Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Jasmine Paolini v Alexandra Eala

Inizio: 2026-07-06 12:41 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

66 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Jasmine Paolini (Casa)

Previsione 42.63%2.35quota equa
EV +3.59%
Vantaggio +1.48%
Kelly +2.51%
Crescita +0.090%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.43

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.10%42.79%42.31%47.38%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.252.252.4350.00%44.54%44.44%41.15%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alexandra Eala (Trasferta)

Previsione 57.37%1.74quota equa
EV +3.84%
Vantaggio +2.12%
Kelly +4.74%
Crescita +0.182%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.81

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.62%57.21%57.69%60.90%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.531.631.621.8165.36%61.48%61.73%55.25%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Jasmine Paolini (Casa): 42.63%; Alexandra Eala (Trasferta): 57.37%. Per Alexandra Eala (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 1.74. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 1.81, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +3.84%.

Quote dei bookmaker (66 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
DraftKings🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -14.31%E -7.12%K -14.17%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV +3.84%E +2.12%K +4.74%G +0.182%5.0%2026-07-06 12:39
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -12.61%E -6.15%K -12.01%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -0.175%E -0.101%K -0.237%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-06 12:39
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -12.61%E -6.15%K -12.01%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -1.90%E -1.11%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-06 12:39
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.48%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.47%E -1.45%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-06 12:40
Bally Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -12.18%E -5.91%K -11.49%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -2.47%E -1.45%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-06 12:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -10.48%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -3.62%E -2.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-06 12:40
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.19%E -2.51%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 12:40
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -10.48%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.19%E -2.51%K -6.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-06 12:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -10.48%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.19%E -2.51%K -6.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-06 12:20
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -14.74%E -7.37%K -14.74%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -4.19%E -2.51%K -6.26%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-06 12:40
Pinnacle🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV +1.46%E +0.613%K +1.06%G +0.015%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -5.34%E -3.24%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-06 12:35
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.95%E -0.849%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.34%E -3.24%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-06 12:40
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.08%E -1.81%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.34%E -3.24%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-06 12:40
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.08%E -1.81%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.34%E -3.24%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-06 12:40
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.08%E -1.81%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.34%E -3.24%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-06 12:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.08%E -1.81%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.34%E -3.24%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-06 12:39
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.35%E -3.88%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.34%E -3.24%K -8.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-06 12:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.35%E -3.88%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.34%E -3.24%K -8.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-06 12:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.08%E -1.81%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.91%E -3.61%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 12:40
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.08%E -1.81%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.91%E -3.61%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 12:40
Casumo🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.08%E -1.81%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.91%E -3.61%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 12:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.08%E -1.81%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.91%E -3.61%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 12:40
betPARX🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.08%E -1.81%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.91%E -3.61%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 12:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.08%E -1.81%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.91%E -3.61%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 12:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.08%E -1.81%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.91%E -3.61%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 12:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.09%EV -11.33%E -5.45%K -10.49%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.91%EV -5.91%E -3.61%K -9.24%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-06 12:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV +1.46%E +0.613%K +1.06%G +0.015%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -6.49%E -3.98%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-06 12:39
ReBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV +0.179%E +0.076%K +0.133%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -6.49%E -3.98%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-06 10:35
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -1.53%E -0.661%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -7.06%E -4.36%K -11.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-06 12:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.95%E -0.849%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.06%E -4.36%K -11.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-06 07:49
GTbets🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.95%E -0.849%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.06%E -4.36%K -11.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 18:10
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.95%E -0.849%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.06%E -4.36%K -11.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 18:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.95%E -0.849%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.06%E -4.36%K -11.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 18:25
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.95%E -0.849%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.06%E -4.36%K -11.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-06 08:45
BetUS🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.95%E -0.849%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.06%E -4.36%K -11.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-06 12:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -2.38%E -1.04%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -7.06%E -4.36%K -11.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 12:35
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.08%E -1.81%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.06%E -4.36%K -11.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 12:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.08%E -1.81%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.06%E -4.36%K -11.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 07:45
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -4.94%E -2.21%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -7.06%E -4.36%K -11.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-06 12:40
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -4.94%E -2.21%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -7.06%E -4.36%K -11.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-06 12:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.06%E -4.36%K -11.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-06 12:40
Betsson🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%EV -7.92%E -3.67%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%EV -7.06%E -4.36%K -11.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-06 12:40
BetAnything🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV +2.31%E +0.963%K +1.65%G +0.038%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -7.63%E -4.74%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-06 12:20
FanDuel🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV +0.606%E +0.257%K +0.445%G +0.003%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -7.63%E -4.74%K -12.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-06 12:34
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +0.179%E +0.076%K +0.133%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -7.63%E -4.74%K -12.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-06 12:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -4.94%E -2.21%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -7.63%E -4.74%K -12.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-06 12:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.63%E -4.74%K -12.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-06 12:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.63%E -4.74%K -12.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-06 12:40
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV +2.31%E +0.963%K +1.65%G +0.038%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -8.21%E -5.13%K -13.68%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-05 11:19
BetRivers🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV +1.46%E +0.613%K +1.06%G +0.015%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -8.21%E -5.13%K -13.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-06 07:55
Dabble (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +0.179%E +0.076%K +0.133%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -8.21%E -5.13%K -13.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-06 12:15
MyBookie.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +0.179%E +0.076%K +0.133%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -8.21%E -5.13%K -13.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-06 12:34
TAB🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +0.179%E +0.076%K +0.133%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -8.21%E -5.13%K -13.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-06 12:40
SportsBet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -0.247%E -0.106%K -0.184%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -8.21%E -5.13%K -13.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-06 12:35
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -1.95%E -0.849%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.21%E -5.13%K -13.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-06 12:35
Everygame🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -1.95%E -0.849%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.21%E -5.13%K -13.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-06 12:19
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.21%E -5.13%K -13.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-06 12:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -10.48%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -8.21%E -5.13%K -13.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-06 12:40
NetBet (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -1.10%E -0.474%K -0.833%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -9.35%E -5.92%K -16.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-06 12:24
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.13%EV -14.74%E -7.37%K -14.74%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 55.87%EV -9.35%E -5.92%K -16.13%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-06 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.87%EV -7.07%E -3.24%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.13%EV -9.93%E -6.32%K -17.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-06 12:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV +3.59%E +1.48%K +2.51%G +0.090%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -10.50%E -6.73%K -18.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 12:40
NordicBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.00%EV -1.53%E -0.661%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.00%EV -11.65%E -7.56%K -21.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-06 12:40
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV +1.46%E +0.613%K +1.06%G +0.015%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -12.22%E -7.99%K -23.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-06 12:40
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV +1.46%E +0.613%K +1.06%G +0.015%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -12.22%E -7.99%K -23.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-06 12:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV +0.179%E +0.076%K +0.133%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -12.22%E -7.99%K -23.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-06 12:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
ProphetX2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-07-06 12:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-07-06 12:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-07-06 12:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%0.9%2026-07-06 12:40
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%1.1%2026-07-06 12:40
Novig2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%2.1%2026-07-06 12:38
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 44.47%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%9.1%2026-07-06 12:40