StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Elise Mertens v Laura Siegemund

Spielbeginn: 2026-06-30 15:25 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

61 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Elise Mertens (Heim)

Prognose 73.11%1.37faire Quote
EV -1.30%
Vorteil -0.964%
Kelly -3.72%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.35

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
69.98%73.03%73.06%74.40%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.261.301.301.3579.37%77.07%76.92%74.07%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Laura Siegemund (Auswärts)

Prognose 26.89%3.72faire Quote
EV +0.836%
Vorteil +0.223%
Kelly +0.304%
Wachstum +0.003%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.75

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
25.60%26.97%26.94%30.02%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.103.473.503.7532.26%28.85%28.57%26.67%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Elise Mertens (Heim): 73.11%; Laura Siegemund (Auswärts): 26.89%. Für Laura Siegemund (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.72. 2 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 3.75 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +0.836%.

Wettanbieterquoten (61 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Winamax (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -4.96%E -3.81%K -16.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV +0.836%E +0.223%K +0.304%G +0.003%3.6%2026-06-30 15:17
DraftKings🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.40%EV -6.42%E -5.01%K -22.92%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.60%EV +0.029%E +0.008%K +0.011%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 15:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.96%E -3.81%K -16.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -0.509%E -0.137%K -0.188%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 15:18
BetOnline.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -4.96%E -3.81%K -16.52%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -1.05%E -0.284%K -0.390%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 15:19
SportsBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.73%EV -5.69%E -4.41%K -19.61%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.27%EV -2.66%E -0.735%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 15:09
Bovada🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.23%E -3.23%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.20%E -0.888%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 15:09
Coolbet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.96%E -3.81%K -16.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.20%E -0.888%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 15:19
Dabble (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.96%E -3.81%K -16.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.20%E -0.888%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 15:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.69%E -4.41%K -19.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.20%E -0.888%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 15:17
Pinnacle🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.06%EV -3.49%E -2.65%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.94%EV -3.74%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 15:20
FanDuel🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -4.23%E -3.23%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -4.54%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 15:10
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.69%E -4.41%K -19.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -4.54%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 15:19
theScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.69%E -4.41%K -19.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -4.54%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 15:19
Everygame🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -6.42%E -5.01%K -22.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -4.54%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 15:09
NetBet (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -7.15%E -5.63%K -26.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -4.54%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 15:09
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -2.76%E -2.08%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-30 15:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.23%E -3.23%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 15:09
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.96%E -3.81%K -16.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 15:09
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.96%E -3.81%K -16.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 15:09
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.96%E -3.81%K -16.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 15:09
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.96%E -3.81%K -16.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 15:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.96%E -3.81%K -16.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 15:09
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.96%E -3.81%K -16.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 15:10
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.96%E -3.81%K -16.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 15:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.96%E -3.81%K -16.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 15:19
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.69%E -4.41%K -19.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 15:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.69%E -4.41%K -19.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 15:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.69%E -4.41%K -19.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 15:09
betfred_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.69%E -4.41%K -19.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 15:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.69%E -4.41%K -19.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 15:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.69%E -4.41%K -19.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 15:19
TAB🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.42%E -5.01%K -22.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 15:19
Betsson🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.01%EV -5.69%E -4.41%K -19.61%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 26.99%EV -6.16%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 15:19
NordicBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.01%EV -5.69%E -4.41%K -19.61%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 26.99%EV -6.16%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 15:19
GTbets🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%EV -1.30%E -0.964%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%EV -7.23%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-30 15:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.96%E -3.81%K -16.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.23%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 15:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.96%E -3.81%K -16.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.23%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 15:19
Casumo🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.96%E -3.81%K -16.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.23%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 15:19
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.96%E -3.81%K -16.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.23%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 15:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.96%E -3.81%K -16.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.23%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 15:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.96%E -3.81%K -16.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.23%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 15:19
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.96%E -3.81%K -16.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.23%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 15:19
Bet Victor🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.69%E -4.41%K -19.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.58%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 15:18
Betclic (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -7.88%E -6.25%K -30.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.58%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-30 15:19
1xBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.49%EV -2.03%E -1.52%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.51%EV -9.65%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 15:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.49%E -2.65%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -9.92%E -2.96%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 15:09
Neds🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.49%E -2.65%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -9.92%E -2.96%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 15:09
BetUS🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -4.23%E -3.23%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -9.92%E -2.96%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 15:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -5.69%E -4.41%K -19.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -9.92%E -2.96%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 15:16
LiveScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -5.69%E -4.41%K -19.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -9.92%E -2.96%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 15:16
PMU (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -5.69%E -4.41%K -19.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -9.92%E -2.96%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 15:19
Grosvenor🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -5.69%E -4.41%K -19.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -9.92%E -2.96%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 15:19
TABtouch🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -5.69%E -4.41%K -19.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -9.92%E -2.96%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 15:19
Bally Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -5.69%E -4.41%K -19.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -9.92%E -2.96%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 15:19
Fliff🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -7.15%E -5.63%K -26.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -9.92%E -2.96%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-30 15:19
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -4.23%E -3.23%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -11.26%E -3.41%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-30 15:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -7.15%E -5.63%K -26.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -11.26%E -3.41%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-30 15:19
LeoVegas🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -7.15%E -5.63%K -26.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -11.26%E -3.41%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-30 15:19
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -4.96%E -3.81%K -16.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -12.61%E -3.88%K -5.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-30 15:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -4.96%E -3.81%K -16.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -12.61%E -3.88%K -5.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-30 15:19
Caesars🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -2.76%E -2.08%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -16.64%E -5.37%K -7.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 15:19
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%0.8%2026-06-30 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%0.8%2026-06-30 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%0.8%2026-06-30 15:10
Matchbook1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%0.8%2026-06-30 15:10
Smarkets1.33I 75.19%NM 74.07%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93%1.5%2026-06-30 15:20
ProphetX1.33I 75.19%NM 74.07%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93%1.5%2026-06-30 15:10
Novig1.32I 75.76%NM 73.71%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%2.8%2026-06-30 15:09