La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Elsa Jacquemot v Naomi Osaka
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Elsa Jacquemot (Local)
Predicción 17.37%5.76momio equitativo
EV +30.27%
Ventaja +4.04%
Kelly +4.66%
Crecimiento +1.41%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.59%17.61%17.04%21.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.205.365.407.5023.81%18.66%18.52%13.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Naomi Osaka (Visitante)
Predicción 82.63%1.21momio equitativo
EV -1.67%
Ventaja -1.40%
Kelly -8.79%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.19
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
78.80%82.39%82.96%87.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.081.141.141.1992.59%87.61%87.72%84.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +30.27%E +4.04%K +4.66%G +1.41% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -10.76%E -9.96%K -134.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| BoyleSports | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +12.90%E +1.99%K +2.35%G +0.303% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -7.45%E -6.66%K -62.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| MyBookie.ag | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +8.56%E +1.37%K +1.63%G +0.140% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -7.45%E -6.66%K -62.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| BetRivers | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.22%E +0.703%K +0.844%G +0.036% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.63%E -5.87%K -50.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 14:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.22%E +0.703%K +0.844%G +0.036% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.63%E -5.87%K -50.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 14:51 |
| FanDuel | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +4.22%E +0.703%K +0.844%G +0.036% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.45%E -6.66%K -62.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Caesars | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +4.22%E +0.703%K +0.844%G +0.036% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.28%E -7.46%K -75.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-29 14:31 |
| GTbets | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.24%EV +2.13%E +0.363%K +0.437%G +0.009% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.76%EV -5.80%E -5.09%K -41.44%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 14:29 |
| betPARX | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -0.124%E -0.022%K -0.026%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.63%E -5.87%K -50.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Pinnacle | 5.73I 17.45%NM 16.72%EV -0.471%E -0.082%K -0.100%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.28%EV -4.98%E -4.33%K -33.17%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-29 14:30 |
| DraftKings | 5.73I 17.45%NM 16.72%EV -0.471%E -0.082%K -0.100%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.28%EV -4.98%E -4.33%K -33.17%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-29 14:51 |
| NordicBet | 5.64I 17.73%NM 16.44%EV -2.03%E -0.361%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.56%EV -8.28%E -7.46%K -75.28%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-29 14:51 |
| Betsson | 5.64I 17.73%NM 16.44%EV -2.03%E -0.361%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.56%EV -8.28%E -7.46%K -75.28%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-29 14:51 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -2.73%E -0.487%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.80%E -5.09%K -41.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 14:30 |
| Neds | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -2.73%E -0.487%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.80%E -5.09%K -41.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 14:30 |
| Betway | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.47%E -0.812%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.98%E -4.33%K -33.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 14:30 |
| BetAnything | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.47%E -0.812%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.98%E -4.33%K -33.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 14:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.47%E -0.812%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.80%E -5.09%K -41.44%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 14:30 |
| Everygame | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.47%E -0.812%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.80%E -5.09%K -41.44%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 14:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.47%E -0.812%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.80%E -5.09%K -41.44%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 14:30 |
| BetUS | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.47%E -0.812%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.80%E -5.09%K -41.44%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 14:22 |
| betfred_uk | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.47%E -0.812%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.80%E -5.09%K -41.44%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 14:30 |
| William Hill | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.47%E -0.812%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.80%E -5.09%K -41.44%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 14:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.47%E -0.812%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.63%E -5.87%K -50.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| theScore Bet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.47%E -0.812%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.63%E -5.87%K -50.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| NetBet (FR) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.47%E -0.812%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.63%E -5.87%K -50.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 14:31 |
| Tipico (DE) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -4.47%E -0.812%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.45%E -6.66%K -62.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| 888sport | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -4.47%E -0.812%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.45%E -6.66%K -62.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-29 14:51 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -4.47%E -0.812%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.45%E -6.66%K -62.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-29 14:51 |
| 888sport (SE) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -4.47%E -0.812%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.45%E -6.66%K -62.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-29 14:51 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -6.20%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.98%E -4.33%K -33.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 14:51 |
| Casumo | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -6.20%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.98%E -4.33%K -33.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 14:51 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -6.20%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.98%E -4.33%K -33.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 14:51 |
| SportsBet | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -6.20%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -6.63%E -5.87%K -50.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 14:43 |
| Grosvenor | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -7.94%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -5.80%E -5.09%K -41.44%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-29 14:51 |
| TABtouch | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -7.94%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -5.80%E -5.09%K -41.44%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-29 14:51 |
| Coral | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.81%E -1.68%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.98%E -4.33%K -33.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 14:51 |
| Bally Bet | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -8.81%E -1.68%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.80%E -5.09%K -41.44%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-29 14:51 |
| LiveScore Bet | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -8.81%E -1.68%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -6.63%E -5.87%K -50.98%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -8.81%E -1.68%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -6.63%E -5.87%K -50.98%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 5.24I 19.08%NM 18.38%EV -8.98%E -1.71%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.62%EV -2.50%E -2.12%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -9.68%E -1.86%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.15%EV -6.63%E -5.87%K -50.98%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-29 14:51 |
| Bovada | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -2.50%E -2.12%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 14:49 |
| Dabble (AU) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -2.50%E -2.12%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| BetMGM | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.98%E -4.33%K -33.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 14:51 |
| Paddy Power | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.80%E -5.09%K -41.44%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Sky Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.80%E -5.09%K -41.44%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -14.89%E -3.04%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -3.32%E -2.84%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Unibet | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -14.89%E -3.04%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -3.32%E -2.84%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -14.89%E -3.04%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -3.32%E -2.84%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -14.89%E -3.04%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.40%EV -7.45%E -6.66%K -62.12%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Fanatics | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV -15.76%E -3.25%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -1.67%E -1.40%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| PlayUp | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -15.76%E -3.25%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -2.50%E -2.12%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Fliff | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.03%EV -15.76%E -3.25%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.97%EV -5.80%E -5.09%K -41.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-29 14:51 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.90%EV -15.76%E -3.25%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.10%EV -6.63%E -5.87%K -50.98%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-29 14:49 |
| Coolbet | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -16.62%E -3.46%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -2.50%E -2.12%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| TAB | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -16.62%E -3.46%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -4.15%E -3.58%K -25.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -17.49%E -3.68%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -4.15%E -3.58%K -25.93%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-29 14:51 |
| LeoVegas | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -20.10%E -4.37%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -4.98%E -4.33%K -33.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%EV -20.10%E -4.37%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.14%EV -5.80%E -5.09%K -41.44%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Bet Victor | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -21.84%E -4.85%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -2.50%E -2.12%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -27.05%E -6.44%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 78.80%EV -6.63%E -5.87%K -50.98%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-06-29 14:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94% | 0.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94% | 0.6% | 2026-06-29 14:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 1.1% | 2026-06-29 14:51 |
| Matchbook | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 1.1% | 2026-06-29 14:51 |
| Smarkets | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57% | 1.4% | 2026-06-29 14:51 |
| ProphetX | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.43% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.57% | 3.2% | 2026-06-29 14:51 |
| Novig | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.01% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.99% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 14:51 |