Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Karolina Muchova v Anastasia Zakharova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-29 17:47 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Karolina Muchova (Local)

Prévision 84.07%1.19cote équitable
EV -3.32%
Avantage -2.88%
Kelly -22.11%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
81.70%83.96%84.13%85.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.091.121.121.1591.74%89.11%89.29%86.96%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Anastasia Zakharova (Visiteur)

Prévision 15.93%6.28cote équitable
EV +6.87%
Avantage +1.02%
Kelly +1.20%
Croissance +0.083%

avec la cote maximale 6.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.63%16.04%15.87%18.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.005.916.006.7120.00%16.92%16.67%14.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Karolina Muchova (Local) : 84.07% ; Anastasia Zakharova (Visiteur) : 15.93%. Pour Anastasia Zakharova (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 6.28. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.71, soit une espérance positive de +6.87%.

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 85.37%EV -3.32%E -2.88%K -22.11%G +0.000%6.71I 14.90%NM 14.63%EV +6.87%E +1.02%K +1.20%G +0.083%1.9%2026-06-29 17:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV +3.53%E +0.542%K +0.641%G +0.023%3.9%2026-06-29 17:27
BoyleSports🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +3.53%E +0.542%K +0.641%G +0.023%4.7%2026-06-29 17:11
DraftKings🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.71%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000%6.26I 15.97%NM 15.29%EV -0.297%E -0.047%K -0.056%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-29 17:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -0.456%E -0.073%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 17:40
Fanatics🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -2.85%E -0.466%K -0.558%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 17:40
Unibet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -2.85%E -0.466%K -0.558%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 17:10
BetRivers🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -2.85%E -0.466%K -0.558%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 17:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -2.85%E -0.466%K -0.558%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 17:10
Casumo🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -2.85%E -0.466%K -0.558%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 17:11
Unibet (NL)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -2.85%E -0.466%K -0.558%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 17:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -2.85%E -0.466%K -0.558%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 17:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -2.85%E -0.466%K -0.558%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 17:10
betPARX🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -2.85%E -0.466%K -0.558%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 17:10
Pinnacle🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.23%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%6.09I 16.42%NM 15.77%EV -3.00%E -0.493%K -0.590%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 17:41
BetOnline.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.23%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%6.09I 16.42%NM 15.77%EV -3.00%E -0.493%K -0.590%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 17:40
SportsBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV -3.64%E -0.602%K -0.721%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 17:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 17:39
Coolbet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 17:41
Sky Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 17:11
Bovada🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 17:31
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 17:31
Betway🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 17:10
Everygame🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 17:11
Betr (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 17:38
Winamax (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 17:31
betfred_uk🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 17:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 17:10
888sport🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.68%E -6.02%K -60.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 17:30
TABtouch🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.68%E -6.02%K -60.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 17:40
Grosvenor🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.68%E -6.02%K -60.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 17:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.68%E -6.02%K -60.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 17:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.68%E -6.02%K -60.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 17:30
FanDuel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV -6.03%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 17:11
Fliff🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.29%EV -8.36%E -7.67%K -92.89%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.71%EV -6.83%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-29 17:40
NordicBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.88%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%5.83I 17.15%NM 16.12%EV -7.15%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 17:40
Betsson🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.88%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%5.83I 17.15%NM 16.12%EV -7.15%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 17:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -7.62%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 17:40
LeoVegas🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.06%EV -7.52%E -6.84%K -75.20%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -7.62%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-29 17:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.06%EV -7.52%E -6.84%K -75.20%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -7.62%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-29 17:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.06%EV -7.52%E -6.84%K -75.20%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -7.62%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-29 17:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.06%EV -7.52%E -6.84%K -75.20%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -7.62%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-29 17:40
Bally Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.06%EV -7.52%E -6.84%K -75.20%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -7.62%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-29 17:40
BetUS🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 17:10
BetAnything🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 17:41
theScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 17:40
Coral🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 17:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 17:10
BetMGM🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.06%EV -8.36%E -7.67%K -92.89%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.94%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-29 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -10.81%E -1.93%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 17:10
Neds🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -10.81%E -1.93%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 17:11
Dabble (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.32%E -2.88%K -22.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -12.40%E -2.25%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 17:10
PlayUp🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.40%E -2.25%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 17:40
William Hill🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.40%E -2.25%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 17:10
TAB🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -12.40%E -2.25%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 17:40
Paddy Power🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -12.40%E -2.25%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 17:09
Caesars🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -12.40%E -2.25%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 17:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -6.68%E -6.02%K -60.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -12.40%E -2.25%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-29 17:38
Bet Victor🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -20.36%E -4.07%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-29 17:37
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.5%2026-06-29 17:41
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-06-29 17:41
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-06-29 17:41
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-06-29 17:40
ProphetX1.15I 86.96%NM 84.97%6.50I 15.38%NM 15.03%2.3%2026-06-29 17:40
Novig1.14I 87.72%NM 84.17%6.06I 16.50%NM 15.83%4.2%2026-06-29 17:41
Smarkets1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%4.8%2026-06-29 17:41