%NM 15.77%EV -3.00%E -0.493%K -0.590%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 17:41
BetOnline.ag1.14I 87.72%NM 84.23%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%6.09I 16.42%NM 15.77%EV -3.00%E -0.493%K -0.590%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 17:40
SportsBet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV -3.64%E -0.602%K -0.721%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 17:10
Unibet (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 17:39
Coolbet1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 17:41
Sky Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 17:11
Bovada1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 17:31
PointsBet (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 17:31
Betway1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 17:10
Everygame1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 17:11
Betr (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 17:38
Winamax (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 17:31
betfred_uk1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 17:10
Hard Rock Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 17:10
888sport1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.68%E -6.02%K -60.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 17:30
TABtouch1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.68%E -6.02%K -60.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 17:40
Grosvenor1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.68%E -6.02%K -60.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 17:40
Mr Green (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.68%E -6.02%K -60.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 17:30
888sport (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.68%E -6.02%K -60.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 17:30
FanDuel1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV -6.03%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 17:11
Fliff1.09I 91.74%NM 84.29%EV -8.36%E -7.67%K -92.89%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.71%EV -6.83%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-29 17:40
NordicBet1.12I 89.29%NM 83.88%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%5.83I 17.15%NM 16.12%EV -7.15%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 17:40
Betsson1.12I 89.29%NM 83.88%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%5.83I 17.15%NM 16.12%EV -7.15%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 17:40
Marathon Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -7.62%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 17:40
LeoVegas1.10I 90.91%NM 84.06%EV -7.52%E -6.84%K -75.20%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -7.62%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-29 17:40
PMU (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 84.06%EV -7.52%E -6.84%K -75.20%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -7.62%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-29 17:40
Virgin Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 84.06%EV -7.52%E -6.84%K -75.20%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -7.62%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-29 17:40
LiveScore Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 84.06%EV -7.52%E -6.84%K -75.20%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -7.62%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-29 17:40
Bally Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 84.06%EV -7.52%E -6.84%K -75.20%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -7.62%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-29 17:40
BetUS1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 17:10
BetAnything1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 17:41
theScore Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 17:40
Coral1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 17:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 17:10
BetMGM1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.09I 91.74%NM 84.06%EV -8.36%E -7.67%K -92.89%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.94%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-29 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -10.81%E -1.93%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 17:10
Neds1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -10.81%E -1.93%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 17:11
Dabble (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.32%E -2.88%K -22.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -12.40%E -2.25%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 17:10
PlayUp1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.40%E -2.25%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 17:40
William Hill1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.40%E -2.25%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 17:10
TAB1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -12.40%E -2.25%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 17:40
Paddy Power1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -12.40%E -2.25%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 17:09
Caesars1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -12.40%E -2.25%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 17:10
Betclic (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -6.68%E -6.02%K -60.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -12.40%E -2.25%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-29 17:38
Bet Victor1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -20.36%E -4.07%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-29 17:37
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.5%2026-06-29 17:41
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-06-29 17:41
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-06-29 17:41
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-06-29 17:40
ProphetX1.15I 86.96%NM 84.97%6.50I 15.38%NM 15.03%2.3%2026-06-29 17:40
Novig1.14I 87.72%NM 84.17%6.06I 16.50%NM 15.83%4.2%2026-06-29 17:41
Smarkets1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%4.8%2026-06-29 17:41