La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Alexandra Eala v Renata Zarazua
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Alexandra Eala (Local)
Predicción 82.80%1.21momio equitativo
EV -2.30%
Ventaja -1.95%
Kelly -12.78%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.18
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
80.37%82.84%82.83%85.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.101.131.131.1890.91%88.14%88.50%84.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Renata Zarazua (Visitante)
Predicción 17.20%5.81momio equitativo
EV +11.82%
Ventaja +1.82%
Kelly +2.15%
Crecimiento +0.254%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.47%17.16%17.17%19.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.755.625.606.5021.05%17.79%17.86%15.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -8.92%E -8.11%K -89.24%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +11.82%E +1.82%K +2.15%G +0.254% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.87%EV -6.44%E -5.70%K -49.54%G +0.000% | 6.34I 15.77%NM 15.13%EV +9.07%E +1.43%K +1.70%G +0.154% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 16:10 |
| FanDuel | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.79%EV -6.44%E -5.70%K -49.54%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.21%EV +8.38%E +1.33%K +1.58%G +0.133% | 4.4% | 2026-06-30 16:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.57%EV -5.61%E -4.92%K -40.09%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV +7.52%E +1.20%K +1.43%G +0.108% | 3.7% | 2026-06-30 16:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -6.44%E -5.70%K -49.54%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV +4.08%E +0.675%K +0.808%G +0.033% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 16:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.78%E -4.16%K -31.89%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV +3.22%E +0.537%K +0.644%G +0.021% | 3.6% | 2026-06-30 16:09 |
| ReBet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.78%E -4.16%K -31.89%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV +3.22%E +0.537%K +0.644%G +0.021% | 3.6% | 2026-06-30 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.44%E -5.70%K -49.54%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +3.22%E +0.537%K +0.644%G +0.021% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 16:09 |
| Neds | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.44%E -5.70%K -49.54%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +3.22%E +0.537%K +0.644%G +0.021% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 16:10 |
| Sky Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.44%E -5.70%K -49.54%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +3.22%E +0.537%K +0.644%G +0.021% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 16:09 |
| Betway | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.27%E -6.49%K -60.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +3.22%E +0.537%K +0.644%G +0.021% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 16:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.27%E -6.49%K -60.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +3.22%E +0.537%K +0.644%G +0.021% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| William Hill | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.27%E -6.49%K -60.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +3.22%E +0.537%K +0.644%G +0.021% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 16:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.27%E -6.49%K -60.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +3.22%E +0.537%K +0.644%G +0.021% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| Unibet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.27%E -6.49%K -60.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +3.22%E +0.537%K +0.644%G +0.021% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| Everygame | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.27%E -6.49%K -60.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +3.22%E +0.537%K +0.644%G +0.021% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 16:09 |
| BetUS | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.27%E -6.49%K -60.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +3.22%E +0.537%K +0.644%G +0.021% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.27%E -6.49%K -60.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +3.22%E +0.537%K +0.644%G +0.021% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.27%E -6.49%K -60.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +3.22%E +0.537%K +0.644%G +0.021% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.10%E -7.29%K -73.60%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +3.22%E +0.537%K +0.644%G +0.021% | 6.8% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| 888sport | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.10%E -7.29%K -73.60%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +3.22%E +0.537%K +0.644%G +0.021% | 6.8% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.10%E -7.29%K -73.60%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +3.22%E +0.537%K +0.644%G +0.021% | 6.8% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.10%E -7.29%K -73.60%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +3.22%E +0.537%K +0.644%G +0.021% | 6.8% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| TABtouch | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -8.10%E -7.29%K -73.60%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -0.219%E -0.038%K -0.046%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.44%E -5.70%K -49.54%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -1.08%E -0.188%K -0.227%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -8.10%E -7.29%K -73.60%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -1.08%E -0.188%K -0.227%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -8.10%E -7.29%K -73.60%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -1.08%E -0.188%K -0.227%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -8.10%E -7.29%K -73.60%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -1.08%E -0.188%K -0.227%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -5.61%E -4.92%K -40.09%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -1.94%E -0.340%K -0.413%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 16:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.72%EV -3.13%E -2.67%K -18.40%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.28%EV -3.66%E -0.654%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| BetRivers | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.61%E -4.92%K -40.09%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.66%E -0.654%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 16:10 |
| Casumo | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.61%E -4.92%K -40.09%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.66%E -0.654%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 16:09 |
| betPARX | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.61%E -4.92%K -40.09%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.66%E -0.654%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 16:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.96%E -3.41%K -24.73%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -5.38%E -0.978%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.78%E -4.16%K -31.89%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.38%E -0.978%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| Fanatics | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.78%E -4.16%K -31.89%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.38%E -0.978%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| BoyleSports | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.61%E -4.92%K -40.09%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.38%E -0.978%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 16:09 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.61%E -4.92%K -40.09%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.38%E -0.978%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 16:35 |
| betfred_uk | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.61%E -4.92%K -40.09%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.38%E -0.978%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 16:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.61%E -4.92%K -40.09%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.38%E -0.978%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 16:09 |
| Grosvenor | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.44%E -5.70%K -49.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -5.38%E -0.978%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| theScore Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.44%E -5.70%K -49.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -5.38%E -0.978%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.27%E -6.49%K -60.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -5.38%E -0.978%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| Bally Bet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.27%E -6.49%K -60.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -5.38%E -0.978%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| LeoVegas | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.95%EV -8.10%E -7.29%K -73.60%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.05%EV -7.10%E -1.31%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.96%E -3.41%K -24.73%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -8.82%E -1.66%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -4.78%E -4.16%K -31.89%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -8.82%E -1.66%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| Betsson | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -7.27%E -6.49%K -60.57%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -8.82%E -1.66%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -7.27%E -6.49%K -60.57%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -8.82%E -1.66%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.68%EV -8.10%E -7.29%K -73.60%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV -8.82%E -1.66%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -3.96%E -3.41%K -24.73%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -9.68%E -1.84%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| Coolbet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -3.96%E -3.41%K -24.73%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -9.68%E -1.84%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| PlayUp | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.78%E -4.16%K -31.89%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -9.68%E -1.84%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.61%E -4.92%K -40.09%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -9.68%E -1.84%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| BetAnything | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -6.44%E -5.70%K -49.54%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -9.68%E -1.84%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| DraftKings | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.75%EV -3.13%E -2.67%K -18.40%G +0.000% | 5.24I 19.08%NM 18.25%EV -9.85%E -1.88%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| 1xBet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -2.30%E -1.95%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -13.12%E -2.60%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-30 16:34 |
| Bovada | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -2.30%E -1.95%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -13.98%E -2.80%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 16:39 |
| Coral | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.13%E -2.67%K -18.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.98%E -2.80%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| TAB | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.78%E -4.16%K -31.89%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.98%E -2.80%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 16:09 |
| Bet Victor | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -6.44%E -5.70%K -49.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -13.98%E -2.80%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-30 16:08 |
| Fliff | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -6.44%E -5.70%K -49.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -13.98%E -2.80%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| Caesars | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -3.13%E -2.67%K -18.40%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -17.42%E -3.63%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 16:35 |
| BetMGM | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -3.96%E -3.41%K -24.73%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -18.28%E -3.85%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 0.9% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.33% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67% | 1.6% | 2026-06-30 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.33% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67% | 1.6% | 2026-06-30 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.33% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67% | 1.6% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| ProphetX | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.60% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 13.40% | 2.2% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.88% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.12% | 3.3% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
| Novig | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.17% | 6.06I 16.50%NM 15.83% | 4.2% | 2026-06-30 16:40 |