Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jasmine Paolini v Maria Sakkari

Início: 2026-07-04 13:08 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jasmine Paolini (Local)

Previsão 53.58%1.87odd justa
EV -0.884%
Vantagem -0.478%
Kelly -1.04%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.07%53.61%53.60%55.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.651.761.761.8560.61%56.83%56.82%54.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Maria Sakkari (Visitante)

Previsão 46.42%2.15odd justa
EV -1.12%
Vantagem -0.525%
Kelly -0.989%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.13

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.68%46.39%46.40%48.93%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.912.042.042.1352.36%49.12%49.02%46.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Jasmine Paolini (Local): 53.58%; Maria Sakkari (Visitante): 46.42%. Para Jasmine Paolini (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.87. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.85, com valor esperado de -0.884%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -0.884%E -0.478%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -3.90%E -1.89%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-04 12:55
Dabble (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -0.884%E -0.478%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -8.08%E -4.08%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 13:05
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -0.884%E -0.478%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -9.47%E -4.86%K -9.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 13:05
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.96%E -1.07%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 12:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.96%E -1.07%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 13:03
PlayUp🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -1.96%E -1.07%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -9.47%E -4.86%K -9.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 13:05
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -1.96%E -1.07%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -11.33%E -5.93%K -12.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 12:55
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -2.49%E -1.37%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-04 12:50
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.49%E -1.37%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -6.22%E -3.08%K -6.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-04 12:55
SportsBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.03%E -1.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -5.30%E -2.60%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 12:55
GTbets🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -1.12%E -0.525%K -0.989%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-04 12:55
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.83%E -2.36%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 12:55
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.83%E -2.36%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 13:05
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.30%E -2.60%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 12:55
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 12:54
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 12:55
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 12:55
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 12:55
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 13:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 12:55
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 12:55
Everygame🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 12:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 13:05
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.47%E -4.86%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 13:04
BetAnything🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.47%E -4.86%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 12:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -4.63%E -2.60%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -2.51%E -1.20%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-04 12:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -4.63%E -2.60%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -2.51%E -1.20%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-04 12:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.63%E -2.60%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 12:55
ReBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.17%E -2.92%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.51%E -1.20%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 12:55
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.17%E -2.92%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.83%E -2.36%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 12:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.17%E -2.92%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 13:01
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -5.17%E -2.92%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -8.08%E -4.08%K -8.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 13:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.71%E -3.24%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -4.37%E -2.12%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 12:55
DraftKings🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.56%EV -5.71%E -3.24%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.44%EV -5.76%E -2.84%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 13:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -6.22%E -3.08%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-04 12:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.47%E -4.86%K -9.97%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-04 12:55
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.47%E -4.86%K -9.97%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-04 12:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.78%E -3.89%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.51%E -1.20%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 12:55
Fanatics🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.78%E -3.89%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.51%E -1.20%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 13:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -6.78%E -3.89%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -4.37%E -2.12%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 12:54
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.78%E -3.89%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.83%E -2.36%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 12:55
NordicBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -6.78%E -3.89%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -5.30%E -2.60%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 12:59
Betsson🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -6.78%E -3.89%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -5.30%E -2.60%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 13:00
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -6.78%E -3.89%K -9.16%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -11.33%E -5.93%K -12.45%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-04 13:05
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.31%E -4.23%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-04 13:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.31%E -4.23%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-04 13:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.31%E -4.23%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-04 13:05
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.85%E -4.56%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.58%E -0.746%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 12:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.85%E -4.56%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.51%E -1.20%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 12:55
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.38%E -4.90%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.51%E -1.20%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 13:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.38%E -4.90%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.51%E -1.20%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 12:53
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.38%E -4.90%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.51%E -1.20%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 13:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.38%E -4.90%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.51%E -1.20%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 13:05
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.38%E -4.90%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.51%E -1.20%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 13:05
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.38%E -4.90%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.51%E -1.20%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 13:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.38%E -4.90%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.51%E -1.20%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 13:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.38%E -4.90%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.51%E -1.20%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 12:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.38%E -4.90%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.51%E -1.20%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 13:05
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -8.92%E -5.25%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-04 13:05
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -8.92%E -5.25%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-04 13:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -9.99%E -5.95%K -14.69%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 13:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -9.99%E -5.95%K -14.69%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -3.90%E -1.89%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-04 13:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -9.99%E -5.95%K -14.69%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -3.90%E -1.89%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-04 13:05
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -9.99%E -5.95%K -14.69%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -3.90%E -1.89%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-04 13:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.89%EV -11.06%E -6.66%K -16.76%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.11%EV -9.94%E -5.12%K -10.57%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-04 13:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.28%EV -11.60%E -7.03%K -17.84%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.72%EV -5.30%E -2.60%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-04 13:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-07-04 13:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-07-04 13:05
Matchbook1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-07-04 13:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-07-04 13:05
ProphetX1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-07-04 13:05
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%2.4%2026-07-04 13:05
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%3.0%2026-07-04 13:05