مدرسة الاحتمالات

Jasmine Paolini v Maria Sakkari

البداية: 2026-07-04 13:08 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

66 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Jasmine Paolini (المضيف)

التنبؤ 53.58%1.87السعر العادل
EV -0.884%
الأفضلية -0.478%
Kelly -1.04%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.85

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
51.07%53.61%53.60%55.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.651.761.761.8560.61%56.83%56.82%54.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Maria Sakkari (الضيف)

التنبؤ 46.42%2.15السعر العادل
EV -1.12%
الأفضلية -0.525%
Kelly -0.989%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.13

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
44.68%46.39%46.40%48.93%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.912.042.042.1352.36%49.12%49.02%46.95%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (66 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -0.884%E -0.478%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -3.90%E -1.89%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-04 12:55
Dabble (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -0.884%E -0.478%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -8.08%E -4.08%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 13:05
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -0.884%E -0.478%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -9.47%E -4.86%K -9.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 13:05
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.96%E -1.07%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 12:54
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.96%E -1.07%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 13:03
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -1.96%E -1.07%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -9.47%E -4.86%K -9.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 13:05
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -1.96%E -1.07%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -11.33%E -5.93%K -12.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 12:55
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -2.49%E -1.37%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-04 12:50
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.49%E -1.37%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -6.22%E -3.08%K -6.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-04 12:55
SportsBet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.03%E -1.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -5.30%E -2.60%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 12:55
GTbets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -1.12%E -0.525%K -0.989%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-04 12:55
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.83%E -2.36%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 12:55
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.83%E -2.36%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 13:05
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.30%E -2.60%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 12:55
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 12:54
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 12:55
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 12:55
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 12:55
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 13:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 12:55
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 12:55
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 12:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 13:05
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.47%E -4.86%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 13:04
BetAnything1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.47%E -4.86%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 12:55
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -4.63%E -2.60%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -2.51%E -1.20%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-04 12:55
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -4.63%E -2.60%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -2.51%E -1.20%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-04 12:55
PointsBet (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.63%E -2.60%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 12:55
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.17%E -2.92%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.51%E -1.20%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 12:55
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.17%E -2.92%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.83%E -2.36%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 12:55
Betr (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.17%E -2.92%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 13:01
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -5.17%E -2.92%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -8.08%E -4.08%K -8.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 13:05
Marathon Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.71%E -3.24%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -4.37%E -2.12%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 12:55
DraftKings1.76I 56.82%NM 53.56%EV -5.71%E -3.24%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.44%EV -5.76%E -2.84%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 13:05
NetBet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -6.22%E -3.08%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-04 12:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.47%E -4.86%K -9.97%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-04 12:55
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.47%E -4.86%K -9.97%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-04 12:55
Unibet (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.78%E -3.89%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.51%E -1.20%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 12:55
Fanatics1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.78%E -3.89%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.51%E -1.20%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 13:05
MyBookie.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -6.78%E -3.89%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -4.37%E -2.12%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 12:54
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.78%E -3.89%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.83%E -2.36%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 12:55
NordicBet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -6.78%E -3.89%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -5.30%E -2.60%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 12:59
Betsson1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -6.78%E -3.89%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -5.30%E -2.60%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 13:00
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -6.78%E -3.89%K -9.16%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -11.33%E -5.93%K -12.45%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-04 13:05
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.31%E -4.23%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-04 13:05
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.31%E -4.23%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-04 13:05
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.31%E -4.23%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-04 13:05
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.85%E -4.56%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.58%E -0.746%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 12:55
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.85%E -4.56%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.51%E -1.20%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 12:55
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.38%E -4.90%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.51%E -1.20%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 13:05
Betclic (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.38%E -4.90%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.51%E -1.20%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 12:53
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.38%E -4.90%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.51%E -1.20%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 13:05
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.38%E -4.90%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.51%E -1.20%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 13:05
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.38%E -4.90%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.51%E -1.20%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 13:05
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.38%E -4.90%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.51%E -1.20%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 13:05
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.38%E -4.90%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.51%E -1.20%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 13:05
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.38%E -4.90%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.51%E -1.20%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 12:54
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.38%E -4.90%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.51%E -1.20%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 13:05
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -8.92%E -5.25%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-04 13:05
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -8.92%E -5.25%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-04 13:05
PMU (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -9.99%E -5.95%K -14.69%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 13:05
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -9.99%E -5.95%K -14.69%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -3.90%E -1.89%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-04 13:05
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -9.99%E -5.95%K -14.69%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -3.90%E -1.89%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-04 13:05
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -9.99%E -5.95%K -14.69%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -3.90%E -1.89%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-04 13:04
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 53.89%EV -11.06%E -6.66%K -16.76%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.11%EV -9.94%E -5.12%K -10.57%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-04 13:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.28%EV -11.60%E -7.03%K -17.84%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.72%EV -5.30%E -2.60%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-04 13:05
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-07-04 13:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-07-04 13:05
Matchbook1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-07-04 13:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-07-04 13:05
ProphetX1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-07-04 13:05
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%2.4%2026-07-04 13:05
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%3.0%2026-07-04 13:05