A Escola das Odds

Elsa Jacquemot v Naomi Osaka

Início: 2026-06-29 15:20 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Elsa Jacquemot (Local)

Previsão 17.37%5.76odd justa
EV +30.27%
Vantagem +4.04%
Kelly +4.66%
Crescimento +1.41%

pressupondo odds máximas de 7.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
12.59%17.61%17.04%21.20%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.205.365.407.5023.81%18.66%18.52%13.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Naomi Osaka (Visitante)

Previsão 82.63%1.21odd justa
EV -1.67%
Vantagem -1.40%
Kelly -8.79%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.19

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
78.80%82.39%82.96%87.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.081.141.141.1992.59%87.61%87.72%84.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Ladbrokes (UK)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +30.27%E +4.04%K +4.66%G +1.41%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -10.76%E -9.96%K -134.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 14:50
BoyleSports6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +12.90%E +1.99%K +2.35%G +0.303%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -7.45%E -6.66%K -62.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 14:50
MyBookie.ag6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +8.56%E +1.37%K +1.63%G +0.140%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -7.45%E -6.66%K -62.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 14:50
BetRivers6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.22%E +0.703%K +0.844%G +0.036%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.63%E -5.87%K -50.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 14:30
Unibet (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.22%E +0.703%K +0.844%G +0.036%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.63%E -5.87%K -50.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 14:51
FanDuel6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +4.22%E +0.703%K +0.844%G +0.036%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.45%E -6.66%K -62.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 14:50
Caesars6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +4.22%E +0.703%K +0.844%G +0.036%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.28%E -7.46%K -75.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 14:31
GTbets5.88I 17.01%NM 16.24%EV +2.13%E +0.363%K +0.437%G +0.009%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.76%EV -5.80%E -5.09%K -41.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 14:29
betPARX5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -0.124%E -0.022%K -0.026%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.63%E -5.87%K -50.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 14:40
Pinnacle5.73I 17.45%NM 16.72%EV -0.471%E -0.082%K -0.100%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.28%EV -4.98%E -4.33%K -33.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 14:30
DraftKings5.73I 17.45%NM 16.72%EV -0.471%E -0.082%K -0.100%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.28%EV -4.98%E -4.33%K -33.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 14:51
NordicBet5.64I 17.73%NM 16.44%EV -2.03%E -0.361%K -0.438%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.56%EV -8.28%E -7.46%K -75.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 14:51
Betsson5.64I 17.73%NM 16.44%EV -2.03%E -0.361%K -0.438%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.56%EV -8.28%E -7.46%K -75.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 14:51
Ladbrokes (AU)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -2.73%E -0.487%K -0.593%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.80%E -5.09%K -41.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:30
Neds5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -2.73%E -0.487%K -0.593%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.80%E -5.09%K -41.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:30
Betway5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.47%E -0.812%K -0.992%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.98%E -4.33%K -33.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 14:30
BetAnything5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.47%E -0.812%K -0.992%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.98%E -4.33%K -33.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 14:30
Unibet (FR)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.47%E -0.812%K -0.992%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.80%E -5.09%K -41.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 14:30
Everygame5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.47%E -0.812%K -0.992%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.80%E -5.09%K -41.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 14:30
Betr (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.47%E -0.812%K -0.992%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.80%E -5.09%K -41.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 14:30
BetUS5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.47%E -0.812%K -0.992%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.80%E -5.09%K -41.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 14:22
betfred_uk5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.47%E -0.812%K -0.992%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.80%E -5.09%K -41.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 14:30
William Hill5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.47%E -0.812%K -0.992%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.80%E -5.09%K -41.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 14:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.47%E -0.812%K -0.992%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.63%E -5.87%K -50.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 14:50
theScore Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.47%E -0.812%K -0.992%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.63%E -5.87%K -50.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 14:50
NetBet (FR)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.47%E -0.812%K -0.992%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.63%E -5.87%K -50.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 14:31
Tipico (DE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -4.47%E -0.812%K -0.992%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.45%E -6.66%K -62.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 14:50
888sport5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -4.47%E -0.812%K -0.992%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.45%E -6.66%K -62.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 14:51
Mr Green (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -4.47%E -0.812%K -0.992%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.45%E -6.66%K -62.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 14:51
888sport (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -4.47%E -0.812%K -0.992%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.45%E -6.66%K -62.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 14:51
Unibet (NL)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -6.20%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.98%E -4.33%K -33.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 14:51
Casumo5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -6.20%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.98%E -4.33%K -33.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 14:51
Svenska Spel5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -6.20%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.98%E -4.33%K -33.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 14:51
SportsBet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -6.20%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -6.63%E -5.87%K -50.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 14:43
Grosvenor5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -7.94%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -5.80%E -5.09%K -41.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-29 14:51
TABtouch5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -7.94%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -5.80%E -5.09%K -41.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-29 14:51
Coral5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.81%E -1.68%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.98%E -4.33%K -33.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 14:51
Bally Bet5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -8.81%E -1.68%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.80%E -5.09%K -41.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 14:51
LiveScore Bet5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -8.81%E -1.68%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -6.63%E -5.87%K -50.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 14:50
Virgin Bet5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -8.81%E -1.68%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -6.63%E -5.87%K -50.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 14:50
BetOnline.ag5.24I 19.08%NM 18.38%EV -8.98%E -1.71%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.62%EV -2.50%E -2.12%K -13.87%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 14:40
PMU (FR)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -9.68%E -1.86%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.15%EV -6.63%E -5.87%K -50.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-29 14:51
Bovada5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -2.50%E -2.12%K -13.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 14:49
Dabble (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -2.50%E -2.12%K -13.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 14:40
BetMGM5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.98%E -4.33%K -33.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 14:51
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.80%E -5.09%K -41.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-29 14:50
Sky Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.80%E -5.09%K -41.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-29 14:50
Unibet (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -14.89%E -3.04%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -3.32%E -2.84%K -19.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 14:50
Unibet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -14.89%E -3.04%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -3.32%E -2.84%K -19.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 14:50
ATG (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -14.89%E -3.04%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -3.32%E -2.84%K -19.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 14:50
Winamax (DE)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -14.89%E -3.04%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 81.40%EV -7.45%E -6.66%K -62.12%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-29 14:50
Fanatics4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV -15.76%E -3.25%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -1.67%E -1.40%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 14:50
PlayUp4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -15.76%E -3.25%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -2.50%E -2.12%K -13.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 14:40
Fliff4.85I 20.62%NM 19.03%EV -15.76%E -3.25%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 80.97%EV -5.80%E -5.09%K -41.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-29 14:51
Betclic (FR)4.85I 20.62%NM 18.90%EV -15.76%E -3.25%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.10%EV -6.63%E -5.87%K -50.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-29 14:49
Coolbet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -16.62%E -3.46%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -2.50%E -2.12%K -13.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:50
TAB4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -16.62%E -3.46%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -4.15%E -3.58%K -25.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 14:50
PointsBet (AU)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -17.49%E -3.68%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -4.15%E -3.58%K -25.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-29 14:51
LeoVegas4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -20.10%E -4.37%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -4.98%E -4.33%K -33.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-29 14:50
LeoVegas (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%EV -20.10%E -4.37%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 80.14%EV -5.80%E -5.09%K -41.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-29 14:50
Bet Victor4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -21.84%E -4.85%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -2.50%E -2.12%K -13.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 14:50
Winamax (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -27.05%E -6.44%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 78.80%EV -6.63%E -5.87%K -50.98%G +0.000%12.3%2026-06-29 14:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94%0.6%2026-06-29 14:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94%0.6%2026-06-29 14:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%1.1%2026-06-29 14:51
Matchbook6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%1.1%2026-06-29 14:51
Smarkets6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43%1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57%1.4%2026-06-29 14:51
ProphetX5.90I 16.95%NM 16.43%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.57%3.2%2026-06-29 14:51
Novig5.56I 17.99%NM 17.01%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.99%5.7%2026-06-29 14:51