La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Jasmine Paolini v Robin Montgomery
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jasmine Paolini (Local)
Predicción 33.26%3.01momio equitativo
EV +13.08%
Ventaja +3.85%
Kelly +5.45%
Crecimiento +0.712%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.12%34.23%32.71%43.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.732.803.4046.51%36.64%35.65%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Robin Montgomery (Visitante)
Predicción 66.74%1.50momio equitativo
EV +12.79%
Ventaja +7.57%
Kelly +18.54%
Crecimiento +2.37%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.69
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.58%65.77%67.29%71.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.321.461.401.6975.76%68.70%71.43%59.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -26.50%E -11.99%K -21.90%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV +12.79%E +7.57%K +18.54%G +2.37% | 4.4% | 2026-06-30 10:02 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -21.84%E -9.30%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV +10.12%E +6.14%K +15.58%G +1.58% | 3.2% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Bovada | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -23.51%E -10.22%K -18.08%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV +10.12%E +6.14%K +15.58%G +1.58% | 4.1% | 2026-06-30 10:01 |
| BetUS | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -25.17%E -11.19%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV +10.12%E +6.14%K +15.58%G +1.58% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -28.50%E -13.25%K -24.78%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV +10.12%E +6.14%K +15.58%G +1.58% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 10:07 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -25.17%E -11.19%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV +9.46%E +5.77%K +14.78%G +1.40% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 10:02 |
| Neds | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -25.17%E -11.19%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV +9.46%E +5.77%K +14.78%G +1.40% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 10:01 |
| ReBet | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -22.18%E -9.48%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV +8.79%E +5.39%K +13.95%G +1.23% | 4.1% | 2026-06-30 09:58 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -24.50%E -10.80%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV +8.79%E +5.39%K +13.95%G +1.23% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 10:06 |
| Pinnacle | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -21.18%E -8.94%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV +8.12%E +5.01%K +13.10%G +1.06% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -23.51%E -10.22%K -18.08%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV +8.12%E +5.01%K +13.10%G +1.06% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Dabble (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -23.51%E -10.22%K -18.08%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV +8.12%E +5.01%K +13.10%G +1.06% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 10:06 |
| BetAnything | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -23.51%E -10.22%K -18.08%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV +8.12%E +5.01%K +13.10%G +1.06% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 10:04 |
| betfred_uk | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -25.17%E -11.19%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV +8.12%E +5.01%K +13.10%G +1.06% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| GTbets | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -21.18%E -8.94%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV +7.45%E +4.63%K +12.22%G +0.911% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 10:02 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -23.51%E -10.22%K -18.08%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV +7.45%E +4.63%K +12.22%G +0.911% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 10:06 |
| PlayUp | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -23.51%E -10.22%K -18.08%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV +6.79%E +4.24%K +11.31%G +0.768% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 10:06 |
| Everygame | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -23.51%E -10.22%K -18.08%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV +6.79%E +4.24%K +11.31%G +0.768% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -23.51%E -10.22%K -18.08%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV +6.79%E +4.24%K +11.31%G +0.768% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 10:02 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -23.51%E -10.22%K -18.08%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV +6.79%E +4.24%K +11.31%G +0.768% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 10:08 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.04%EV -24.50%E -10.80%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV +5.45%E +3.45%K +9.40%G +0.513% | 7.3% | 2026-06-30 10:02 |
| BetRivers | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -20.85%E -8.76%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV +4.79%E +3.05%K +8.40%G +0.402% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| FanDuel | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -10.20%E -3.78%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -1.22%E -0.825%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.43%EV -15.86%E -6.27%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.57%EV -3.22%E -2.22%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-30 10:08 |
| Bet Victor | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -10.20%E -3.78%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -3.89%E -2.70%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 10:08 |
| Coral | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -10.20%E -3.78%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -3.89%E -2.70%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Fanatics | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.55%E -1.22%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.23%E -3.68%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-30 10:08 |
| Coolbet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.227%E -0.076%K -0.113%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.56%E -4.69%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -1.89%E -0.640%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.56%E -4.69%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| DraftKings | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.55%E -1.22%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.56%E -4.69%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| theScore Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.55%E -1.22%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.56%E -4.69%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.22%E -1.46%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.56%E -4.69%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| 888sport | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.54%E -3.11%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.56%E -4.69%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.54%E -3.11%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.56%E -4.69%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.54%E -3.11%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.56%E -4.69%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Fliff | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -10.20%E -3.78%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.01%EV -7.23%E -5.20%K -18.53%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| TAB | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -10.20%E -3.78%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -7.90%E -5.72%K -20.78%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| NordicBet | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.39%EV -4.88%E -1.71%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.61%EV -8.56%E -6.25%K -23.14%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Betsson | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.39%EV -4.88%E -1.71%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.61%EV -8.56%E -6.25%K -23.14%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Betway | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +8.09%E +2.49%K +3.59%G +0.291% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -9.23%E -6.79%K -25.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +3.10%E +1.000%K +1.48%G +0.046% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -9.23%E -6.79%K -25.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +3.10%E +1.000%K +1.48%G +0.046% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -9.23%E -6.79%K -25.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Casumo | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +3.10%E +1.000%K +1.48%G +0.046% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -9.23%E -6.79%K -25.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| Unibet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +3.10%E +1.000%K +1.48%G +0.046% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -9.23%E -6.79%K -25.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +3.10%E +1.000%K +1.48%G +0.046% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -9.23%E -6.79%K -25.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +3.10%E +1.000%K +1.48%G +0.046% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -9.23%E -6.79%K -25.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +3.10%E +1.000%K +1.48%G +0.046% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -9.23%E -6.79%K -25.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| betPARX | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +3.10%E +1.000%K +1.48%G +0.046% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -9.23%E -6.79%K -25.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Caesars | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -0.227%E -0.076%K -0.113%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.23%E -6.79%K -25.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Paddy Power | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -4.22%E -1.46%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -9.23%E -6.79%K -25.64%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Sky Bet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -4.22%E -1.46%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -9.23%E -6.79%K -25.64%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -8.54%E -3.11%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -9.23%E -6.79%K -25.64%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV +1.44%E +0.471%K +0.701%G +0.010% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -9.90%E -7.33%K -28.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Grosvenor | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV +1.44%E +0.471%K +0.701%G +0.010% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -9.90%E -7.33%K -28.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| TABtouch | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV +1.44%E +0.471%K +0.701%G +0.010% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -9.90%E -7.33%K -28.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -0.227%E -0.076%K -0.113%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -9.90%E -7.33%K -28.28%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| BetMGM | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV +3.10%E +1.000%K +1.48%G +0.046% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -10.57%E -7.88%K -31.07%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV +1.44%E +0.471%K +0.701%G +0.010% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -10.57%E -7.88%K -31.07%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV +1.44%E +0.471%K +0.701%G +0.010% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -10.57%E -7.88%K -31.07%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV +1.44%E +0.471%K +0.701%G +0.010% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -10.57%E -7.88%K -31.07%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Bally Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV +1.44%E +0.471%K +0.701%G +0.010% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -10.57%E -7.88%K -31.07%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.17%EV -10.20%E -3.78%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.83%EV -10.57%E -7.88%K -31.07%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| BoyleSports | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +13.08%E +3.85%K +5.45%G +0.712% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -11.23%E -8.45%K -34.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV +3.10%E +1.000%K +1.48%G +0.046% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -11.23%E -8.45%K -34.04%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| LeoVegas | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -0.227%E -0.076%K -0.113%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -11.23%E -8.45%K -34.04%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -0.227%E -0.076%K -0.113%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -11.90%E -9.02%K -37.19%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 0.7% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22% | 0.7% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Matchbook | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| ProphetX | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| Smarkets | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.79% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.21% | 1.4% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92% | 1.6% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Novig | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |