Language:English
Elise Mertens v Laura Siegemund
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Elise Mertens (Local)
Prediction 73.11%1.37fair odd
EV -1.30%
Edge -0.964%
Kelly -3.72%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.98%73.03%73.06%74.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.261.301.301.3579.37%77.07%76.92%74.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Laura Siegemund (Visit)
Prediction 26.89%3.72fair odd
EV +0.836%
Edge +0.223%
Kelly +0.304%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.60%26.97%26.94%30.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.473.503.7532.26%28.85%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Elise Mertens (Local): 73.11%; Laura Siegemund (Visit): 26.89%. For Laura Siegemund (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.72. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.836%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -4.96%E -3.81%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV +0.836%E +0.223%K +0.304%G +0.003% | 3.6% | 2026-06-30 15:17 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.40%EV -6.42%E -5.01%K -22.92%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.60%EV +0.029%E +0.008%K +0.011%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.96%E -3.81%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -0.509%E -0.137%K -0.188%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-30 15:18 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -4.96%E -3.81%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -1.05%E -0.284%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.73%EV -5.69%E -4.41%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.27%EV -2.66%E -0.735%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 15:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.23%E -3.23%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.20%E -0.888%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-30 15:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.96%E -3.81%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.20%E -0.888%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.96%E -3.81%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.20%E -0.888%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 15:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.69%E -4.41%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.20%E -0.888%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 15:17 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.06%EV -3.49%E -2.65%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.94%EV -3.74%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-30 15:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -4.23%E -3.23%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -4.54%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-30 15:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.69%E -4.41%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -4.54%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.69%E -4.41%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -4.54%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -6.42%E -5.01%K -22.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -4.54%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 15:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -7.15%E -5.63%K -26.48%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -4.54%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-30 15:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -2.76%E -2.08%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-30 15:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.23%E -3.23%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-30 15:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.96%E -3.81%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 15:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.96%E -3.81%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 15:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.96%E -3.81%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 15:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.96%E -3.81%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 15:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.96%E -3.81%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 15:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.96%E -3.81%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 15:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.96%E -3.81%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 15:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.96%E -3.81%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.69%E -4.41%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.69%E -4.41%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 15:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.69%E -4.41%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 15:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.69%E -4.41%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 15:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.69%E -4.41%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.69%E -4.41%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.42%E -5.01%K -22.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.01%EV -5.69%E -4.41%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 26.99%EV -6.16%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.01%EV -5.69%E -4.41%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 26.99%EV -6.16%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%EV -1.30%E -0.964%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%EV -7.23%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-30 15:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.96%E -3.81%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.23%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.96%E -3.81%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.23%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.96%E -3.81%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.23%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.96%E -3.81%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.23%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.96%E -3.81%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.23%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 15:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.96%E -3.81%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.23%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.96%E -3.81%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.23%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.69%E -4.41%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.58%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-30 15:18 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -7.88%E -6.25%K -30.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.58%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.49%EV -2.03%E -1.52%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.51%EV -9.65%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-30 15:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.49%E -2.65%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -9.92%E -2.96%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 15:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.49%E -2.65%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -9.92%E -2.96%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 15:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -4.23%E -3.23%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -9.92%E -2.96%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 15:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -5.69%E -4.41%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -9.92%E -2.96%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 15:16 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -5.69%E -4.41%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -9.92%E -2.96%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 15:16 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -5.69%E -4.41%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -9.92%E -2.96%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -5.69%E -4.41%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -9.92%E -2.96%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -5.69%E -4.41%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -9.92%E -2.96%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -5.69%E -4.41%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -9.92%E -2.96%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -7.15%E -5.63%K -26.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -9.92%E -2.96%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -4.23%E -3.23%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -11.26%E -3.41%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-30 15:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -7.15%E -5.63%K -26.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -11.26%E -3.41%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -7.15%E -5.63%K -26.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -11.26%E -3.41%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -4.96%E -3.81%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -12.61%E -3.88%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -4.96%E -3.81%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -12.61%E -3.88%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -2.76%E -2.08%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -16.64%E -5.37%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 0.8% | 2026-06-30 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 0.8% | 2026-06-30 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 0.8% | 2026-06-30 15:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 0.8% | 2026-06-30 15:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.07% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93% | 1.5% | 2026-06-30 15:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.07% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93% | 1.5% | 2026-06-30 15:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.71% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29% | 2.8% | 2026-06-30 15:09 |