A Escola das Odds

Jasmine Paolini v Robin Montgomery

Início: 2026-06-30 11:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Jasmine Paolini (Local)

Previsão 33.26%3.01odd justa
EV +13.08%
Vantagem +3.85%
Kelly +5.45%
Crescimento +0.712%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.12%34.23%32.71%43.42%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.152.732.803.4046.51%36.64%35.65%29.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Robin Montgomery (Visitante)

Previsão 66.74%1.50odd justa
EV +12.79%
Vantagem +7.57%
Kelly +18.54%
Crescimento +2.37%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.69

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.58%65.77%67.29%71.88%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.321.461.401.6975.76%68.70%71.43%59.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
1xBet2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -26.50%E -11.99%K -21.90%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV +12.79%E +7.57%K +18.54%G +2.37%4.4%2026-06-30 10:02
BetOnline.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -21.84%E -9.30%K -16.18%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV +10.12%E +6.14%K +15.58%G +1.58%3.2%2026-06-30 10:09
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -23.51%E -10.22%K -18.08%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV +10.12%E +6.14%K +15.58%G +1.58%4.1%2026-06-30 10:01
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -25.17%E -11.19%K -20.14%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV +10.12%E +6.14%K +15.58%G +1.58%5.1%2026-06-30 09:59
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -28.50%E -13.25%K -24.78%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV +10.12%E +6.14%K +15.58%G +1.58%7.1%2026-06-30 10:07
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -25.17%E -11.19%K -20.14%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV +9.46%E +5.77%K +14.78%G +1.40%5.4%2026-06-30 10:02
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -25.17%E -11.19%K -20.14%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV +9.46%E +5.77%K +14.78%G +1.40%5.4%2026-06-30 10:01
ReBet2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -22.18%E -9.48%K -16.55%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV +8.79%E +5.39%K +13.95%G +1.23%4.1%2026-06-30 09:58
Marathon Bet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -24.50%E -10.80%K -19.30%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV +8.79%E +5.39%K +13.95%G +1.23%5.4%2026-06-30 10:06
Pinnacle2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -21.18%E -8.94%K -15.46%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV +8.12%E +5.01%K +13.10%G +1.06%3.9%2026-06-30 10:10
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -23.51%E -10.22%K -18.08%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV +8.12%E +5.01%K +13.10%G +1.06%5.2%2026-06-30 10:09
Dabble (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -23.51%E -10.22%K -18.08%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV +8.12%E +5.01%K +13.10%G +1.06%5.2%2026-06-30 10:06
BetAnything2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -23.51%E -10.22%K -18.08%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV +8.12%E +5.01%K +13.10%G +1.06%5.2%2026-06-30 10:04
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -25.17%E -11.19%K -20.14%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV +8.12%E +5.01%K +13.10%G +1.06%6.2%2026-06-30 10:00
GTbets2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -21.18%E -8.94%K -15.46%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV +7.45%E +4.63%K +12.22%G +0.911%4.3%2026-06-30 10:02
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -23.51%E -10.22%K -18.08%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV +7.45%E +4.63%K +12.22%G +0.911%5.6%2026-06-30 10:06
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -23.51%E -10.22%K -18.08%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV +6.79%E +4.24%K +11.31%G +0.768%6.0%2026-06-30 10:06
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -23.51%E -10.22%K -18.08%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV +6.79%E +4.24%K +11.31%G +0.768%6.0%2026-06-30 09:59
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -23.51%E -10.22%K -18.08%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV +6.79%E +4.24%K +11.31%G +0.768%6.0%2026-06-30 10:02
MyBookie.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -23.51%E -10.22%K -18.08%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV +6.79%E +4.24%K +11.31%G +0.768%6.0%2026-06-30 10:08
NetBet (FR)2.27I 44.05%NM 41.04%EV -24.50%E -10.80%K -19.30%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV +5.45%E +3.45%K +9.40%G +0.513%7.3%2026-06-30 10:02
BetRivers2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -20.85%E -8.76%K -15.11%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV +4.79%E +3.05%K +8.40%G +0.402%5.7%2026-06-30 09:59
FanDuel2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -10.20%E -3.78%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -1.22%E -0.825%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 10:10
Betclic (FR)2.53I 39.53%NM 36.43%EV -15.86%E -6.27%K -10.36%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.57%EV -3.22%E -2.22%K -7.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-30 10:08
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -10.20%E -3.78%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -3.89%E -2.70%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 10:08
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -10.20%E -3.78%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -3.89%E -2.70%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 10:09
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.55%E -1.22%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.23%E -3.68%K -12.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 10:08
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.227%E -0.076%K -0.113%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.56%E -4.69%K -16.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 10:10
Unibet (UK)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -1.89%E -0.640%K -0.969%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.56%E -4.69%K -16.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 10:10
DraftKings2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.55%E -1.22%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.56%E -4.69%K -16.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 10:10
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.55%E -1.22%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.56%E -4.69%K -16.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 10:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.22%E -1.46%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.56%E -4.69%K -16.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 10:10
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.54%E -3.11%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.56%E -4.69%K -16.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-30 10:10
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.54%E -3.11%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.56%E -4.69%K -16.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-30 10:09
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.54%E -3.11%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.56%E -4.69%K -16.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-30 10:09
Fliff2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -10.20%E -3.78%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 66.01%EV -7.23%E -5.20%K -18.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-30 10:09
TAB2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -10.20%E -3.78%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -7.90%E -5.72%K -20.78%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-30 10:09
NordicBet2.86I 34.97%NM 32.39%EV -4.88%E -1.71%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.61%EV -8.56%E -6.25%K -23.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-30 10:09
Betsson2.86I 34.97%NM 32.39%EV -4.88%E -1.71%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.61%EV -8.56%E -6.25%K -23.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-30 10:09
Betway3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +8.09%E +2.49%K +3.59%G +0.291%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -9.23%E -6.79%K -25.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 10:10
Unibet (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +3.10%E +1.000%K +1.48%G +0.046%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -9.23%E -6.79%K -25.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 10:10
Unibet (NL)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +3.10%E +1.000%K +1.48%G +0.046%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -9.23%E -6.79%K -25.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 10:09
Casumo3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +3.10%E +1.000%K +1.48%G +0.046%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -9.23%E -6.79%K -25.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 10:10
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +3.10%E +1.000%K +1.48%G +0.046%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -9.23%E -6.79%K -25.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 10:09
Hard Rock Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +3.10%E +1.000%K +1.48%G +0.046%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -9.23%E -6.79%K -25.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 10:09
ATG (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +3.10%E +1.000%K +1.48%G +0.046%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -9.23%E -6.79%K -25.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 10:10
Svenska Spel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +3.10%E +1.000%K +1.48%G +0.046%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -9.23%E -6.79%K -25.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 10:09
betPARX3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +3.10%E +1.000%K +1.48%G +0.046%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -9.23%E -6.79%K -25.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 10:09
Caesars3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -0.227%E -0.076%K -0.113%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.23%E -6.79%K -25.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 10:09
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -4.22%E -1.46%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -9.23%E -6.79%K -25.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-30 10:09
Sky Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -4.22%E -1.46%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -9.23%E -6.79%K -25.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-30 10:09
Winamax (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -8.54%E -3.11%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -9.23%E -6.79%K -25.64%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-30 10:09
PointsBet (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV +1.44%E +0.471%K +0.701%G +0.010%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -9.90%E -7.33%K -28.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 10:09
Grosvenor3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV +1.44%E +0.471%K +0.701%G +0.010%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -9.90%E -7.33%K -28.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 10:09
TABtouch3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV +1.44%E +0.471%K +0.701%G +0.010%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -9.90%E -7.33%K -28.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 10:09
Tipico (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -0.227%E -0.076%K -0.113%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -9.90%E -7.33%K -28.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 10:09
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV +3.10%E +1.000%K +1.48%G +0.046%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -10.57%E -7.88%K -31.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 10:09
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV +1.44%E +0.471%K +0.701%G +0.010%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -10.57%E -7.88%K -31.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 10:09
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV +1.44%E +0.471%K +0.701%G +0.010%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -10.57%E -7.88%K -31.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 10:10
PMU (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV +1.44%E +0.471%K +0.701%G +0.010%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -10.57%E -7.88%K -31.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 10:09
Bally Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV +1.44%E +0.471%K +0.701%G +0.010%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -10.57%E -7.88%K -31.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 10:09
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.17%EV -10.20%E -3.78%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 66.83%EV -10.57%E -7.88%K -31.07%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-30 10:09
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +13.08%E +3.85%K +5.45%G +0.712%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -11.23%E -8.45%K -34.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 10:09
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV +3.10%E +1.000%K +1.48%G +0.046%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -11.23%E -8.45%K -34.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 10:10
LeoVegas3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -0.227%E -0.076%K -0.113%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -11.23%E -8.45%K -34.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-30 10:09
LeoVegas (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -0.227%E -0.076%K -0.113%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -11.90%E -9.02%K -37.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-30 10:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%0.7%2026-06-30 10:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%0.7%2026-06-30 10:09
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-06-30 10:10
ProphetX3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-06-30 10:10
Smarkets2.92I 34.25%NM 33.79%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.21%1.4%2026-06-30 10:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92%1.6%2026-06-30 10:09
Novig3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%3.9%2026-06-30 10:09