La escuela de los momios

Ashlyn Krueger v Marta Kostyuk

Inicio: 2026-07-06 10:11 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

66 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Ashlyn Krueger (Local)

Predicción 32.66%3.06momio equitativo
EV +7.77%
Ventaja +2.35%
Kelly +3.38%
Crecimiento +0.263%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.34%32.74%32.11%36.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.892.873.3040.00%34.59%34.90%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Marta Kostyuk (Visitante)

Predicción 67.34%1.48momio equitativo
EV +0.340%
Ventaja +0.228%
Kelly +0.694%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.49

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.43%67.26%67.89%70.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.331.401.401.4975.19%71.42%71.43%67.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
BetOnline.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV +7.77%E +2.35%K +3.38%G +0.263%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV -7.74%E -5.65%K -20.92%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-06 09:29
Unibet (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV +6.14%E +1.89%K +2.73%G +0.167%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -7.74%E -5.65%K -20.92%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-06 09:50
1xBet3.23I 30.96%NM 29.48%EV +5.48%E +1.70%K +2.46%G +0.135%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.52%EV -9.09%E -6.73%K -25.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-06 09:50
Pinnacle3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43%EV +4.50%E +1.41%K +2.05%G +0.092%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.57%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.30%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-06 10:05
Bally Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV +2.87%E +0.912%K +1.34%G +0.038%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -10.43%E -7.85%K -31.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-06 10:09
SportsBet3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV +1.89%E +0.606%K +0.892%G +0.017%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -8.41%E -6.19%K -23.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 10:05
ReBet3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV +1.24%E +0.400%K +0.590%G +0.007%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-06 09:30
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +1.24%E +0.400%K +0.590%G +0.007%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -7.07%E -5.12%K -18.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-06 09:59
Bovada3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +1.24%E +0.400%K +0.590%G +0.007%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -7.07%E -5.12%K -18.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-06 09:23
BetAnything3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +1.24%E +0.400%K +0.590%G +0.007%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -7.07%E -5.12%K -18.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-06 09:25
BetUS3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +1.24%E +0.400%K +0.590%G +0.007%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -7.07%E -5.12%K -18.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-06 09:25
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +1.24%E +0.400%K +0.590%G +0.007%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.41%E -6.19%K -23.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-06 09:45
Everygame3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +1.24%E +0.400%K +0.590%G +0.007%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.41%E -6.19%K -23.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-06 09:25
NetBet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV +1.24%E +0.400%K +0.590%G +0.007%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -9.09%E -6.73%K -25.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-06 09:55
Unibet (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -0.394%E -0.129%K -0.192%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-06 10:08
Ladbrokes (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.394%E -0.129%K -0.192%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -7.07%E -5.12%K -18.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 09:30
Neds3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.394%E -0.129%K -0.192%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -7.07%E -5.12%K -18.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 09:30
Marathon Bet3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -0.721%E -0.237%K -0.353%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -7.07%E -5.12%K -18.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 09:40
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.03%E -0.676%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-06 10:00
BetRivers3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.03%E -0.676%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-06 08:50
Dabble (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.03%E -0.676%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-06 10:05
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -2.03%E -0.676%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.07%E -5.12%K -18.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-06 10:00
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.03%E -0.676%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.41%E -6.19%K -23.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-06 08:54
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.03%E -0.676%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.41%E -6.19%K -23.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-06 10:05
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.03%E -0.676%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.41%E -6.19%K -23.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-06 10:05
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.03%E -0.676%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.41%E -6.19%K -23.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-06 10:10
Caesars3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.03%E -0.676%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.41%E -6.19%K -23.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-06 10:09
MyBookie.ag2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.66%E -1.24%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 10:04
GTbets2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -5.29%E -1.83%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.03%E -2.10%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-05 22:45
TAB2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -5.29%E -1.83%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.07%E -5.12%K -18.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-06 10:10
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -5.29%E -1.83%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.41%E -6.19%K -23.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-06 10:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.95%E -2.06%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 10:10
Sky Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -5.95%E -2.06%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.41%E -6.19%K -23.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-06 10:10
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.93%E -2.43%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.70%E -2.59%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-06 10:10
Betclic (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -6.93%E -2.43%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -8.41%E -6.19%K -23.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-06 10:09
Hard Rock Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -8.56%E -3.06%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.03%E -2.10%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-06 10:10
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.56%E -3.06%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.70%E -2.59%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 10:10
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.56%E -3.06%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.70%E -2.59%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 10:10
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.56%E -3.06%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.70%E -2.59%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 10:10
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.56%E -3.06%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.70%E -2.59%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 10:10
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.56%E -3.06%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.70%E -2.59%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 10:10
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.56%E -3.06%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.70%E -2.59%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 10:10
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.56%E -3.06%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-06 10:10
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.56%E -3.06%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-06 10:10
DraftKings2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -9.54%E -3.44%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -1.68%E -1.15%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-06 10:10
Coolbet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.19%E -3.71%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.35%E -1.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 10:09
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.19%E -3.71%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.03%E -2.10%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-06 10:10
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -10.19%E -3.71%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -3.70%E -2.59%K -8.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-06 10:10
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -10.19%E -3.71%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -3.70%E -2.59%K -8.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-06 10:10
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.19%E -3.71%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.37%E -3.08%K -10.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-06 10:10
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.19%E -3.71%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.37%E -3.08%K -10.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-06 10:10
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -10.19%E -3.71%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -5.05%E -3.58%K -12.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-06 10:10
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.19%E -3.71%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-06 10:02
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.19%E -3.71%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-06 10:10
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.19%E -3.71%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-06 10:10
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -11.82%E -4.38%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -2.35%E -1.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-06 10:10
Fliff2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -11.82%E -4.38%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 66.01%EV -6.39%E -4.60%K -16.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-06 10:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -11.82%E -4.38%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -7.07%E -5.12%K -18.60%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-06 10:10
NordicBet2.67I 37.45%NM 34.72%EV -12.80%E -4.80%K -7.67%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.28%EV -4.37%E -3.08%K -10.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-06 10:10
Betsson2.67I 37.45%NM 34.72%EV -12.80%E -4.80%K -7.67%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.28%EV -4.37%E -3.08%K -10.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-06 10:10
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -13.46%E -5.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -2.35%E -1.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-06 10:10
Unibet (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -14.11%E -5.37%K -8.66%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV +0.340%E +0.228%K +0.694%G +0.002%5.1%2026-07-06 10:10
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -15.09%E -5.80%K -9.43%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -2.35%E -1.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-06 10:10
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -15.09%E -5.80%K -9.43%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -4.37%E -3.08%K -10.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-06 10:10
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -16.72%E -6.56%K -10.79%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -1.01%E -0.685%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-06 10:10
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.40%EV -18.36%E -7.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 64.60%EV -7.74%E -5.65%K -20.92%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-06 10:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-07-06 10:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-07-06 10:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-07-06 10:05
Matchbook3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%1.2%2026-07-06 10:10
Smarkets3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%1.2%2026-07-06 10:10
ProphetX3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%2.7%2026-07-06 10:10
Novig2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%3.9%2026-07-06 10:10