StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Jessica Pegula v Darja Vidmanova

Matchstart: 2026-06-29 11:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

62 spelbolag (22 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Jessica Pegula (Hemma)

Prognos 93.57%1.07rättvist odds
EV +1.06%
Fördel +0.979%
Kelly +13.21%
Tillväxt +0.140%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.08

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
85.75%93.30%93.73%96.26%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.001.021.021.08100.00%97.87%98.04%92.59%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Darja Vidmanova (Borta)

Prognos 6.43%15.56rättvist odds
EV +67.15%
Fördel +2.58%
Kelly +2.69%
Tillväxt +1.80%

med antagandet om högsta odds 26.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
3.74%6.70%6.27%14.25%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
6.5015.5914.5026.0015.38%6.42%6.90%3.85%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Jessica Pegula (Hemma): 93.57%; Darja Vidmanova (Borta): 6.43%. För Darja Vidmanova (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 15.56. 24 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 26.00, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +67.15%.

Spelbolagsodds (62 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
DraftKings🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 96.23%EV -4.56%E -4.47%K -227.87%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.77%EV +67.15%E +2.58%K +2.69%G +1.80%1.9%2026-06-29 10:19
BoyleSports🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -5.49%E -5.44%K -549.30%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +67.15%E +2.58%K +2.69%G +1.80%2.9%2026-06-29 10:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12%EV -5.49%E -5.44%K -549.30%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88%EV +60.72%E +2.43%K +2.53%G +1.54%3.0%2026-06-29 10:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -5.49%E -5.44%K -549.30%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +47.86%E +2.08%K +2.18%G +1.04%3.4%2026-06-29 10:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -5.49%E -5.44%K -549.30%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +47.86%E +2.08%K +2.18%G +1.04%3.4%2026-06-29 10:20
Casumo🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -5.49%E -5.44%K -549.30%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +47.86%E +2.08%K +2.18%G +1.04%3.4%2026-06-29 10:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -5.49%E -5.44%K -549.30%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +47.86%E +2.08%K +2.18%G +1.04%3.4%2026-06-29 10:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -5.49%E -5.44%K -549.30%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +47.86%E +2.08%K +2.18%G +1.04%3.4%2026-06-29 10:20
Unibet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -4.56%E -4.47%K -227.87%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +35.00%E +1.67%K +1.75%G +0.613%2.8%2026-06-29 10:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -4.56%E -4.47%K -227.87%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +35.00%E +1.67%K +1.75%G +0.613%2.8%2026-06-29 10:19
betPARX🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -4.56%E -4.47%K -227.87%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +35.00%E +1.67%K +1.75%G +0.613%2.8%2026-06-29 10:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -5.49%E -5.44%K -549.30%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +35.00%E +1.67%K +1.75%G +0.613%3.8%2026-06-29 10:20
Coral🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -5.49%E -5.44%K -549.30%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +35.00%E +1.67%K +1.75%G +0.613%3.8%2026-06-29 10:20
888sport🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -6.43%E -6.43%K +0.000%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +35.00%E +1.67%K +1.75%G +0.613%4.8%2026-06-29 10:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -6.43%E -6.43%K +0.000%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +35.00%E +1.67%K +1.75%G +0.613%4.8%2026-06-29 10:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -6.43%E -6.43%K +0.000%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +35.00%E +1.67%K +1.75%G +0.613%4.8%2026-06-29 10:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -6.43%E -6.43%K +0.000%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +35.00%E +1.67%K +1.75%G +0.613%4.8%2026-06-29 10:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -5.49%E -5.44%K -549.30%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +28.58%E +1.43%K +1.50%G +0.430%4.0%2026-06-29 10:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 95.00%EV -6.43%E -6.43%K +0.000%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV +22.15%E +1.17%K +1.23%G +0.272%5.3%2026-06-29 10:20
theScore Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.64%EV -4.56%E -4.47%K -227.87%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV +15.72%E +0.873%K +0.925%G +0.145%3.6%2026-06-29 10:20
Betway🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.49%E -5.44%K -549.30%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +9.29%E +0.546%K +0.581%G +0.054%4.9%2026-06-29 10:19
Fanatics🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -5.49%E -5.44%K -549.30%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV +2.86%E +0.179%K +0.191%G +0.005%5.3%2026-06-29 10:20
Coolbet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -5.49%E -5.44%K -549.30%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV +2.86%E +0.179%K +0.191%G +0.005%5.3%2026-06-29 10:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -5.49%E -5.44%K -549.30%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV +2.86%E +0.179%K +0.191%G +0.005%5.3%2026-06-29 10:19
BetMGM🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.88%EV -5.49%E -5.44%K -549.30%G +0.000%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.12%EV -0.354%E -0.023%K -0.024%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 10:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.62%E -3.52%K -120.72%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -3.57%E -0.238%K -0.255%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 10:18
LiveScore Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.49%E -5.44%K -549.30%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -3.57%E -0.238%K -0.255%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 10:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.49%E -5.44%K -549.30%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -3.57%E -0.238%K -0.255%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 10:15
Paddy Power🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.49%E -5.44%K -549.30%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -3.57%E -0.238%K -0.255%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 10:19
Sky Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.49%E -5.44%K -549.30%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -3.57%E -0.238%K -0.255%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 10:19
NordicBet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.49%EV -5.49%E -5.44%K -549.30%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.51%EV -6.78%E -0.468%K -0.502%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 10:20
Betsson🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.49%EV -5.49%E -5.44%K -549.30%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.51%EV -6.78%E -0.468%K -0.502%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 10:20
PlayUp🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -2.69%E -2.58%K -67.15%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -16.43%E -1.26%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 10:13
Dabble (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -2.69%E -2.58%K -67.15%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -16.43%E -1.26%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 10:12
FanDuel🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.56%E -4.47%K -227.87%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -16.43%E -1.26%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 10:19
Bet Victor🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.49%E -5.44%K -549.30%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -16.43%E -1.26%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 10:19
Caesars🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.49%E -5.44%K -549.30%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -16.43%E -1.26%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 10:18
1xBet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.61%EV -3.62%E -3.52%K -120.72%G +0.000%12.90I 7.75%NM 7.39%EV -17.07%E -1.32%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 09:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -2.69%E -2.58%K -67.15%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -19.64%E -1.57%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 10:00
LeoVegas🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -3.62%E -3.52%K -120.72%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -19.64%E -1.57%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 10:08
BetRivers🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -3.62%E -3.52%K -120.72%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -19.64%E -1.57%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 10:06
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -3.62%E -3.52%K -120.72%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -19.64%E -1.57%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 10:08
SportsBet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -3.62%E -3.52%K -120.72%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -19.64%E -1.57%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 10:00
Grosvenor🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.56%E -4.47%K -227.87%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -22.85%E -1.90%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 10:10
TABtouch🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.56%E -4.47%K -227.87%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -22.85%E -1.90%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 10:10
Bally Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -5.49%E -5.44%K -549.30%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -22.85%E -1.90%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-29 10:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 91.93%EV -5.49%E -5.44%K -549.30%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -26.07%E -2.27%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-29 10:09
BetAnything🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.50%EV -2.69%E -2.58%K -67.15%G +0.000%11.20I 8.93%NM 8.50%EV -28.00%E -2.50%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 10:00
Bovada🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -1.75%E -1.67%K -35.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -29.28%E -2.66%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 09:58
Marathon Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -2.69%E -2.58%K -67.15%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -29.28%E -2.66%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 09:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -2.69%E -2.58%K -67.15%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -29.28%E -2.66%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 10:00
Neds🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -2.69%E -2.58%K -67.15%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -29.28%E -2.66%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 10:00
TAB🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -4.56%E -4.47%K -227.87%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -29.28%E -2.66%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 10:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.10%EV -1.75%E -1.67%K -35.00%G +0.000%10.75I 9.30%NM 8.90%EV -30.89%E -2.87%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-29 10:08
Pinnacle🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.06%EV -1.75%E -1.67%K -35.00%G +0.000%10.70I 9.35%NM 8.94%EV -31.21%E -2.92%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 10:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -2.69%E -2.58%K -67.15%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -32.50%E -3.10%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 09:59
NetBet (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -4.56%E -4.47%K -227.87%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -32.50%E -3.10%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 10:00
GTbets🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.89%EV -1.75%E -1.67%K -35.00%G +0.000%10.48I 9.54%NM 9.11%EV -32.63%E -3.11%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 09:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -2.69%E -2.58%K -67.15%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -34.11%E -3.33%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 09:59
Everygame🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -2.69%E -2.58%K -67.15%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -35.71%E -3.57%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 09:59
betfred_uk🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -2.69%E -2.58%K -67.15%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -35.71%E -3.57%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 09:58
Tipico (DE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV +1.06%E +0.979%K +13.21%G +0.140%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -58.21%E -8.96%K -10.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 10:15
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Smarkets1.03I 97.09%NM 96.68%30.03I 3.33%NM 3.32%0.4%2026-06-29 10:20
Matchbook1.02I 98.04%NM 97.51%40.00I 2.50%NM 2.49%0.5%2026-06-29 10:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81%0.9%2026-06-29 10:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81%0.9%2026-06-29 10:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81%0.9%2026-06-29 10:20
ProphetX1.02I 98.04%NM 96.49%28.00I 3.57%NM 3.51%1.6%2026-06-29 10:20
Novig1.00I 100.00%NM 96.15%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.85%4.0%2026-06-29 10:19