مدرسة الاحتمالات

Jasmine Paolini v Alexandra Eala

البداية: 2026-07-06 12:41 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

66 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Jasmine Paolini (المضيف)

التنبؤ 42.63%2.35السعر العادل
EV +3.59%
الأفضلية +1.48%
Kelly +2.51%
النمو +0.090%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.43

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
39.10%42.79%42.31%47.38%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.252.252.4350.00%44.54%44.44%41.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Alexandra Eala (الضيف)

التنبؤ 57.37%1.74السعر العادل
EV +3.84%
الأفضلية +2.12%
Kelly +4.74%
النمو +0.182%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.81

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
52.62%57.21%57.69%60.90%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.531.631.621.8165.36%61.48%61.73%55.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (66 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
DraftKings2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -14.31%E -7.12%K -14.17%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV +3.84%E +2.12%K +4.74%G +0.182%5.0%2026-07-06 12:39
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -12.61%E -6.15%K -12.01%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -0.175%E -0.101%K -0.237%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-06 12:39
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -12.61%E -6.15%K -12.01%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -1.90%E -1.11%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-06 12:39
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.48%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.47%E -1.45%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-06 12:40
Bally Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -12.18%E -5.91%K -11.49%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -2.47%E -1.45%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-06 12:39
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -10.48%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -3.62%E -2.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-06 12:40
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.19%E -2.51%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 12:40
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -10.48%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.19%E -2.51%K -6.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-06 12:40
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -10.48%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.19%E -2.51%K -6.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-06 12:20
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -14.74%E -7.37%K -14.74%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -4.19%E -2.51%K -6.26%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-06 12:40
Pinnacle2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV +1.46%E +0.613%K +1.06%G +0.015%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -5.34%E -3.24%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-06 12:35
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.95%E -0.849%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.34%E -3.24%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-06 12:40
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.08%E -1.81%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.34%E -3.24%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-06 12:40
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.08%E -1.81%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.34%E -3.24%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-06 12:40
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.08%E -1.81%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.34%E -3.24%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-06 12:40
Hard Rock Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.08%E -1.81%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.34%E -3.24%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-06 12:39
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.35%E -3.88%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.34%E -3.24%K -8.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-06 12:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.35%E -3.88%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.34%E -3.24%K -8.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-06 12:40
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.08%E -1.81%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.91%E -3.61%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 12:40
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.08%E -1.81%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.91%E -3.61%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 12:40
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.08%E -1.81%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.91%E -3.61%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 12:40
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.08%E -1.81%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.91%E -3.61%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 12:40
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.08%E -1.81%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.91%E -3.61%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 12:40
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.08%E -1.81%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.91%E -3.61%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 12:40
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.08%E -1.81%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.91%E -3.61%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 12:40
Betclic (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.09%EV -11.33%E -5.45%K -10.49%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.91%EV -5.91%E -3.61%K -9.24%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-06 12:39
BetOnline.ag2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV +1.46%E +0.613%K +1.06%G +0.015%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -6.49%E -3.98%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-06 12:39
ReBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV +0.179%E +0.076%K +0.133%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -6.49%E -3.98%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-06 10:35
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -1.53%E -0.661%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -7.06%E -4.36%K -11.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-06 12:20
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.95%E -0.849%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.06%E -4.36%K -11.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-06 07:49
GTbets2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.95%E -0.849%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.06%E -4.36%K -11.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 18:10
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.95%E -0.849%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.06%E -4.36%K -11.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 18:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.95%E -0.849%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.06%E -4.36%K -11.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 18:25
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.95%E -0.849%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.06%E -4.36%K -11.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-06 08:45
BetUS2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.95%E -0.849%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.06%E -4.36%K -11.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-06 12:35
Marathon Bet2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -2.38%E -1.04%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -7.06%E -4.36%K -11.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 12:35
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.08%E -1.81%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.06%E -4.36%K -11.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 12:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.08%E -1.81%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.06%E -4.36%K -11.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 07:45
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -4.94%E -2.21%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -7.06%E -4.36%K -11.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-06 12:40
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -4.94%E -2.21%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -7.06%E -4.36%K -11.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-06 12:40
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.06%E -4.36%K -11.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-06 12:40
Betsson2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%EV -7.92%E -3.67%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%EV -7.06%E -4.36%K -11.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-06 12:40
BetAnything2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV +2.31%E +0.963%K +1.65%G +0.038%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -7.63%E -4.74%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-06 12:20
FanDuel2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV +0.606%E +0.257%K +0.445%G +0.003%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -7.63%E -4.74%K -12.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-06 12:34
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +0.179%E +0.076%K +0.133%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -7.63%E -4.74%K -12.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-06 12:20
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -4.94%E -2.21%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -7.63%E -4.74%K -12.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-06 12:40
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.63%E -4.74%K -12.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-06 12:40
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.63%E -4.74%K -12.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-06 12:40
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV +2.31%E +0.963%K +1.65%G +0.038%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -8.21%E -5.13%K -13.68%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-05 11:19
BetRivers2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV +1.46%E +0.613%K +1.06%G +0.015%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -8.21%E -5.13%K -13.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-06 07:55
Dabble (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +0.179%E +0.076%K +0.133%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -8.21%E -5.13%K -13.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-06 12:15
MyBookie.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +0.179%E +0.076%K +0.133%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -8.21%E -5.13%K -13.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-06 12:34
TAB2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +0.179%E +0.076%K +0.133%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -8.21%E -5.13%K -13.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-06 12:40
SportsBet2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -0.247%E -0.106%K -0.184%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -8.21%E -5.13%K -13.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-06 12:35
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -1.95%E -0.849%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.21%E -5.13%K -13.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-06 12:35
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -1.95%E -0.849%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.21%E -5.13%K -13.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-06 12:19
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.21%E -5.13%K -13.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-06 12:40
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -10.48%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -8.21%E -5.13%K -13.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-06 12:40
NetBet (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -1.10%E -0.474%K -0.833%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -9.35%E -5.92%K -16.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-06 12:24
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.13%EV -14.74%E -7.37%K -14.74%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 55.87%EV -9.35%E -5.92%K -16.13%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-06 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.87%EV -7.07%E -3.24%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.13%EV -9.93%E -6.32%K -17.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-06 12:40
Unibet (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV +3.59%E +1.48%K +2.51%G +0.090%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -10.50%E -6.73%K -18.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 12:40
NordicBet2.31I 43.29%NM 40.00%EV -1.53%E -0.661%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.00%EV -11.65%E -7.56%K -21.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-06 12:40
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV +1.46%E +0.613%K +1.06%G +0.015%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -12.22%E -7.99%K -23.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-06 12:40
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV +1.46%E +0.613%K +1.06%G +0.015%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -12.22%E -7.99%K -23.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-06 12:40
PMU (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV +0.179%E +0.076%K +0.133%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -12.22%E -7.99%K -23.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-06 12:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
ProphetX2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-07-06 12:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-07-06 12:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-07-06 12:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%0.9%2026-07-06 12:40
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%1.1%2026-07-06 12:40
Novig2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%2.1%2026-07-06 12:38
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 44.47%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%9.1%2026-07-06 12:40