Language:English
Ashlyn Krueger v Marta Kostyuk
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ashlyn Krueger (Local)
Prediction 32.66%3.06fair odd
EV +7.77%
Edge +2.35%
Kelly +3.38%
Growth +0.263%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.34%32.74%32.11%36.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.892.873.3040.00%34.59%34.90%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Marta Kostyuk (Visit)
Prediction 67.34%1.48fair odd
EV +0.340%
Edge +0.228%
Kelly +0.694%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 1.49
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.43%67.26%67.89%70.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.401.401.4975.19%71.42%71.43%67.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ashlyn Krueger (Local): 32.66%; Marta Kostyuk (Visit): 67.34%. For Ashlyn Krueger (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.06. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.77%.
Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV +7.77%E +2.35%K +3.38%G +0.263% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV -7.74%E -5.65%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-06 09:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV +6.14%E +1.89%K +2.73%G +0.167% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -7.74%E -5.65%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-06 09:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.48%EV +5.48%E +1.70%K +2.46%G +0.135% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.52%EV -9.09%E -6.73%K -25.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-06 09:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43%EV +4.50%E +1.41%K +2.05%G +0.092% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.57%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-07-06 10:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV +2.87%E +0.912%K +1.34%G +0.038% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -10.43%E -7.85%K -31.62%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-06 10:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV +1.89%E +0.606%K +0.892%G +0.017% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -8.41%E -6.19%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-06 10:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV +1.24%E +0.400%K +0.590%G +0.007% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-06 09:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +1.24%E +0.400%K +0.590%G +0.007% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -7.07%E -5.12%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-06 09:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +1.24%E +0.400%K +0.590%G +0.007% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -7.07%E -5.12%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-06 09:23 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +1.24%E +0.400%K +0.590%G +0.007% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -7.07%E -5.12%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-06 09:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +1.24%E +0.400%K +0.590%G +0.007% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -7.07%E -5.12%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-06 09:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +1.24%E +0.400%K +0.590%G +0.007% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.41%E -6.19%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-06 09:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +1.24%E +0.400%K +0.590%G +0.007% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.41%E -6.19%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-06 09:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV +1.24%E +0.400%K +0.590%G +0.007% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -9.09%E -6.73%K -25.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-06 09:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -0.394%E -0.129%K -0.192%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-06 10:08 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.394%E -0.129%K -0.192%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -7.07%E -5.12%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 09:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.394%E -0.129%K -0.192%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -7.07%E -5.12%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 09:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -0.721%E -0.237%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -7.07%E -5.12%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-06 09:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.03%E -0.676%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-06 10:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.03%E -0.676%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-06 08:50 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.03%E -0.676%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-06 10:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -2.03%E -0.676%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.07%E -5.12%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-06 10:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.03%E -0.676%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.41%E -6.19%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-06 08:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.03%E -0.676%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.41%E -6.19%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-06 10:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.03%E -0.676%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.41%E -6.19%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-06 10:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.03%E -0.676%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.41%E -6.19%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-06 10:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.03%E -0.676%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.41%E -6.19%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-06 10:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.66%E -1.24%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 10:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -5.29%E -1.83%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.03%E -2.10%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-05 22:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -5.29%E -1.83%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.07%E -5.12%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-06 10:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -5.29%E -1.83%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.41%E -6.19%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-06 10:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.95%E -2.06%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-06 10:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -5.95%E -2.06%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.41%E -6.19%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-06 10:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.93%E -2.43%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.70%E -2.59%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-06 10:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -6.93%E -2.43%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -8.41%E -6.19%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-06 10:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -8.56%E -3.06%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.03%E -2.10%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-06 10:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.56%E -3.06%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.70%E -2.59%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-06 10:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.56%E -3.06%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.70%E -2.59%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-06 10:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.56%E -3.06%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.70%E -2.59%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-06 10:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.56%E -3.06%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.70%E -2.59%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-06 10:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.56%E -3.06%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.70%E -2.59%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-06 10:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.56%E -3.06%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.70%E -2.59%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-06 10:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.56%E -3.06%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-06 10:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.56%E -3.06%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-06 10:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -9.54%E -3.44%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -1.68%E -1.15%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-06 10:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.19%E -3.71%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.35%E -1.62%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 10:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.19%E -3.71%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.03%E -2.10%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-06 10:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -10.19%E -3.71%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -3.70%E -2.59%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-06 10:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -10.19%E -3.71%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -3.70%E -2.59%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-06 10:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.19%E -3.71%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.37%E -3.08%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-06 10:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.19%E -3.71%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.37%E -3.08%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-06 10:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -10.19%E -3.71%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -5.05%E -3.58%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-06 10:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.19%E -3.71%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-06 10:02 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.19%E -3.71%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-06 10:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.19%E -3.71%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-06 10:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -11.82%E -4.38%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -2.35%E -1.62%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-06 10:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -11.82%E -4.38%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.01%EV -6.39%E -4.60%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-06 10:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -11.82%E -4.38%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -7.07%E -5.12%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-06 10:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.72%EV -12.80%E -4.80%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.28%EV -4.37%E -3.08%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-06 10:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.72%EV -12.80%E -4.80%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.28%EV -4.37%E -3.08%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-06 10:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -13.46%E -5.08%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -2.35%E -1.62%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-06 10:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -14.11%E -5.37%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV +0.340%E +0.228%K +0.694%G +0.002% | 5.1% | 2026-07-06 10:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -15.09%E -5.80%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -2.35%E -1.62%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-06 10:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -15.09%E -5.80%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -4.37%E -3.08%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-06 10:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -16.72%E -6.56%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -1.01%E -0.685%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-06 10:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.40%EV -18.36%E -7.34%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 64.60%EV -7.74%E -5.65%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-07-06 10:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-07-06 10:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-07-06 10:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 0.8% | 2026-07-06 10:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63% | 1.2% | 2026-07-06 10:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06% | 1.2% | 2026-07-06 10:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08% | 2.7% | 2026-07-06 10:10 |
| Novig◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36% | 3.9% | 2026-07-06 10:10 |