La escuela de los momios

Jelena Ostapenko v Harriet Dart

Inicio: 2026-06-29 12:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Jelena Ostapenko (Local)

Predicción 74.05%1.35momio equitativo
EV -2.26%
Ventaja -1.71%
Kelly -7.06%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.32

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
71.59%73.96%74.10%75.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.231.281.281.3281.30%78.40%78.13%75.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Harriet Dart (Visitante)

Predicción 25.95%3.85momio equitativo
EV +2.52%
Ventaja +0.637%
Kelly +0.853%
Crecimiento +0.021%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.04%26.04%25.90%28.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.703.743.9530.77%27.04%26.77%25.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
LeoVegas1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV +2.52%E +0.637%K +0.853%G +0.021%5.3%2026-06-29 10:20
Unibet (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV +2.52%E +0.637%K +0.853%G +0.021%5.3%2026-06-29 10:10
BetRivers1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV +2.52%E +0.637%K +0.853%G +0.021%5.3%2026-06-29 10:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV +2.52%E +0.637%K +0.853%G +0.021%5.3%2026-06-29 10:20
ATG (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV +2.52%E +0.637%K +0.853%G +0.021%5.3%2026-06-29 10:20
Svenska Spel1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV +2.52%E +0.637%K +0.853%G +0.021%5.3%2026-06-29 10:20
betPARX1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV +2.52%E +0.637%K +0.853%G +0.021%5.3%2026-06-29 10:19
Grosvenor1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV +2.52%E +0.637%K +0.853%G +0.021%5.3%2026-06-29 10:10
Unibet (NL)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV +2.52%E +0.637%K +0.853%G +0.021%5.3%2026-06-29 10:20
Casumo1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV +2.52%E +0.637%K +0.853%G +0.021%5.3%2026-06-29 10:20
Bally Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV +2.52%E +0.637%K +0.853%G +0.021%5.3%2026-06-29 10:10
Unibet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV +2.52%E +0.637%K +0.853%G +0.021%5.3%2026-06-29 10:19
TABtouch1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV +2.52%E +0.637%K +0.853%G +0.021%5.3%2026-06-29 10:10
GTbets1.30I 76.92%NM 75.10%EV -3.74%E -2.88%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.90%EV +1.74%E +0.443%K +0.595%G +0.010%2.4%2026-06-27 10:30
LiveScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -8.18%E -6.60%K -34.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -0.078%E -0.020%K -0.028%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-29 10:10
Virgin Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -8.18%E -6.60%K -34.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -0.078%E -0.020%K -0.028%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-29 10:20
Coolbet1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -3.74%E -2.88%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -1.38%E -0.362%K -0.491%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-29 11:39
Winamax (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -3.74%E -2.88%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -1.38%E -0.362%K -0.491%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-29 11:40
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -1.38%E -0.362%K -0.491%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-27 14:29
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.38%E -0.362%K -0.491%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-28 21:40
PMU (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -8.92%E -7.25%K -38.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -1.38%E -0.362%K -0.491%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 11:10
Bovada1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.67%E -0.713%K -0.972%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 11:49
Unibet (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.67%E -0.713%K -0.972%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 11:40
Sky Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.67%E -0.713%K -0.972%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 11:39
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.67%E -0.713%K -0.972%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 10:20
Dabble (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.67%E -0.713%K -0.972%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 10:09
Hard Rock Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.96%E -4.69%K -22.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.67%E -0.713%K -0.972%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 11:48
Betclic (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.70%E -5.32%K -25.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -2.67%E -0.713%K -0.972%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 11:48
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.67%E -0.713%K -0.972%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 11:50
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.67%E -0.713%K -0.972%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 11:49
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.67%E -0.713%K -0.972%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 11:49
1xBet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.65%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -2.93%E -0.784%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 11:50
BetOnline.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 74.30%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.70%EV -3.19%E -0.856%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 10:10
BetAnything1.29I 77.52%NM 74.04%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.96%EV -4.49%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 10:09
SportsBet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.94%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.06%EV -5.01%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 11:40
Fanatics1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.96%E -4.69%K -22.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -5.27%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 11:50
PointsBet (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.96%E -4.69%K -22.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -5.27%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 03:09
Betsson1.27I 78.74%NM 74.13%EV -5.96%E -4.69%K -22.08%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.87%EV -5.53%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 11:39
Marathon Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 73.88%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.65%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.12%EV -6.05%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 11:49
FanDuel1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.74%E -2.88%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 11:39
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 10:29
Paddy Power1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 11:39
Winamax (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 11:50
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-27 22:49
Unibet (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 11:40
Betr (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 11:39
TAB1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 10:09
MyBookie.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 11:49
NetBet (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.70%E -5.32%K -25.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 11:40
Caesars1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.70%E -5.32%K -25.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-27 14:39
DraftKings1.29I 77.52%NM 73.57%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.43%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 11:40
theScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -7.86%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 11:39
BetUS1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -7.86%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 11:49
NordicBet1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -7.86%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 11:50
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -7.86%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-28 12:09
betfred_uk1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 11:39
Pinnacle1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -2.26%E -1.71%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -10.46%E -3.03%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 11:39
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -3.00%E -2.29%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 11:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.74%E -2.88%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 11:50
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.74%E -2.88%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 11:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.74%E -2.88%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 11:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -2.26%E -1.71%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -13.06%E -3.90%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 11:49
Neds1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -2.26%E -1.71%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -13.06%E -3.90%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 11:50
Bet Victor1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -15.65%E -4.82%K -6.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-29 11:48
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-06-29 11:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-06-29 11:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-06-29 11:50
Matchbook1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-06-29 11:50
ProphetX1.32I 75.76%NM 74.71%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29%1.4%2026-06-29 11:50
Smarkets1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.9%2026-06-29 11:50
Novig1.31I 76.34%NM 73.85%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%3.4%2026-06-29 11:50