A Escola das Odds

Elise Mertens v Laura Siegemund

Início: 2026-06-30 15:25 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Elise Mertens (Local)

Previsão 73.11%1.37odd justa
EV -1.30%
Vantagem -0.964%
Kelly -3.72%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
69.98%73.03%73.06%74.40%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.261.301.301.3579.37%77.07%76.92%74.07%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Laura Siegemund (Visitante)

Previsão 26.89%3.72odd justa
EV +0.836%
Vantagem +0.223%
Kelly +0.304%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.60%26.97%26.94%30.02%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.473.503.7532.26%28.85%28.57%26.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Winamax (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -4.96%E -3.81%K -16.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV +0.836%E +0.223%K +0.304%G +0.003%3.6%2026-06-30 15:17
DraftKings1.28I 78.13%NM 74.40%EV -6.42%E -5.01%K -22.92%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.60%EV +0.029%E +0.008%K +0.011%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 15:19
Unibet (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.96%E -3.81%K -16.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -0.509%E -0.137%K -0.188%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 15:18
BetOnline.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -4.96%E -3.81%K -16.52%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -1.05%E -0.284%K -0.390%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 15:19
SportsBet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.73%EV -5.69%E -4.41%K -19.61%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.27%EV -2.66%E -0.735%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 15:09
Bovada1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.23%E -3.23%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.20%E -0.888%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 15:09
Coolbet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.96%E -3.81%K -16.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.20%E -0.888%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 15:19
Dabble (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.96%E -3.81%K -16.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.20%E -0.888%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 15:09
Winamax (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.69%E -4.41%K -19.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.20%E -0.888%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 15:17
Pinnacle1.32I 75.76%NM 73.06%EV -3.49%E -2.65%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.94%EV -3.74%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 15:20
FanDuel1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -4.23%E -3.23%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -4.54%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 15:10
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.69%E -4.41%K -19.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -4.54%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 15:19
theScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.69%E -4.41%K -19.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -4.54%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 15:19
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -6.42%E -5.01%K -22.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -4.54%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 15:09
NetBet (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -7.15%E -5.63%K -26.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -4.54%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 15:09
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -2.76%E -2.08%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-30 15:10
Hard Rock Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.23%E -3.23%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 15:09
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.96%E -3.81%K -16.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 15:09
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.96%E -3.81%K -16.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 15:09
BetRivers1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.96%E -3.81%K -16.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 15:09
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.96%E -3.81%K -16.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 15:09
Marathon Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.96%E -3.81%K -16.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 15:09
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.96%E -3.81%K -16.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 15:10
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.96%E -3.81%K -16.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 15:09
MyBookie.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.96%E -3.81%K -16.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 15:19
888sport1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.69%E -4.41%K -19.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 15:19
PointsBet (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.69%E -4.41%K -19.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 15:10
Betr (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.69%E -4.41%K -19.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 15:09
betfred_uk1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.69%E -4.41%K -19.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 15:09
Mr Green (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.69%E -4.41%K -19.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 15:19
888sport (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.69%E -4.41%K -19.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 15:19
TAB1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.42%E -5.01%K -22.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 15:19
Betsson1.29I 77.52%NM 73.01%EV -5.69%E -4.41%K -19.61%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 26.99%EV -6.16%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 15:19
NordicBet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.01%EV -5.69%E -4.41%K -19.61%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 26.99%EV -6.16%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 15:19
GTbets1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%EV -1.30%E -0.964%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%EV -7.23%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-30 15:09
Unibet (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.96%E -3.81%K -16.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.23%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 15:19
Unibet (NL)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.96%E -3.81%K -16.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.23%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 15:19
Casumo1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.96%E -3.81%K -16.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.23%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 15:19
Unibet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.96%E -3.81%K -16.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.23%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 15:19
ATG (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.96%E -3.81%K -16.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.23%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 15:20
Svenska Spel1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.96%E -3.81%K -16.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.23%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 15:19
betPARX1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.96%E -3.81%K -16.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.23%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 15:19
Bet Victor1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.69%E -4.41%K -19.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.58%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 15:18
Betclic (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -7.88%E -6.25%K -30.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.58%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-30 15:19
1xBet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.49%EV -2.03%E -1.52%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.51%EV -9.65%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 15:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.49%E -2.65%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -9.92%E -2.96%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 15:09
Neds1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.49%E -2.65%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -9.92%E -2.96%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 15:09
BetUS1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -4.23%E -3.23%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -9.92%E -2.96%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 15:09
Virgin Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -5.69%E -4.41%K -19.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -9.92%E -2.96%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 15:16
LiveScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -5.69%E -4.41%K -19.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -9.92%E -2.96%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 15:16
PMU (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -5.69%E -4.41%K -19.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -9.92%E -2.96%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 15:19
Grosvenor1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -5.69%E -4.41%K -19.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -9.92%E -2.96%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 15:19
TABtouch1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -5.69%E -4.41%K -19.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -9.92%E -2.96%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 15:19
Bally Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -5.69%E -4.41%K -19.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -9.92%E -2.96%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 15:19
Fliff1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -7.15%E -5.63%K -26.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -9.92%E -2.96%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-30 15:19
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -4.23%E -3.23%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -11.26%E -3.41%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-30 15:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -7.15%E -5.63%K -26.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -11.26%E -3.41%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-30 15:19
LeoVegas1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -7.15%E -5.63%K -26.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -11.26%E -3.41%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-30 15:19
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -4.96%E -3.81%K -16.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -12.61%E -3.88%K -5.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-30 15:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -4.96%E -3.81%K -16.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -12.61%E -3.88%K -5.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-30 15:19
Caesars1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -2.76%E -2.08%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -16.64%E -5.37%K -7.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 15:19
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%0.8%2026-06-30 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%0.8%2026-06-30 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%0.8%2026-06-30 15:10
Matchbook1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%0.8%2026-06-30 15:10
Smarkets1.33I 75.19%NM 74.07%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93%1.5%2026-06-30 15:20
ProphetX1.33I 75.19%NM 74.07%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93%1.5%2026-06-30 15:10
Novig1.32I 75.76%NM 73.71%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%2.8%2026-06-30 15:09