La escuela de los momios

Jasmine Paolini v Maria Sakkari

Inicio: 2026-07-04 13:08 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

66 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Jasmine Paolini (Local)

Predicción 53.58%1.87momio equitativo
EV -0.884%
Ventaja -0.478%
Kelly -1.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.07%53.61%53.60%55.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.651.761.761.8560.61%56.83%56.82%54.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Maria Sakkari (Visitante)

Predicción 46.42%2.15momio equitativo
EV -1.12%
Ventaja -0.525%
Kelly -0.989%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.13

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.68%46.39%46.40%48.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.042.042.1352.36%49.12%49.02%46.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -0.884%E -0.478%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -3.90%E -1.89%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-04 12:55
Dabble (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -0.884%E -0.478%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -8.08%E -4.08%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 13:05
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -0.884%E -0.478%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -9.47%E -4.86%K -9.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 13:05
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.96%E -1.07%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 12:54
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.96%E -1.07%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 13:03
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -1.96%E -1.07%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -9.47%E -4.86%K -9.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 13:05
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -1.96%E -1.07%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -11.33%E -5.93%K -12.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 12:55
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -2.49%E -1.37%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-04 12:50
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.49%E -1.37%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -6.22%E -3.08%K -6.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-04 12:55
SportsBet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.03%E -1.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -5.30%E -2.60%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 12:55
GTbets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -1.12%E -0.525%K -0.989%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-04 12:55
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.83%E -2.36%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 12:55
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.83%E -2.36%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 13:05
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.30%E -2.60%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 12:55
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 12:54
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 12:55
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 12:55
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 12:55
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 13:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 12:55
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 12:55
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 12:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 13:05
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.47%E -4.86%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 13:04
BetAnything1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.47%E -4.86%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 12:55
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -4.63%E -2.60%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -2.51%E -1.20%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-04 12:55
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -4.63%E -2.60%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -2.51%E -1.20%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-04 12:55
PointsBet (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.63%E -2.60%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 12:55
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.17%E -2.92%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.51%E -1.20%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 12:55
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.17%E -2.92%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.83%E -2.36%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 12:55
Betr (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.17%E -2.92%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 13:01
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -5.17%E -2.92%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -8.08%E -4.08%K -8.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 13:05
Marathon Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.71%E -3.24%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -4.37%E -2.12%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 12:55
DraftKings1.76I 56.82%NM 53.56%EV -5.71%E -3.24%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.44%EV -5.76%E -2.84%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 13:05
NetBet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -6.22%E -3.08%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-04 12:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.47%E -4.86%K -9.97%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-04 12:55
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.47%E -4.86%K -9.97%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-04 12:55
Unibet (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.78%E -3.89%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.51%E -1.20%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 12:55
Fanatics1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.78%E -3.89%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.51%E -1.20%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 13:05
MyBookie.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -6.78%E -3.89%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -4.37%E -2.12%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 12:54
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.78%E -3.89%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.83%E -2.36%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 12:55
NordicBet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -6.78%E -3.89%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -5.30%E -2.60%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 12:59
Betsson1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -6.78%E -3.89%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -5.30%E -2.60%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 13:00
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -6.78%E -3.89%K -9.16%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -11.33%E -5.93%K -12.45%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-04 13:05
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.31%E -4.23%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-04 13:05
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.31%E -4.23%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-04 13:05
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.31%E -4.23%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-04 13:05
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.85%E -4.56%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.58%E -0.746%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 12:55
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.85%E -4.56%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.51%E -1.20%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 12:55
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.38%E -4.90%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.51%E -1.20%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 13:05
Betclic (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.38%E -4.90%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.51%E -1.20%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 12:53
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.38%E -4.90%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.51%E -1.20%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 13:05
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.38%E -4.90%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.51%E -1.20%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 13:05
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.38%E -4.90%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.51%E -1.20%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 13:05
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.38%E -4.90%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.51%E -1.20%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 13:05
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.38%E -4.90%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.51%E -1.20%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 13:05
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.38%E -4.90%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.51%E -1.20%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 12:54
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.38%E -4.90%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.51%E -1.20%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 13:05
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -8.92%E -5.25%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-04 13:05
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -8.92%E -5.25%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-04 13:05
PMU (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -9.99%E -5.95%K -14.69%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 13:05
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -9.99%E -5.95%K -14.69%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -3.90%E -1.89%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-04 13:05
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -9.99%E -5.95%K -14.69%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -3.90%E -1.89%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-04 13:05
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -9.99%E -5.95%K -14.69%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -3.90%E -1.89%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-04 13:04
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 53.89%EV -11.06%E -6.66%K -16.76%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.11%EV -9.94%E -5.12%K -10.57%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-04 13:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.28%EV -11.60%E -7.03%K -17.84%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.72%EV -5.30%E -2.60%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-04 13:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-07-04 13:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-07-04 13:05
Matchbook1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-07-04 13:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-07-04 13:05
ProphetX1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-07-04 13:05
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%2.4%2026-07-04 13:05
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%3.0%2026-07-04 13:05