L’École des cotes

Alexandra Eala v Renata Zarazua

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-30 17:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Alexandra Eala (Local)

Prévision 82.80%1.21cote équitable
EV -2.30%
Avantage -1.95%
Kelly -12.78%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.18

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
80.37%82.84%82.83%85.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.101.131.131.1890.91%88.14%88.50%84.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Renata Zarazua (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.20%5.81cote équitable
EV +11.82%
Avantage +1.82%
Kelly +2.15%
Croissance +0.254%

avec la cote maximale 6.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.47%17.16%17.17%19.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.755.625.606.5021.05%17.79%17.86%15.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -8.92%E -8.11%K -89.24%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +11.82%E +1.82%K +2.15%G +0.254%6.3%2026-06-30 16:40
Pinnacle1.13I 88.50%NM 84.87%EV -6.44%E -5.70%K -49.54%G +0.000%6.34I 15.77%NM 15.13%EV +9.07%E +1.43%K +1.70%G +0.154%4.3%2026-06-30 16:10
FanDuel1.13I 88.50%NM 84.79%EV -6.44%E -5.70%K -49.54%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.21%EV +8.38%E +1.33%K +1.58%G +0.133%4.4%2026-06-30 16:10
Betclic (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 84.57%EV -5.61%E -4.92%K -40.09%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV +7.52%E +1.20%K +1.43%G +0.108%3.7%2026-06-30 16:05
SportsBet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -6.44%E -5.70%K -49.54%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV +4.08%E +0.675%K +0.808%G +0.033%5.0%2026-06-30 16:10
BetOnline.ag1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.78%E -4.16%K -31.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV +3.22%E +0.537%K +0.644%G +0.021%3.6%2026-06-30 16:09
ReBet1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.78%E -4.16%K -31.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV +3.22%E +0.537%K +0.644%G +0.021%3.6%2026-06-30 16:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.44%E -5.70%K -49.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +3.22%E +0.537%K +0.644%G +0.021%5.2%2026-06-30 16:09
Neds1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.44%E -5.70%K -49.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +3.22%E +0.537%K +0.644%G +0.021%5.2%2026-06-30 16:10
Sky Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.44%E -5.70%K -49.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +3.22%E +0.537%K +0.644%G +0.021%5.2%2026-06-30 16:09
Betway1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.27%E -6.49%K -60.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +3.22%E +0.537%K +0.644%G +0.021%6.0%2026-06-30 16:10
Unibet (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.27%E -6.49%K -60.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +3.22%E +0.537%K +0.644%G +0.021%6.0%2026-06-30 16:40
William Hill1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.27%E -6.49%K -60.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +3.22%E +0.537%K +0.644%G +0.021%6.0%2026-06-30 16:30
Unibet (NL)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.27%E -6.49%K -60.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +3.22%E +0.537%K +0.644%G +0.021%6.0%2026-06-30 16:40
Unibet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.27%E -6.49%K -60.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +3.22%E +0.537%K +0.644%G +0.021%6.0%2026-06-30 16:40
Everygame1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.27%E -6.49%K -60.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +3.22%E +0.537%K +0.644%G +0.021%6.0%2026-06-30 16:09
BetUS1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.27%E -6.49%K -60.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +3.22%E +0.537%K +0.644%G +0.021%6.0%2026-06-30 16:39
ATG (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.27%E -6.49%K -60.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +3.22%E +0.537%K +0.644%G +0.021%6.0%2026-06-30 16:40
Svenska Spel1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.27%E -6.49%K -60.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +3.22%E +0.537%K +0.644%G +0.021%6.0%2026-06-30 16:40
Paddy Power1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.10%E -7.29%K -73.60%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +3.22%E +0.537%K +0.644%G +0.021%6.8%2026-06-30 16:40
888sport1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.10%E -7.29%K -73.60%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +3.22%E +0.537%K +0.644%G +0.021%6.8%2026-06-30 16:39
Mr Green (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.10%E -7.29%K -73.60%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +3.22%E +0.537%K +0.644%G +0.021%6.8%2026-06-30 16:40
888sport (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.10%E -7.29%K -73.60%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +3.22%E +0.537%K +0.644%G +0.021%6.8%2026-06-30 16:39
TABtouch1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -8.10%E -7.29%K -73.60%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -0.219%E -0.038%K -0.046%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-30 16:40
Betr (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.44%E -5.70%K -49.54%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -1.08%E -0.188%K -0.227%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 16:29
Virgin Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -8.10%E -7.29%K -73.60%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -1.08%E -0.188%K -0.227%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 16:40
LiveScore Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -8.10%E -7.29%K -73.60%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -1.08%E -0.188%K -0.227%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 16:40
PMU (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -8.10%E -7.29%K -73.60%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -1.08%E -0.188%K -0.227%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 16:40
Unibet (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -5.61%E -4.92%K -40.09%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -1.94%E -0.340%K -0.413%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 16:09
Winamax (DE)1.17I 85.47%NM 82.72%EV -3.13%E -2.67%K -18.40%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.28%EV -3.66%E -0.654%K -0.796%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-30 16:39
BetRivers1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.61%E -4.92%K -40.09%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.66%E -0.654%K -0.796%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 16:10
Casumo1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.61%E -4.92%K -40.09%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.66%E -0.654%K -0.796%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 16:09
betPARX1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.61%E -4.92%K -40.09%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.66%E -0.654%K -0.796%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 16:09
Unibet (UK)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.96%E -3.41%K -24.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -5.38%E -0.978%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 16:39
Dabble (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.78%E -4.16%K -31.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.38%E -0.978%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 16:29
Fanatics1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.78%E -4.16%K -31.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.38%E -0.978%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 16:40
BoyleSports1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.61%E -4.92%K -40.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.38%E -0.978%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 16:09
PointsBet (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.61%E -4.92%K -40.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.38%E -0.978%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 16:35
betfred_uk1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.61%E -4.92%K -40.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.38%E -0.978%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 16:35
Hard Rock Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.61%E -4.92%K -40.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.38%E -0.978%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 16:09
Grosvenor1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.44%E -5.70%K -49.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -5.38%E -0.978%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 16:39
theScore Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.44%E -5.70%K -49.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -5.38%E -0.978%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 16:40
Tipico (DE)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.27%E -6.49%K -60.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -5.38%E -0.978%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 16:40
Bally Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.27%E -6.49%K -60.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -5.38%E -0.978%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 16:39
LeoVegas1.11I 90.09%NM 82.95%EV -8.10%E -7.29%K -73.60%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.05%EV -7.10%E -1.31%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-30 16:39
Marathon Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.96%E -3.41%K -24.73%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -8.82%E -1.66%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 16:39
Winamax (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -4.78%E -4.16%K -31.89%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -8.82%E -1.66%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 16:39
Betsson1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -7.27%E -6.49%K -60.57%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -8.82%E -1.66%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-30 16:40
NordicBet1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -7.27%E -6.49%K -60.57%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -8.82%E -1.66%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-30 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 82.68%EV -8.10%E -7.29%K -73.60%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV -8.82%E -1.66%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-30 16:40
MyBookie.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -3.96%E -3.41%K -24.73%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -9.68%E -1.84%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 16:39
Coolbet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -3.96%E -3.41%K -24.73%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -9.68%E -1.84%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 16:40
PlayUp1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.78%E -4.16%K -31.89%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -9.68%E -1.84%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 16:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.61%E -4.92%K -40.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -9.68%E -1.84%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 16:40
BetAnything1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -6.44%E -5.70%K -49.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -9.68%E -1.84%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 16:39
DraftKings1.17I 85.47%NM 81.75%EV -3.13%E -2.67%K -18.40%G +0.000%5.24I 19.08%NM 18.25%EV -9.85%E -1.88%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 16:40
1xBet1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -2.30%E -1.95%K -12.78%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -13.12%E -2.60%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 16:34
Bovada1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -2.30%E -1.95%K -12.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -13.98%E -2.80%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 16:39
Coral1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.13%E -2.67%K -18.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.98%E -2.80%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 16:40
TAB1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.78%E -4.16%K -31.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.98%E -2.80%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 16:09
Bet Victor1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -6.44%E -5.70%K -49.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -13.98%E -2.80%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-30 16:08
Fliff1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -6.44%E -5.70%K -49.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -13.98%E -2.80%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-30 16:40
Caesars1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -3.13%E -2.67%K -18.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -17.42%E -3.63%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 16:35
BetMGM1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -3.96%E -3.41%K -24.73%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -18.28%E -3.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-30 16:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%0.9%2026-06-30 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 86.33%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67%1.6%2026-06-30 16:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 86.33%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67%1.6%2026-06-30 16:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.14I 87.72%NM 86.33%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67%1.6%2026-06-30 16:40
ProphetX1.13I 88.50%NM 86.60%7.30I 13.70%NM 13.40%2.2%2026-06-30 16:40
Smarkets1.14I 87.72%NM 84.88%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.12%3.3%2026-06-30 16:40
Novig1.14I 87.72%NM 84.17%6.06I 16.50%NM 15.83%4.2%2026-06-30 16:40