Language:English
Alexandra Eala v Renata Zarazua
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alexandra Eala (Local)
Prediction 82.80%1.21fair odd
EV -2.30%
Edge -1.95%
Kelly -12.78%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.18
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.37%82.84%82.83%85.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.131.131.1890.91%88.14%88.50%84.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Renata Zarazua (Visit)
Prediction 17.20%5.81fair odd
EV +11.82%
Edge +1.82%
Kelly +2.15%
Growth +0.254%
assuming max odds 6.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.47%17.16%17.17%19.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.755.625.606.5021.05%17.79%17.86%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alexandra Eala (Local): 82.80%; Renata Zarazua (Visit): 17.20%. For Renata Zarazua (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.81. 23 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.82%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -8.92%E -8.11%K -89.24%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +11.82%E +1.82%K +2.15%G +0.254% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.87%EV -6.44%E -5.70%K -49.54%G +0.000% | 6.34I 15.77%NM 15.13%EV +9.07%E +1.43%K +1.70%G +0.154% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 16:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.79%EV -6.44%E -5.70%K -49.54%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.21%EV +8.38%E +1.33%K +1.58%G +0.133% | 4.4% | 2026-06-30 16:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.57%EV -5.61%E -4.92%K -40.09%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV +7.52%E +1.20%K +1.43%G +0.108% | 3.7% | 2026-06-30 16:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -6.44%E -5.70%K -49.54%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV +4.08%E +0.675%K +0.808%G +0.033% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 16:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.78%E -4.16%K -31.89%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV +3.22%E +0.537%K +0.644%G +0.021% | 3.6% | 2026-06-30 16:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.78%E -4.16%K -31.89%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV +3.22%E +0.537%K +0.644%G +0.021% | 3.6% | 2026-06-30 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.44%E -5.70%K -49.54%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +3.22%E +0.537%K +0.644%G +0.021% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 16:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.44%E -5.70%K -49.54%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +3.22%E +0.537%K +0.644%G +0.021% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 16:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.44%E -5.70%K -49.54%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +3.22%E +0.537%K +0.644%G +0.021% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 16:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.27%E -6.49%K -60.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +3.22%E +0.537%K +0.644%G +0.021% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 16:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.27%E -6.49%K -60.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +3.22%E +0.537%K +0.644%G +0.021% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.27%E -6.49%K -60.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +3.22%E +0.537%K +0.644%G +0.021% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 16:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.27%E -6.49%K -60.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +3.22%E +0.537%K +0.644%G +0.021% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.27%E -6.49%K -60.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +3.22%E +0.537%K +0.644%G +0.021% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.27%E -6.49%K -60.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +3.22%E +0.537%K +0.644%G +0.021% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 16:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.27%E -6.49%K -60.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +3.22%E +0.537%K +0.644%G +0.021% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.27%E -6.49%K -60.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +3.22%E +0.537%K +0.644%G +0.021% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.27%E -6.49%K -60.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +3.22%E +0.537%K +0.644%G +0.021% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.10%E -7.29%K -73.60%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +3.22%E +0.537%K +0.644%G +0.021% | 6.8% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.10%E -7.29%K -73.60%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +3.22%E +0.537%K +0.644%G +0.021% | 6.8% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.10%E -7.29%K -73.60%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +3.22%E +0.537%K +0.644%G +0.021% | 6.8% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.10%E -7.29%K -73.60%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +3.22%E +0.537%K +0.644%G +0.021% | 6.8% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -8.10%E -7.29%K -73.60%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -0.219%E -0.038%K -0.046%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.44%E -5.70%K -49.54%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -1.08%E -0.188%K -0.227%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -8.10%E -7.29%K -73.60%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -1.08%E -0.188%K -0.227%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -8.10%E -7.29%K -73.60%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -1.08%E -0.188%K -0.227%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -8.10%E -7.29%K -73.60%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -1.08%E -0.188%K -0.227%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -5.61%E -4.92%K -40.09%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -1.94%E -0.340%K -0.413%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 16:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.72%EV -3.13%E -2.67%K -18.40%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.28%EV -3.66%E -0.654%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.61%E -4.92%K -40.09%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.66%E -0.654%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 16:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.61%E -4.92%K -40.09%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.66%E -0.654%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 16:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.61%E -4.92%K -40.09%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.66%E -0.654%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 16:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.96%E -3.41%K -24.73%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -5.38%E -0.978%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.78%E -4.16%K -31.89%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.38%E -0.978%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.78%E -4.16%K -31.89%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.38%E -0.978%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.61%E -4.92%K -40.09%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.38%E -0.978%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 16:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.61%E -4.92%K -40.09%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.38%E -0.978%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 16:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.61%E -4.92%K -40.09%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.38%E -0.978%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 16:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.61%E -4.92%K -40.09%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.38%E -0.978%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 16:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.44%E -5.70%K -49.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -5.38%E -0.978%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.44%E -5.70%K -49.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -5.38%E -0.978%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.27%E -6.49%K -60.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -5.38%E -0.978%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.27%E -6.49%K -60.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -5.38%E -0.978%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.95%EV -8.10%E -7.29%K -73.60%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.05%EV -7.10%E -1.31%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.96%E -3.41%K -24.73%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -8.82%E -1.66%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -4.78%E -4.16%K -31.89%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -8.82%E -1.66%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -7.27%E -6.49%K -60.57%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -8.82%E -1.66%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -7.27%E -6.49%K -60.57%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -8.82%E -1.66%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.68%EV -8.10%E -7.29%K -73.60%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV -8.82%E -1.66%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -3.96%E -3.41%K -24.73%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -9.68%E -1.84%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -3.96%E -3.41%K -24.73%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -9.68%E -1.84%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.78%E -4.16%K -31.89%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -9.68%E -1.84%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.61%E -4.92%K -40.09%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -9.68%E -1.84%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -6.44%E -5.70%K -49.54%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -9.68%E -1.84%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.75%EV -3.13%E -2.67%K -18.40%G +0.000% | 5.24I 19.08%NM 18.25%EV -9.85%E -1.88%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -2.30%E -1.95%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -13.12%E -2.60%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-30 16:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -2.30%E -1.95%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -13.98%E -2.80%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.13%E -2.67%K -18.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.98%E -2.80%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.78%E -4.16%K -31.89%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.98%E -2.80%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 16:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -6.44%E -5.70%K -49.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -13.98%E -2.80%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-30 16:08 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -6.44%E -5.70%K -49.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -13.98%E -2.80%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -3.13%E -2.67%K -18.40%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -17.42%E -3.63%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 16:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -3.96%E -3.41%K -24.73%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -18.28%E -3.85%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 0.9% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.33% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67% | 1.6% | 2026-06-30 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.33% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67% | 1.6% | 2026-06-30 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.33% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67% | 1.6% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.60% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 13.40% | 2.2% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.88% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.12% | 3.3% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.17% | 6.06I 16.50%NM 15.83% | 4.2% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |