Language:English
Jelena Ostapenko v Harriet Dart
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jelena Ostapenko (Local)
Prediction 74.05%1.35fair odd
EV -2.26%
Edge -1.71%
Kelly -7.06%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.59%73.96%74.10%75.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.231.281.281.3281.30%78.40%78.13%75.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Harriet Dart (Visit)
Prediction 25.95%3.85fair odd
EV +2.52%
Edge +0.637%
Kelly +0.853%
Growth +0.021%
assuming max odds 3.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.04%26.04%25.90%28.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.703.743.9530.77%27.04%26.77%25.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jelena Ostapenko (Local): 74.05%; Harriet Dart (Visit): 25.95%. For Harriet Dart (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.85. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.52%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.77%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV +2.52%E +0.637%K +0.853%G +0.021% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.77%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV +2.52%E +0.637%K +0.853%G +0.021% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.77%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV +2.52%E +0.637%K +0.853%G +0.021% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.77%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV +2.52%E +0.637%K +0.853%G +0.021% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.77%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV +2.52%E +0.637%K +0.853%G +0.021% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.77%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV +2.52%E +0.637%K +0.853%G +0.021% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.77%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV +2.52%E +0.637%K +0.853%G +0.021% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 10:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.77%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV +2.52%E +0.637%K +0.853%G +0.021% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.77%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV +2.52%E +0.637%K +0.853%G +0.021% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.77%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV +2.52%E +0.637%K +0.853%G +0.021% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.77%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV +2.52%E +0.637%K +0.853%G +0.021% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.77%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV +2.52%E +0.637%K +0.853%G +0.021% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 10:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.77%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV +2.52%E +0.637%K +0.853%G +0.021% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.10%EV -3.74%E -2.88%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.90%EV +1.74%E +0.443%K +0.595%G +0.010% | 2.4% | 2026-06-27 10:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -8.18%E -6.60%K -34.09%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -0.078%E -0.020%K -0.028%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -8.18%E -6.60%K -34.09%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -0.078%E -0.020%K -0.028%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -3.74%E -2.88%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -1.38%E -0.362%K -0.491%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -3.74%E -2.88%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -1.38%E -0.362%K -0.491%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-29 11:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -1.38%E -0.362%K -0.491%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-27 14:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.38%E -0.362%K -0.491%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-28 21:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -8.92%E -7.25%K -38.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -1.38%E -0.362%K -0.491%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-29 11:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.67%E -0.713%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 11:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.67%E -0.713%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 11:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.67%E -0.713%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.67%E -0.713%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 10:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.67%E -0.713%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.96%E -4.69%K -22.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.67%E -0.713%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 11:48 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.70%E -5.32%K -25.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -2.67%E -0.713%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 11:48 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.67%E -0.713%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 11:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.67%E -0.713%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 11:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.67%E -0.713%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 11:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -2.93%E -0.784%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-29 11:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.30%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.70%EV -3.19%E -0.856%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 10:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.04%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.96%EV -4.49%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.94%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.06%EV -5.01%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 11:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.96%E -4.69%K -22.08%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -5.27%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 11:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.96%E -4.69%K -22.08%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -5.27%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 03:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.13%EV -5.96%E -4.69%K -22.08%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.87%EV -5.53%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.88%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.12%EV -6.05%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 11:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.74%E -2.88%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 10:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 11:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-27 22:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 11:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 10:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 11:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.70%E -5.32%K -25.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-29 11:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.70%E -5.32%K -25.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-27 14:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.57%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.43%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 11:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -7.86%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -7.86%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 11:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -7.86%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 11:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -7.86%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-28 12:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -2.26%E -1.71%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -10.46%E -3.03%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 11:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -3.00%E -2.29%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 11:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.74%E -2.88%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 11:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.74%E -2.88%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 11:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.74%E -2.88%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 11:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -2.26%E -1.71%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -13.06%E -3.90%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 11:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -2.26%E -1.71%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -13.06%E -3.90%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 11:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -15.65%E -4.82%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-29 11:48 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19% | 0.5% | 2026-06-29 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19% | 0.5% | 2026-06-29 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19% | 0.5% | 2026-06-29 11:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19% | 0.5% | 2026-06-29 11:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.71% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29% | 1.4% | 2026-06-29 11:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53% | 1.9% | 2026-06-29 11:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.85% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15% | 3.4% | 2026-06-29 11:50 |