La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Ajla Tomljanovic v Mariam Bolkvadze
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Ajla Tomljanovic (Local)
Predicción 82.06%1.22momio equitativo
EV -0.706%
Ventaja -0.583%
Kelly -3.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.21
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
77.84%82.19%81.60%87.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.081.151.141.2192.59%86.98%87.72%82.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Mariam Bolkvadze (Visitante)
Predicción 17.94%5.57momio equitativo
EV +34.54%
Ventaja +4.61%
Kelly +5.31%
Crecimiento +1.84%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.59%17.81%18.40%22.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.255.255.107.5023.53%19.03%19.61%13.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -11.37%E -10.53%K -142.17%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +34.54%E +4.61%K +5.31%G +1.84% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -9.73%E -8.85%K -97.32%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +25.57%E +3.65%K +4.26%G +1.09% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.23%EV -6.45%E -5.66%K -46.07%G +0.000% | 6.09I 16.42%NM 15.77%EV +9.25%E +1.52%K +1.82%G +0.168% | 4.1% | 2026-06-30 16:09 |
| SportsBet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -7.27%E -6.43%K -55.93%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV +8.53%E +1.41%K +1.69%G +0.144% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 16:10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.08%EV -6.45%E -5.66%K -46.07%G +0.000% | 6.02I 16.61%NM 15.92%EV +7.99%E +1.33%K +1.59%G +0.127% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 16:10 |
| ReBet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -5.63%E -4.89%K -37.53%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV +7.63%E +1.27%K +1.53%G +0.116% | 3.6% | 2026-06-30 16:10 |
| FanDuel | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -7.27%E -6.43%K -55.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +7.63%E +1.27%K +1.53%G +0.116% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 16:30 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -7.27%E -6.43%K -55.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +7.63%E +1.27%K +1.53%G +0.116% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 16:10 |
| BetMGM | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.91%E -8.03%K -81.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +7.63%E +1.27%K +1.53%G +0.116% | 6.8% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -5.63%E -4.89%K -37.53%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +3.15%E +0.547%K +0.662%G +0.021% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.45%E -5.66%K -46.07%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +3.15%E +0.547%K +0.662%G +0.021% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 16:25 |
| Bovada | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.45%E -5.66%K -46.07%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +3.15%E +0.547%K +0.662%G +0.021% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 16:08 |
| BetAnything | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.45%E -5.66%K -46.07%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +3.15%E +0.547%K +0.662%G +0.021% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 16:10 |
| PlayUp | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -7.27%E -6.43%K -55.93%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV +3.15%E +0.547%K +0.662%G +0.021% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 16:25 |
| BetUS | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -7.27%E -6.43%K -55.93%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV +3.15%E +0.547%K +0.662%G +0.021% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 16:09 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -7.27%E -6.43%K -55.93%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV +2.25%E +0.395%K +0.479%G +0.011% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 16:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -6.45%E -5.66%K -46.07%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV +0.455%E +0.081%K +0.099%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 16:09 |
| Neds | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -6.45%E -5.66%K -46.07%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV +0.455%E +0.081%K +0.099%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 16:10 |
| 1xBet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -5.63%E -4.89%K -37.53%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.16%EV -0.441%E -0.080%K -0.097%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 16:18 |
| Betway | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.63%E -4.89%K -37.53%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -1.34%E -0.243%K -0.297%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 16:10 |
| William Hill | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.45%E -5.66%K -46.07%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.34%E -0.243%K -0.297%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 16:09 |
| Everygame | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.45%E -5.66%K -46.07%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.34%E -0.243%K -0.297%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 16:09 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.45%E -5.66%K -46.07%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.34%E -0.243%K -0.297%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 16:09 |
| betfred_uk | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.45%E -5.66%K -46.07%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.34%E -0.243%K -0.297%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 16:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.45%E -5.66%K -46.07%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.34%E -0.243%K -0.297%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 16:09 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -7.27%E -6.43%K -55.93%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -1.34%E -0.243%K -0.297%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| TAB | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -7.27%E -6.43%K -55.93%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -1.34%E -0.243%K -0.297%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 16:09 |
| Bet Victor | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -8.09%E -7.22%K -67.43%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -1.34%E -0.243%K -0.297%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-30 16:25 |
| Caesars | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -8.09%E -7.22%K -67.43%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -1.34%E -0.243%K -0.297%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-30 16:08 |
| Fanatics | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -3.99%E -3.41%K -23.46%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -6.72%E -1.29%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| DraftKings | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.52%EV -3.99%E -3.41%K -23.46%G +0.000% | 5.16I 19.38%NM 18.48%EV -7.44%E -1.44%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| BetRivers | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.99%E -3.41%K -23.46%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.51%E -1.67%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 16:10 |
| BoyleSports | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.99%E -3.41%K -23.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.31%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| theScore Bet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.63%E -4.89%K -37.53%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -10.31%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| Paddy Power | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.45%E -5.66%K -46.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -10.31%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| 888sport | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.45%E -5.66%K -46.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -10.31%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-30 16:19 |
| Sky Bet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.45%E -5.66%K -46.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -10.31%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-30 16:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -7.27%E -6.43%K -55.93%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -10.31%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| Fliff | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -7.27%E -6.43%K -55.93%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -10.31%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| Betsson | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.16%EV -6.45%E -5.66%K -46.07%G +0.000% | 4.91I 20.37%NM 18.84%EV -11.92%E -2.43%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| NordicBet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.16%EV -6.45%E -5.66%K -46.07%G +0.000% | 4.91I 20.37%NM 18.84%EV -11.92%E -2.43%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.26%EV -7.27%E -6.43%K -55.93%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -12.10%E -2.47%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.63%E -4.89%K -37.53%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -14.79%E -3.11%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.63%E -4.89%K -37.53%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -14.79%E -3.11%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -2.35%E -1.97%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -15.69%E -3.34%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -2.35%E -1.97%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -15.69%E -3.34%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| Casumo | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -2.35%E -1.97%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -15.69%E -3.34%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| Unibet | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -2.35%E -1.97%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -15.69%E -3.34%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -2.35%E -1.97%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -15.69%E -3.34%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 16:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -2.35%E -1.97%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -15.69%E -3.34%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -2.35%E -1.97%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -15.69%E -3.34%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| betPARX | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -2.35%E -1.97%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -15.69%E -3.34%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -4.81%E -4.15%K -30.05%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -15.69%E -3.34%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.76%EV -8.09%E -7.22%K -67.43%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.24%EV -15.69%E -3.34%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| Grosvenor | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -3.17%E -2.68%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -17.48%E -3.80%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 16:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -3.17%E -2.68%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -17.48%E -3.80%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -3.99%E -3.41%K -23.46%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -17.48%E -3.80%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -3.99%E -3.41%K -23.46%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -17.48%E -3.80%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| Bally Bet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -3.99%E -3.41%K -23.46%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -17.48%E -3.80%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -4.81%E -4.15%K -30.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -19.28%E -4.28%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| LeoVegas | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -4.81%E -4.15%K -30.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -19.28%E -4.28%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-30 16:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -4.81%E -4.15%K -30.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -19.28%E -4.28%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -0.706%E -0.583%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -23.76%E -5.59%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 16:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86% | 0.4% | 2026-06-30 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86% | 0.4% | 2026-06-30 16:29 |
| Matchbook | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 0.8% | 2026-06-30 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.1% | 2026-06-30 16:30 |
| ProphetX | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.57% | 5.95I 16.81%NM 16.43% | 2.3% | 2026-06-30 16:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.72% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.28% | 3.3% | 2026-06-30 16:30 |
| Novig | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.60% | 5.41I 18.48%NM 17.40% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 16:30 |