La scuola delle quote

Jelena Ostapenko v Harriet Dart

Inizio: 2026-06-29 12:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

64 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Jelena Ostapenko (Casa)

Previsione 74.05%1.35quota equa
EV -2.26%
Vantaggio -1.71%
Kelly -7.06%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.32

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
71.59%73.96%74.10%75.96%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.231.281.281.3281.30%78.40%78.13%75.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Harriet Dart (Trasferta)

Previsione 25.95%3.85quota equa
EV +2.52%
Vantaggio +0.637%
Kelly +0.853%
Crescita +0.021%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.95

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.04%26.04%25.90%28.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.703.743.9530.77%27.04%26.77%25.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
LeoVegas1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV +2.52%E +0.637%K +0.853%G +0.021%5.3%2026-06-29 10:20
Unibet (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV +2.52%E +0.637%K +0.853%G +0.021%5.3%2026-06-29 10:10
BetRivers1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV +2.52%E +0.637%K +0.853%G +0.021%5.3%2026-06-29 10:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV +2.52%E +0.637%K +0.853%G +0.021%5.3%2026-06-29 10:20
ATG (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV +2.52%E +0.637%K +0.853%G +0.021%5.3%2026-06-29 10:20
Svenska Spel1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV +2.52%E +0.637%K +0.853%G +0.021%5.3%2026-06-29 10:20
betPARX1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV +2.52%E +0.637%K +0.853%G +0.021%5.3%2026-06-29 10:19
Grosvenor1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV +2.52%E +0.637%K +0.853%G +0.021%5.3%2026-06-29 10:10
Unibet (NL)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV +2.52%E +0.637%K +0.853%G +0.021%5.3%2026-06-29 10:20
Casumo1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV +2.52%E +0.637%K +0.853%G +0.021%5.3%2026-06-29 10:20
Bally Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV +2.52%E +0.637%K +0.853%G +0.021%5.3%2026-06-29 10:10
Unibet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV +2.52%E +0.637%K +0.853%G +0.021%5.3%2026-06-29 10:19
TABtouch1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV +2.52%E +0.637%K +0.853%G +0.021%5.3%2026-06-29 10:10
GTbets1.30I 76.92%NM 75.10%EV -3.74%E -2.88%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.90%EV +1.74%E +0.443%K +0.595%G +0.010%2.4%2026-06-27 10:30
LiveScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -8.18%E -6.60%K -34.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -0.078%E -0.020%K -0.028%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-29 10:10
Virgin Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -8.18%E -6.60%K -34.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -0.078%E -0.020%K -0.028%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-29 10:20
Coolbet1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -3.74%E -2.88%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -1.38%E -0.362%K -0.491%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-29 11:39
Winamax (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -3.74%E -2.88%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -1.38%E -0.362%K -0.491%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-29 11:40
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -1.38%E -0.362%K -0.491%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-27 14:29
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.38%E -0.362%K -0.491%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-28 21:40
PMU (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -8.92%E -7.25%K -38.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -1.38%E -0.362%K -0.491%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 11:10
Bovada1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.67%E -0.713%K -0.972%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 11:49
Unibet (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.67%E -0.713%K -0.972%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 11:40
Sky Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.67%E -0.713%K -0.972%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 11:39
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.67%E -0.713%K -0.972%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 10:20
Dabble (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.67%E -0.713%K -0.972%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 10:09
Hard Rock Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.96%E -4.69%K -22.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.67%E -0.713%K -0.972%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 11:48
Betclic (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.70%E -5.32%K -25.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -2.67%E -0.713%K -0.972%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 11:48
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.67%E -0.713%K -0.972%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 11:50
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.67%E -0.713%K -0.972%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 11:49
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.44%E -5.95%K -29.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.67%E -0.713%K -0.972%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 11:49
1xBet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.65%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -2.93%E -0.784%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 11:50
BetOnline.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 74.30%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.70%EV -3.19%E -0.856%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 10:10
BetAnything1.29I 77.52%NM 74.04%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.96%EV -4.49%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 10:09
SportsBet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.94%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.06%EV -5.01%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 11:40
Fanatics1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.96%E -4.69%K -22.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -5.27%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 11:50
PointsBet (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.96%E -4.69%K -22.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -5.27%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 03:09
Betsson1.27I 78.74%NM 74.13%EV -5.96%E -4.69%K -22.08%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.87%EV -5.53%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 11:39
Marathon Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 73.88%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.65%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.12%EV -6.05%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 11:49
FanDuel1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.74%E -2.88%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 11:39
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 10:29
Paddy Power1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 11:39
Winamax (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 11:50
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-27 22:49
Unibet (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 11:40
Betr (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 11:39
TAB1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 10:09
MyBookie.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 11:49
NetBet (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.70%E -5.32%K -25.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 11:40
Caesars1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.70%E -5.32%K -25.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-27 14:39
DraftKings1.29I 77.52%NM 73.57%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.43%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 11:40
theScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -7.86%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 11:39
BetUS1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -7.86%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 11:49
NordicBet1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -7.86%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 11:50
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -5.22%E -4.08%K -18.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -7.86%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-28 12:09
betfred_uk1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 11:39
Pinnacle1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -2.26%E -1.71%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -10.46%E -3.03%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 11:39
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -3.00%E -2.29%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 11:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.74%E -2.88%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 11:50
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.74%E -2.88%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 11:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.74%E -2.88%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 11:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -2.26%E -1.71%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -13.06%E -3.90%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 11:49
Neds1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -2.26%E -1.71%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -13.06%E -3.90%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 11:50
Bet Victor1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.48%E -3.47%K -15.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -15.65%E -4.82%K -6.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-29 11:48
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-06-29 11:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-06-29 11:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-06-29 11:50
Matchbook1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-06-29 11:50
ProphetX1.32I 75.76%NM 74.71%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29%1.4%2026-06-29 11:50
Smarkets1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.9%2026-06-29 11:50
Novig1.31I 76.34%NM 73.85%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%3.4%2026-06-29 11:50