Idioma:Español
Jessica Pegula v Darja Vidmanova
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jessica Pegula (Local)
Predicción 93.57%1.07momio equitativo
EV +1.06%
Ventaja +0.979%
Kelly +13.21%
Crecimiento +0.140%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.08
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
85.75%93.30%93.73%96.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.001.021.021.08100.00%97.87%98.04%92.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Darja Vidmanova (Visitante)
Predicción 6.43%15.56momio equitativo
EV +67.15%
Ventaja +2.58%
Kelly +2.69%
Crecimiento +1.80%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 26.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
3.74%6.70%6.27%14.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
6.5015.5914.5026.0015.38%6.42%6.90%3.85%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Jessica Pegula (Local): 93.57%; Darja Vidmanova (Visitante): 6.43%. Para Darja Vidmanova (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 15.56. 24 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 26.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +67.15%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 96.23%EV -4.56%E -4.47%K -227.87%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.77%EV +67.15%E +2.58%K +2.69%G +1.80% | 1.9% | 2026-06-29 10:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -5.49%E -5.44%K -549.30%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +67.15%E +2.58%K +2.69%G +1.80% | 2.9% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12%EV -5.49%E -5.44%K -549.30%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88%EV +60.72%E +2.43%K +2.53%G +1.54% | 3.0% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -5.49%E -5.44%K -549.30%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +47.86%E +2.08%K +2.18%G +1.04% | 3.4% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -5.49%E -5.44%K -549.30%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +47.86%E +2.08%K +2.18%G +1.04% | 3.4% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -5.49%E -5.44%K -549.30%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +47.86%E +2.08%K +2.18%G +1.04% | 3.4% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -5.49%E -5.44%K -549.30%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +47.86%E +2.08%K +2.18%G +1.04% | 3.4% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -5.49%E -5.44%K -549.30%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +47.86%E +2.08%K +2.18%G +1.04% | 3.4% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -4.56%E -4.47%K -227.87%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +35.00%E +1.67%K +1.75%G +0.613% | 2.8% | 2026-06-29 10:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -4.56%E -4.47%K -227.87%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +35.00%E +1.67%K +1.75%G +0.613% | 2.8% | 2026-06-29 10:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -4.56%E -4.47%K -227.87%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +35.00%E +1.67%K +1.75%G +0.613% | 2.8% | 2026-06-29 10:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -5.49%E -5.44%K -549.30%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +35.00%E +1.67%K +1.75%G +0.613% | 3.8% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -5.49%E -5.44%K -549.30%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +35.00%E +1.67%K +1.75%G +0.613% | 3.8% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -6.43%E -6.43%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +35.00%E +1.67%K +1.75%G +0.613% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 10:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -6.43%E -6.43%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +35.00%E +1.67%K +1.75%G +0.613% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -6.43%E -6.43%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +35.00%E +1.67%K +1.75%G +0.613% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 10:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -6.43%E -6.43%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +35.00%E +1.67%K +1.75%G +0.613% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 10:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -5.49%E -5.44%K -549.30%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +28.58%E +1.43%K +1.50%G +0.430% | 4.0% | 2026-06-29 10:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.00%EV -6.43%E -6.43%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV +22.15%E +1.17%K +1.23%G +0.272% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.64%EV -4.56%E -4.47%K -227.87%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV +15.72%E +0.873%K +0.925%G +0.145% | 3.6% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.49%E -5.44%K -549.30%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +9.29%E +0.546%K +0.581%G +0.054% | 4.9% | 2026-06-29 10:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -5.49%E -5.44%K -549.30%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV +2.86%E +0.179%K +0.191%G +0.005% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -5.49%E -5.44%K -549.30%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV +2.86%E +0.179%K +0.191%G +0.005% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -5.49%E -5.44%K -549.30%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV +2.86%E +0.179%K +0.191%G +0.005% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 10:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.88%EV -5.49%E -5.44%K -549.30%G +0.000% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.12%EV -0.354%E -0.023%K -0.024%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 10:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.62%E -3.52%K -120.72%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -3.57%E -0.238%K -0.255%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-29 10:18 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.49%E -5.44%K -549.30%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -3.57%E -0.238%K -0.255%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 10:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.49%E -5.44%K -549.30%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -3.57%E -0.238%K -0.255%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 10:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.49%E -5.44%K -549.30%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -3.57%E -0.238%K -0.255%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 10:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.49%E -5.44%K -549.30%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -3.57%E -0.238%K -0.255%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 10:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.49%EV -5.49%E -5.44%K -549.30%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.51%EV -6.78%E -0.468%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.49%EV -5.49%E -5.44%K -549.30%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.51%EV -6.78%E -0.468%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -2.69%E -2.58%K -67.15%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -16.43%E -1.26%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-29 10:13 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -2.69%E -2.58%K -67.15%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -16.43%E -1.26%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-29 10:12 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.56%E -4.47%K -227.87%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -16.43%E -1.26%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 10:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.49%E -5.44%K -549.30%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -16.43%E -1.26%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 10:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.49%E -5.44%K -549.30%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -16.43%E -1.26%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 10:18 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.61%EV -3.62%E -3.52%K -120.72%G +0.000% | 12.90I 7.75%NM 7.39%EV -17.07%E -1.32%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -2.69%E -2.58%K -67.15%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -19.64%E -1.57%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -3.62%E -3.52%K -120.72%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -19.64%E -1.57%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 10:08 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -3.62%E -3.52%K -120.72%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -19.64%E -1.57%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 10:06 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -3.62%E -3.52%K -120.72%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -19.64%E -1.57%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 10:08 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -3.62%E -3.52%K -120.72%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -19.64%E -1.57%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.56%E -4.47%K -227.87%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -22.85%E -1.90%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.56%E -4.47%K -227.87%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -22.85%E -1.90%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -5.49%E -5.44%K -549.30%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -22.85%E -1.90%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.93%EV -5.49%E -5.44%K -549.30%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -26.07%E -2.27%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.50%EV -2.69%E -2.58%K -67.15%G +0.000% | 11.20I 8.93%NM 8.50%EV -28.00%E -2.50%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -1.75%E -1.67%K -35.00%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -29.28%E -2.66%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 09:58 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -2.69%E -2.58%K -67.15%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -29.28%E -2.66%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -2.69%E -2.58%K -67.15%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -29.28%E -2.66%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -2.69%E -2.58%K -67.15%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -29.28%E -2.66%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -4.56%E -4.47%K -227.87%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -29.28%E -2.66%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.10%EV -1.75%E -1.67%K -35.00%G +0.000% | 10.75I 9.30%NM 8.90%EV -30.89%E -2.87%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-29 10:08 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.06%EV -1.75%E -1.67%K -35.00%G +0.000% | 10.70I 9.35%NM 8.94%EV -31.21%E -2.92%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -2.69%E -2.58%K -67.15%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -32.50%E -3.10%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -4.56%E -4.47%K -227.87%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -32.50%E -3.10%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.89%EV -1.75%E -1.67%K -35.00%G +0.000% | 10.48I 9.54%NM 9.11%EV -32.63%E -3.11%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -2.69%E -2.58%K -67.15%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -34.11%E -3.33%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -2.69%E -2.58%K -67.15%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -35.71%E -3.57%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -2.69%E -2.58%K -67.15%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -35.71%E -3.57%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 09:58 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV +1.06%E +0.979%K +13.21%G +0.140% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -58.21%E -8.96%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-29 10:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.68% | 30.03I 3.33%NM 3.32% | 0.4% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.02I 98.04%NM 97.51% | 40.00I 2.50%NM 2.49% | 0.5% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81% | 0.9% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81% | 0.9% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81% | 0.9% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.02I 98.04%NM 96.49% | 28.00I 3.57%NM 3.51% | 1.6% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.00I 100.00%NM 96.15% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.85% | 4.0% | 2026-06-29 10:19 |