Language:English
Jessica Pegula v Darja Vidmanova
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jessica Pegula (Local)
Prediction 93.57%1.07fair odd
EV +1.06%
Edge +0.979%
Kelly +13.21%
Growth +0.140%
assuming max odds 1.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
85.75%93.30%93.73%96.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.001.021.021.08100.00%97.87%98.04%92.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Darja Vidmanova (Visit)
Prediction 6.43%15.56fair odd
EV +67.15%
Edge +2.58%
Kelly +2.69%
Growth +1.80%
assuming max odds 26.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
3.74%6.70%6.27%14.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.5015.5914.5026.0015.38%6.42%6.90%3.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jessica Pegula (Local): 93.57%; Darja Vidmanova (Visit): 6.43%. For Darja Vidmanova (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 15.56. 24 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 26.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +67.15%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 96.23%EV -4.56%E -4.47%K -227.87%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.77%EV +67.15%E +2.58%K +2.69%G +1.80% | 1.9% | 2026-06-29 10:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -5.49%E -5.44%K -549.30%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +67.15%E +2.58%K +2.69%G +1.80% | 2.9% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12%EV -5.49%E -5.44%K -549.30%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88%EV +60.72%E +2.43%K +2.53%G +1.54% | 3.0% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -5.49%E -5.44%K -549.30%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +47.86%E +2.08%K +2.18%G +1.04% | 3.4% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -5.49%E -5.44%K -549.30%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +47.86%E +2.08%K +2.18%G +1.04% | 3.4% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -5.49%E -5.44%K -549.30%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +47.86%E +2.08%K +2.18%G +1.04% | 3.4% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -5.49%E -5.44%K -549.30%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +47.86%E +2.08%K +2.18%G +1.04% | 3.4% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -5.49%E -5.44%K -549.30%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +47.86%E +2.08%K +2.18%G +1.04% | 3.4% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -4.56%E -4.47%K -227.87%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +35.00%E +1.67%K +1.75%G +0.613% | 2.8% | 2026-06-29 10:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -4.56%E -4.47%K -227.87%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +35.00%E +1.67%K +1.75%G +0.613% | 2.8% | 2026-06-29 10:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -4.56%E -4.47%K -227.87%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +35.00%E +1.67%K +1.75%G +0.613% | 2.8% | 2026-06-29 10:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -5.49%E -5.44%K -549.30%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +35.00%E +1.67%K +1.75%G +0.613% | 3.8% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -5.49%E -5.44%K -549.30%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +35.00%E +1.67%K +1.75%G +0.613% | 3.8% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -6.43%E -6.43%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +35.00%E +1.67%K +1.75%G +0.613% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 10:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -6.43%E -6.43%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +35.00%E +1.67%K +1.75%G +0.613% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -6.43%E -6.43%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +35.00%E +1.67%K +1.75%G +0.613% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 10:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -6.43%E -6.43%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +35.00%E +1.67%K +1.75%G +0.613% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 10:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -5.49%E -5.44%K -549.30%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +28.58%E +1.43%K +1.50%G +0.430% | 4.0% | 2026-06-29 10:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.00%EV -6.43%E -6.43%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV +22.15%E +1.17%K +1.23%G +0.272% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.64%EV -4.56%E -4.47%K -227.87%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV +15.72%E +0.873%K +0.925%G +0.145% | 3.6% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.49%E -5.44%K -549.30%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +9.29%E +0.546%K +0.581%G +0.054% | 4.9% | 2026-06-29 10:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -5.49%E -5.44%K -549.30%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV +2.86%E +0.179%K +0.191%G +0.005% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -5.49%E -5.44%K -549.30%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV +2.86%E +0.179%K +0.191%G +0.005% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -5.49%E -5.44%K -549.30%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV +2.86%E +0.179%K +0.191%G +0.005% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 10:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.88%EV -5.49%E -5.44%K -549.30%G +0.000% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.12%EV -0.354%E -0.023%K -0.024%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 10:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.62%E -3.52%K -120.72%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -3.57%E -0.238%K -0.255%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-29 10:18 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.49%E -5.44%K -549.30%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -3.57%E -0.238%K -0.255%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 10:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.49%E -5.44%K -549.30%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -3.57%E -0.238%K -0.255%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 10:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.49%E -5.44%K -549.30%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -3.57%E -0.238%K -0.255%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 10:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.49%E -5.44%K -549.30%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -3.57%E -0.238%K -0.255%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 10:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.49%EV -5.49%E -5.44%K -549.30%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.51%EV -6.78%E -0.468%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.49%EV -5.49%E -5.44%K -549.30%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.51%EV -6.78%E -0.468%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -2.69%E -2.58%K -67.15%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -16.43%E -1.26%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-29 10:13 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -2.69%E -2.58%K -67.15%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -16.43%E -1.26%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-29 10:12 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.56%E -4.47%K -227.87%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -16.43%E -1.26%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 10:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.49%E -5.44%K -549.30%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -16.43%E -1.26%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 10:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.49%E -5.44%K -549.30%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -16.43%E -1.26%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 10:18 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.61%EV -3.62%E -3.52%K -120.72%G +0.000% | 12.90I 7.75%NM 7.39%EV -17.07%E -1.32%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -2.69%E -2.58%K -67.15%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -19.64%E -1.57%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -3.62%E -3.52%K -120.72%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -19.64%E -1.57%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 10:08 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -3.62%E -3.52%K -120.72%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -19.64%E -1.57%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 10:06 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -3.62%E -3.52%K -120.72%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -19.64%E -1.57%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 10:08 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -3.62%E -3.52%K -120.72%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -19.64%E -1.57%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.56%E -4.47%K -227.87%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -22.85%E -1.90%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.56%E -4.47%K -227.87%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -22.85%E -1.90%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -5.49%E -5.44%K -549.30%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -22.85%E -1.90%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.93%EV -5.49%E -5.44%K -549.30%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -26.07%E -2.27%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.50%EV -2.69%E -2.58%K -67.15%G +0.000% | 11.20I 8.93%NM 8.50%EV -28.00%E -2.50%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -1.75%E -1.67%K -35.00%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -29.28%E -2.66%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 09:58 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -2.69%E -2.58%K -67.15%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -29.28%E -2.66%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -2.69%E -2.58%K -67.15%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -29.28%E -2.66%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -2.69%E -2.58%K -67.15%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -29.28%E -2.66%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -4.56%E -4.47%K -227.87%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -29.28%E -2.66%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.10%EV -1.75%E -1.67%K -35.00%G +0.000% | 10.75I 9.30%NM 8.90%EV -30.89%E -2.87%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-29 10:08 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.06%EV -1.75%E -1.67%K -35.00%G +0.000% | 10.70I 9.35%NM 8.94%EV -31.21%E -2.92%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -2.69%E -2.58%K -67.15%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -32.50%E -3.10%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -4.56%E -4.47%K -227.87%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -32.50%E -3.10%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.89%EV -1.75%E -1.67%K -35.00%G +0.000% | 10.48I 9.54%NM 9.11%EV -32.63%E -3.11%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -2.69%E -2.58%K -67.15%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -34.11%E -3.33%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -2.69%E -2.58%K -67.15%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -35.71%E -3.57%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -2.69%E -2.58%K -67.15%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -35.71%E -3.57%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 09:58 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV +1.06%E +0.979%K +13.21%G +0.140% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -58.21%E -8.96%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-29 10:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.68% | 30.03I 3.33%NM 3.32% | 0.4% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.02I 98.04%NM 97.51% | 40.00I 2.50%NM 2.49% | 0.5% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81% | 0.9% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81% | 0.9% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81% | 0.9% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.02I 98.04%NM 96.49% | 28.00I 3.57%NM 3.51% | 1.6% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.00I 100.00%NM 96.15% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.85% | 4.0% | 2026-06-29 10:19 |