Language:English
Ajla Tomljanovic v Mariam Bolkvadze
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ajla Tomljanovic (Local)
Prediction 82.06%1.22fair odd
EV -0.706%
Edge -0.583%
Kelly -3.36%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.21
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.84%82.19%81.60%87.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.151.141.2192.59%86.98%87.72%82.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Mariam Bolkvadze (Visit)
Prediction 17.94%5.57fair odd
EV +34.54%
Edge +4.61%
Kelly +5.31%
Growth +1.84%
assuming max odds 7.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.59%17.81%18.40%22.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.255.255.107.5023.53%19.03%19.61%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ajla Tomljanovic (Local): 82.06%; Mariam Bolkvadze (Visit): 17.94%. For Mariam Bolkvadze (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.57. 18 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +34.54%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -11.37%E -10.53%K -142.17%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +34.54%E +4.61%K +5.31%G +1.84% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -9.73%E -8.85%K -97.32%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +25.57%E +3.65%K +4.26%G +1.09% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.23%EV -6.45%E -5.66%K -46.07%G +0.000% | 6.09I 16.42%NM 15.77%EV +9.25%E +1.52%K +1.82%G +0.168% | 4.1% | 2026-06-30 16:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -7.27%E -6.43%K -55.93%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV +8.53%E +1.41%K +1.69%G +0.144% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 16:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.08%EV -6.45%E -5.66%K -46.07%G +0.000% | 6.02I 16.61%NM 15.92%EV +7.99%E +1.33%K +1.59%G +0.127% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 16:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -5.63%E -4.89%K -37.53%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV +7.63%E +1.27%K +1.53%G +0.116% | 3.6% | 2026-06-30 16:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -7.27%E -6.43%K -55.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +7.63%E +1.27%K +1.53%G +0.116% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 16:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -7.27%E -6.43%K -55.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +7.63%E +1.27%K +1.53%G +0.116% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 16:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.91%E -8.03%K -81.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +7.63%E +1.27%K +1.53%G +0.116% | 6.8% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -5.63%E -4.89%K -37.53%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +3.15%E +0.547%K +0.662%G +0.021% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.45%E -5.66%K -46.07%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +3.15%E +0.547%K +0.662%G +0.021% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 16:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.45%E -5.66%K -46.07%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +3.15%E +0.547%K +0.662%G +0.021% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 16:08 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.45%E -5.66%K -46.07%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +3.15%E +0.547%K +0.662%G +0.021% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 16:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -7.27%E -6.43%K -55.93%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV +3.15%E +0.547%K +0.662%G +0.021% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 16:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -7.27%E -6.43%K -55.93%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV +3.15%E +0.547%K +0.662%G +0.021% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 16:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -7.27%E -6.43%K -55.93%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV +2.25%E +0.395%K +0.479%G +0.011% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 16:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -6.45%E -5.66%K -46.07%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV +0.455%E +0.081%K +0.099%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 16:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -6.45%E -5.66%K -46.07%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV +0.455%E +0.081%K +0.099%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 16:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -5.63%E -4.89%K -37.53%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.16%EV -0.441%E -0.080%K -0.097%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 16:18 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.63%E -4.89%K -37.53%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -1.34%E -0.243%K -0.297%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 16:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.45%E -5.66%K -46.07%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.34%E -0.243%K -0.297%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 16:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.45%E -5.66%K -46.07%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.34%E -0.243%K -0.297%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 16:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.45%E -5.66%K -46.07%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.34%E -0.243%K -0.297%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 16:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.45%E -5.66%K -46.07%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.34%E -0.243%K -0.297%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 16:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.45%E -5.66%K -46.07%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.34%E -0.243%K -0.297%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 16:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -7.27%E -6.43%K -55.93%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -1.34%E -0.243%K -0.297%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -7.27%E -6.43%K -55.93%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -1.34%E -0.243%K -0.297%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 16:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -8.09%E -7.22%K -67.43%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -1.34%E -0.243%K -0.297%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-30 16:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -8.09%E -7.22%K -67.43%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -1.34%E -0.243%K -0.297%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-30 16:08 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -3.99%E -3.41%K -23.46%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -6.72%E -1.29%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.52%EV -3.99%E -3.41%K -23.46%G +0.000% | 5.16I 19.38%NM 18.48%EV -7.44%E -1.44%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.99%E -3.41%K -23.46%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.51%E -1.67%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 16:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.99%E -3.41%K -23.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.31%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.63%E -4.89%K -37.53%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -10.31%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.45%E -5.66%K -46.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -10.31%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.45%E -5.66%K -46.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -10.31%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-30 16:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.45%E -5.66%K -46.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -10.31%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-30 16:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -7.27%E -6.43%K -55.93%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -10.31%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -7.27%E -6.43%K -55.93%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -10.31%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.16%EV -6.45%E -5.66%K -46.07%G +0.000% | 4.91I 20.37%NM 18.84%EV -11.92%E -2.43%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.16%EV -6.45%E -5.66%K -46.07%G +0.000% | 4.91I 20.37%NM 18.84%EV -11.92%E -2.43%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.26%EV -7.27%E -6.43%K -55.93%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -12.10%E -2.47%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.63%E -4.89%K -37.53%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -14.79%E -3.11%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.63%E -4.89%K -37.53%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -14.79%E -3.11%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -2.35%E -1.97%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -15.69%E -3.34%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -2.35%E -1.97%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -15.69%E -3.34%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -2.35%E -1.97%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -15.69%E -3.34%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -2.35%E -1.97%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -15.69%E -3.34%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -2.35%E -1.97%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -15.69%E -3.34%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 16:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -2.35%E -1.97%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -15.69%E -3.34%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -2.35%E -1.97%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -15.69%E -3.34%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -2.35%E -1.97%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -15.69%E -3.34%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -4.81%E -4.15%K -30.05%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -15.69%E -3.34%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.76%EV -8.09%E -7.22%K -67.43%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.24%EV -15.69%E -3.34%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -3.17%E -2.68%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -17.48%E -3.80%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 16:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -3.17%E -2.68%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -17.48%E -3.80%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -3.99%E -3.41%K -23.46%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -17.48%E -3.80%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -3.99%E -3.41%K -23.46%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -17.48%E -3.80%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -3.99%E -3.41%K -23.46%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -17.48%E -3.80%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -4.81%E -4.15%K -30.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -19.28%E -4.28%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -4.81%E -4.15%K -30.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -19.28%E -4.28%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-30 16:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -4.81%E -4.15%K -30.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -19.28%E -4.28%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -0.706%E -0.583%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -23.76%E -5.59%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 16:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86% | 0.4% | 2026-06-30 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86% | 0.4% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 0.8% | 2026-06-30 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.1% | 2026-06-30 16:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.57% | 5.95I 16.81%NM 16.43% | 2.3% | 2026-06-30 16:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.72% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.28% | 3.3% | 2026-06-30 16:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.60% | 5.41I 18.48%NM 17.40% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 16:30 |