La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Jasmine Paolini v Alexandra Eala
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jasmine Paolini (Local)
Predicción 42.63%2.35momio equitativo
EV +3.59%
Ventaja +1.48%
Kelly +2.51%
Crecimiento +0.090%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.43
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.10%42.79%42.31%47.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.252.252.4350.00%44.54%44.44%41.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Alexandra Eala (Visitante)
Predicción 57.37%1.74momio equitativo
EV +3.84%
Ventaja +2.12%
Kelly +4.74%
Crecimiento +0.182%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.81
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.62%57.21%57.69%60.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.531.631.621.8165.36%61.48%61.73%55.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -14.31%E -7.12%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV +3.84%E +2.12%K +4.74%G +0.182% | 5.0% | 2026-07-06 12:39 |
| Caesars | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -12.61%E -6.15%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -0.175%E -0.101%K -0.237%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-06 12:39 |
| BetMGM | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -12.61%E -6.15%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -1.90%E -1.11%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-06 12:39 |
| Bet Victor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.48%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.47%E -1.45%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-06 12:40 |
| Bally Bet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -12.18%E -5.91%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -2.47%E -1.45%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-06 12:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -10.48%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -3.62%E -2.15%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-06 12:40 |
| BoyleSports | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.19%E -2.51%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 12:40 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -10.48%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.19%E -2.51%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-06 12:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -10.48%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.19%E -2.51%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-06 12:20 |
| Fliff | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -14.74%E -7.37%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -4.19%E -2.51%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-06 12:40 |
| Pinnacle | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV +1.46%E +0.613%K +1.06%G +0.015% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -5.34%E -3.24%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-06 12:35 |
| Fanatics | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.95%E -0.849%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.34%E -3.24%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-06 12:40 |
| LeoVegas | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.08%E -1.81%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.34%E -3.24%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-06 12:40 |
| theScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.08%E -1.81%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.34%E -3.24%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-06 12:40 |
| Coolbet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.08%E -1.81%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.34%E -3.24%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-06 12:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.08%E -1.81%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.34%E -3.24%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-06 12:39 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.35%E -3.88%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.34%E -3.24%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-06 12:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.35%E -3.88%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.34%E -3.24%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-06 12:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.08%E -1.81%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.91%E -3.61%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-06 12:40 |
| Unibet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.08%E -1.81%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.91%E -3.61%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-06 12:40 |
| Casumo | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.08%E -1.81%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.91%E -3.61%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-06 12:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.08%E -1.81%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.91%E -3.61%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-06 12:40 |
| betPARX | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.08%E -1.81%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.91%E -3.61%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-06 12:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.08%E -1.81%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.91%E -3.61%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-06 12:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.08%E -1.81%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.91%E -3.61%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-06 12:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.09%EV -11.33%E -5.45%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.91%EV -5.91%E -3.61%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-06 12:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV +1.46%E +0.613%K +1.06%G +0.015% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -6.49%E -3.98%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-06 12:39 |
| ReBet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV +0.179%E +0.076%K +0.133%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -6.49%E -3.98%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-06 10:35 |
| 1xBet | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -1.53%E -0.661%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -7.06%E -4.36%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-06 12:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.95%E -0.849%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.06%E -4.36%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-06 07:49 |
| GTbets | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.95%E -0.849%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.06%E -4.36%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 18:10 |
| Neds | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.95%E -0.849%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.06%E -4.36%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 18:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.95%E -0.849%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.06%E -4.36%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 18:25 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.95%E -0.849%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.06%E -4.36%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-06 08:45 |
| BetUS | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.95%E -0.849%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.06%E -4.36%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-06 12:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -2.38%E -1.04%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -7.06%E -4.36%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-06 12:35 |
| betfred_uk | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.08%E -1.81%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.06%E -4.36%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-06 12:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.08%E -1.81%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.06%E -4.36%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-06 07:45 |
| Grosvenor | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -4.94%E -2.21%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -7.06%E -4.36%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-06 12:40 |
| TABtouch | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -4.94%E -2.21%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -7.06%E -4.36%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-06 12:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.06%E -4.36%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-06 12:40 |
| Betsson | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%EV -7.92%E -3.67%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%EV -7.06%E -4.36%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-06 12:40 |
| BetAnything | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV +2.31%E +0.963%K +1.65%G +0.038% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -7.63%E -4.74%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-06 12:20 |
| FanDuel | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV +0.606%E +0.257%K +0.445%G +0.003% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -7.63%E -4.74%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-06 12:34 |
| Bovada | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +0.179%E +0.076%K +0.133%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -7.63%E -4.74%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-06 12:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -4.94%E -2.21%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -7.63%E -4.74%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-06 12:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.63%E -4.74%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-06 12:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.63%E -4.74%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-06 12:40 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV +2.31%E +0.963%K +1.65%G +0.038% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -8.21%E -5.13%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-05 11:19 |
| BetRivers | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV +1.46%E +0.613%K +1.06%G +0.015% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -8.21%E -5.13%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-06 07:55 |
| Dabble (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +0.179%E +0.076%K +0.133%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -8.21%E -5.13%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-06 12:15 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +0.179%E +0.076%K +0.133%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -8.21%E -5.13%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-06 12:34 |
| TAB | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +0.179%E +0.076%K +0.133%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -8.21%E -5.13%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-06 12:40 |
| SportsBet | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -0.247%E -0.106%K -0.184%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -8.21%E -5.13%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-06 12:35 |
| PlayUp | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -1.95%E -0.849%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.21%E -5.13%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-06 12:35 |
| Everygame | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -1.95%E -0.849%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.21%E -5.13%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-06 12:19 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.21%E -5.13%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-06 12:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -10.48%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -8.21%E -5.13%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-06 12:40 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -1.10%E -0.474%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -9.35%E -5.92%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-06 12:24 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.13%EV -14.74%E -7.37%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.87%EV -9.35%E -5.92%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-07-06 12:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.87%EV -7.07%E -3.24%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.13%EV -9.93%E -6.32%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-06 12:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV +3.59%E +1.48%K +2.51%G +0.090% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -10.50%E -6.73%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 12:40 |
| NordicBet | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.00%EV -1.53%E -0.661%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.00%EV -11.65%E -7.56%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-06 12:40 |
| Paddy Power | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV +1.46%E +0.613%K +1.06%G +0.015% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -12.22%E -7.99%K -23.06%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-06 12:40 |
| Sky Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV +1.46%E +0.613%K +1.06%G +0.015% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -12.22%E -7.99%K -23.06%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-06 12:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV +0.179%E +0.076%K +0.133%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -12.22%E -7.99%K -23.06%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-06 12:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 0.7% | 2026-07-06 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 0.7% | 2026-07-06 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 0.7% | 2026-07-06 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05% | 0.9% | 2026-07-06 12:40 |
| Matchbook | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22% | 1.1% | 2026-07-06 12:40 |
| Novig | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36% | 2.1% | 2026-07-06 12:38 |
| Smarkets | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.47% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53% | 9.1% | 2026-07-06 12:40 |