مدرسة الاحتمالات

Elsa Jacquemot v Naomi Osaka

البداية: 2026-06-29 15:20 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Elsa Jacquemot (المضيف)

التنبؤ 17.37%5.76السعر العادل
EV +30.27%
الأفضلية +4.04%
Kelly +4.66%
النمو +1.41%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 7.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
12.59%17.61%17.04%21.20%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.205.365.407.5023.81%18.66%18.52%13.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Naomi Osaka (الضيف)

التنبؤ 82.63%1.21السعر العادل
EV -1.67%
الأفضلية -1.40%
Kelly -8.79%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.19

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
78.80%82.39%82.96%87.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.081.141.141.1992.59%87.61%87.72%84.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Ladbrokes (UK)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +30.27%E +4.04%K +4.66%G +1.41%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -10.76%E -9.96%K -134.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 14:50
BoyleSports6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +12.90%E +1.99%K +2.35%G +0.303%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -7.45%E -6.66%K -62.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 14:50
MyBookie.ag6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +8.56%E +1.37%K +1.63%G +0.140%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -7.45%E -6.66%K -62.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 14:50
BetRivers6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.22%E +0.703%K +0.844%G +0.036%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.63%E -5.87%K -50.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 14:30
Unibet (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.22%E +0.703%K +0.844%G +0.036%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.63%E -5.87%K -50.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 14:51
FanDuel6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +4.22%E +0.703%K +0.844%G +0.036%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.45%E -6.66%K -62.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 14:50
Caesars6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +4.22%E +0.703%K +0.844%G +0.036%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.28%E -7.46%K -75.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 14:31
GTbets5.88I 17.01%NM 16.24%EV +2.13%E +0.363%K +0.437%G +0.009%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.76%EV -5.80%E -5.09%K -41.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 14:29
betPARX5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -0.124%E -0.022%K -0.026%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.63%E -5.87%K -50.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 14:40
Pinnacle5.73I 17.45%NM 16.72%EV -0.471%E -0.082%K -0.100%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.28%EV -4.98%E -4.33%K -33.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 14:30
DraftKings5.73I 17.45%NM 16.72%EV -0.471%E -0.082%K -0.100%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.28%EV -4.98%E -4.33%K -33.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 14:51
NordicBet5.64I 17.73%NM 16.44%EV -2.03%E -0.361%K -0.438%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.56%EV -8.28%E -7.46%K -75.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 14:51
Betsson5.64I 17.73%NM 16.44%EV -2.03%E -0.361%K -0.438%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.56%EV -8.28%E -7.46%K -75.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 14:51
Ladbrokes (AU)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -2.73%E -0.487%K -0.593%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.80%E -5.09%K -41.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:30
Neds5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -2.73%E -0.487%K -0.593%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.80%E -5.09%K -41.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:30
Betway5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.47%E -0.812%K -0.992%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.98%E -4.33%K -33.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 14:30
BetAnything5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.47%E -0.812%K -0.992%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.98%E -4.33%K -33.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 14:30
Unibet (FR)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.47%E -0.812%K -0.992%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.80%E -5.09%K -41.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 14:30
Everygame5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.47%E -0.812%K -0.992%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.80%E -5.09%K -41.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 14:30
Betr (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.47%E -0.812%K -0.992%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.80%E -5.09%K -41.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 14:30
BetUS5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.47%E -0.812%K -0.992%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.80%E -5.09%K -41.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 14:22
betfred_uk5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.47%E -0.812%K -0.992%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.80%E -5.09%K -41.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 14:30
William Hill5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.47%E -0.812%K -0.992%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.80%E -5.09%K -41.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 14:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.47%E -0.812%K -0.992%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.63%E -5.87%K -50.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 14:50
theScore Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.47%E -0.812%K -0.992%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.63%E -5.87%K -50.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 14:50
NetBet (FR)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.47%E -0.812%K -0.992%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.63%E -5.87%K -50.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 14:31
Tipico (DE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -4.47%E -0.812%K -0.992%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.45%E -6.66%K -62.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 14:50
888sport5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -4.47%E -0.812%K -0.992%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.45%E -6.66%K -62.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 14:51
Mr Green (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -4.47%E -0.812%K -0.992%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.45%E -6.66%K -62.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 14:51
888sport (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -4.47%E -0.812%K -0.992%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.45%E -6.66%K -62.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 14:51
Unibet (NL)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -6.20%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.98%E -4.33%K -33.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 14:51
Casumo5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -6.20%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.98%E -4.33%K -33.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 14:51
Svenska Spel5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -6.20%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.98%E -4.33%K -33.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 14:51
SportsBet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -6.20%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -6.63%E -5.87%K -50.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 14:43
Grosvenor5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -7.94%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -5.80%E -5.09%K -41.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-29 14:51
TABtouch5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -7.94%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -5.80%E -5.09%K -41.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-29 14:51
Coral5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.81%E -1.68%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.98%E -4.33%K -33.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 14:51
Bally Bet5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -8.81%E -1.68%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.80%E -5.09%K -41.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 14:51
LiveScore Bet5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -8.81%E -1.68%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -6.63%E -5.87%K -50.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 14:50
Virgin Bet5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -8.81%E -1.68%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -6.63%E -5.87%K -50.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 14:50
BetOnline.ag5.24I 19.08%NM 18.38%EV -8.98%E -1.71%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.62%EV -2.50%E -2.12%K -13.87%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 14:40
PMU (FR)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -9.68%E -1.86%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.15%EV -6.63%E -5.87%K -50.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-29 14:51
Bovada5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -2.50%E -2.12%K -13.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 14:49
Dabble (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -2.50%E -2.12%K -13.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 14:40
BetMGM5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.98%E -4.33%K -33.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 14:51
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.80%E -5.09%K -41.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-29 14:50
Sky Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.80%E -5.09%K -41.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-29 14:50
Unibet (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -14.89%E -3.04%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -3.32%E -2.84%K -19.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 14:50
Unibet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -14.89%E -3.04%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -3.32%E -2.84%K -19.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 14:50
ATG (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -14.89%E -3.04%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -3.32%E -2.84%K -19.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 14:50
Winamax (DE)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -14.89%E -3.04%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 81.40%EV -7.45%E -6.66%K -62.12%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-29 14:50
Fanatics4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV -15.76%E -3.25%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -1.67%E -1.40%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 14:50
PlayUp4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -15.76%E -3.25%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -2.50%E -2.12%K -13.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 14:40
Fliff4.85I 20.62%NM 19.03%EV -15.76%E -3.25%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 80.97%EV -5.80%E -5.09%K -41.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-29 14:51
Betclic (FR)4.85I 20.62%NM 18.90%EV -15.76%E -3.25%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.10%EV -6.63%E -5.87%K -50.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-29 14:49
Coolbet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -16.62%E -3.46%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -2.50%E -2.12%K -13.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:50
TAB4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -16.62%E -3.46%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -4.15%E -3.58%K -25.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 14:50
PointsBet (AU)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -17.49%E -3.68%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -4.15%E -3.58%K -25.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-29 14:51
LeoVegas4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -20.10%E -4.37%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -4.98%E -4.33%K -33.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-29 14:50
LeoVegas (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%EV -20.10%E -4.37%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 80.14%EV -5.80%E -5.09%K -41.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-29 14:50
Bet Victor4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -21.84%E -4.85%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -2.50%E -2.12%K -13.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 14:50
Winamax (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -27.05%E -6.44%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 78.80%EV -6.63%E -5.87%K -50.98%G +0.000%12.3%2026-06-29 14:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94%0.6%2026-06-29 14:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94%0.6%2026-06-29 14:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%1.1%2026-06-29 14:51
Matchbook6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%1.1%2026-06-29 14:51
Smarkets6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43%1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57%1.4%2026-06-29 14:51
ProphetX5.90I 16.95%NM 16.43%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.57%3.2%2026-06-29 14:51
Novig5.56I 17.99%NM 17.01%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.99%5.7%2026-06-29 14:51