L’École des cotes

Ashlyn Krueger v Marta Kostyuk

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-06 10:11 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

66 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Ashlyn Krueger (Local)

Prévision 32.66%3.06cote équitable
EV +7.77%
Avantage +2.35%
Kelly +3.38%
Croissance +0.263%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.34%32.74%32.11%36.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.892.873.3040.00%34.59%34.90%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Marta Kostyuk (Visiteur)

Prévision 67.34%1.48cote équitable
EV +0.340%
Avantage +0.228%
Kelly +0.694%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 1.49

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.43%67.26%67.89%70.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.331.401.401.4975.19%71.42%71.43%67.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (66 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV +7.77%E +2.35%K +3.38%G +0.263%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV -7.74%E -5.65%K -20.92%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-06 09:29
Unibet (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV +6.14%E +1.89%K +2.73%G +0.167%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -7.74%E -5.65%K -20.92%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-06 09:50
1xBet3.23I 30.96%NM 29.48%EV +5.48%E +1.70%K +2.46%G +0.135%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.52%EV -9.09%E -6.73%K -25.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-06 09:50
Pinnacle3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43%EV +4.50%E +1.41%K +2.05%G +0.092%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.57%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.30%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-06 10:05
Bally Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV +2.87%E +0.912%K +1.34%G +0.038%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -10.43%E -7.85%K -31.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-06 10:09
SportsBet3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV +1.89%E +0.606%K +0.892%G +0.017%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -8.41%E -6.19%K -23.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 10:05
ReBet3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV +1.24%E +0.400%K +0.590%G +0.007%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-06 09:30
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +1.24%E +0.400%K +0.590%G +0.007%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -7.07%E -5.12%K -18.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-06 09:59
Bovada3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +1.24%E +0.400%K +0.590%G +0.007%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -7.07%E -5.12%K -18.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-06 09:23
BetAnything3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +1.24%E +0.400%K +0.590%G +0.007%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -7.07%E -5.12%K -18.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-06 09:25
BetUS3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +1.24%E +0.400%K +0.590%G +0.007%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -7.07%E -5.12%K -18.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-06 09:25
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +1.24%E +0.400%K +0.590%G +0.007%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.41%E -6.19%K -23.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-06 09:45
Everygame3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +1.24%E +0.400%K +0.590%G +0.007%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.41%E -6.19%K -23.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-06 09:25
NetBet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV +1.24%E +0.400%K +0.590%G +0.007%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -9.09%E -6.73%K -25.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-06 09:55
Unibet (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -0.394%E -0.129%K -0.192%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-06 10:08
Ladbrokes (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.394%E -0.129%K -0.192%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -7.07%E -5.12%K -18.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 09:30
Neds3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.394%E -0.129%K -0.192%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -7.07%E -5.12%K -18.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 09:30
Marathon Bet3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -0.721%E -0.237%K -0.353%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -7.07%E -5.12%K -18.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 09:40
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.03%E -0.676%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-06 10:00
BetRivers3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.03%E -0.676%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-06 08:50
Dabble (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.03%E -0.676%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-06 10:05
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -2.03%E -0.676%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.07%E -5.12%K -18.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-06 10:00
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.03%E -0.676%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.41%E -6.19%K -23.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-06 08:54
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.03%E -0.676%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.41%E -6.19%K -23.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-06 10:05
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.03%E -0.676%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.41%E -6.19%K -23.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-06 10:05
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.03%E -0.676%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.41%E -6.19%K -23.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-06 10:10
Caesars3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.03%E -0.676%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.41%E -6.19%K -23.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-06 10:09
MyBookie.ag2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.66%E -1.24%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 10:04
GTbets2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -5.29%E -1.83%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.03%E -2.10%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-05 22:45
TAB2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -5.29%E -1.83%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.07%E -5.12%K -18.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-06 10:10
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -5.29%E -1.83%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.41%E -6.19%K -23.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-06 10:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.95%E -2.06%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 10:10
Sky Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -5.95%E -2.06%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.41%E -6.19%K -23.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-06 10:10
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.93%E -2.43%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.70%E -2.59%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-06 10:10
Betclic (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -6.93%E -2.43%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -8.41%E -6.19%K -23.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-06 10:09
Hard Rock Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -8.56%E -3.06%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.03%E -2.10%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-06 10:10
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.56%E -3.06%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.70%E -2.59%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 10:10
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.56%E -3.06%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.70%E -2.59%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 10:10
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.56%E -3.06%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.70%E -2.59%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 10:10
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.56%E -3.06%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.70%E -2.59%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 10:10
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.56%E -3.06%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.70%E -2.59%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 10:10
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.56%E -3.06%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.70%E -2.59%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 10:10
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.56%E -3.06%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-06 10:10
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.56%E -3.06%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-06 10:10
DraftKings2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -9.54%E -3.44%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -1.68%E -1.15%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-06 10:10
Coolbet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.19%E -3.71%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.35%E -1.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 10:09
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.19%E -3.71%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.03%E -2.10%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-06 10:10
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -10.19%E -3.71%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -3.70%E -2.59%K -8.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-06 10:10
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -10.19%E -3.71%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -3.70%E -2.59%K -8.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-06 10:10
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.19%E -3.71%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.37%E -3.08%K -10.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-06 10:10
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.19%E -3.71%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.37%E -3.08%K -10.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-06 10:10
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -10.19%E -3.71%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -5.05%E -3.58%K -12.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-06 10:10
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.19%E -3.71%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-06 10:02
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.19%E -3.71%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-06 10:10
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.19%E -3.71%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-06 10:10
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -11.82%E -4.38%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -2.35%E -1.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-06 10:10
Fliff2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -11.82%E -4.38%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 66.01%EV -6.39%E -4.60%K -16.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-06 10:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -11.82%E -4.38%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -7.07%E -5.12%K -18.60%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-06 10:10
NordicBet2.67I 37.45%NM 34.72%EV -12.80%E -4.80%K -7.67%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.28%EV -4.37%E -3.08%K -10.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-06 10:10
Betsson2.67I 37.45%NM 34.72%EV -12.80%E -4.80%K -7.67%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.28%EV -4.37%E -3.08%K -10.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-06 10:10
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -13.46%E -5.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -2.35%E -1.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-06 10:10
Unibet (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -14.11%E -5.37%K -8.66%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV +0.340%E +0.228%K +0.694%G +0.002%5.1%2026-07-06 10:10
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -15.09%E -5.80%K -9.43%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -2.35%E -1.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-06 10:10
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -15.09%E -5.80%K -9.43%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -4.37%E -3.08%K -10.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-06 10:10
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -16.72%E -6.56%K -10.79%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -1.01%E -0.685%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-06 10:10
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.40%EV -18.36%E -7.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 64.60%EV -7.74%E -5.65%K -20.92%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-06 10:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-07-06 10:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-07-06 10:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-07-06 10:05
Matchbook3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%1.2%2026-07-06 10:10
Smarkets3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%1.2%2026-07-06 10:10
ProphetX3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%2.7%2026-07-06 10:10
Novig2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%3.9%2026-07-06 10:10