La scuola delle quote

Ajla Tomljanovic v Mariam Bolkvadze

Inizio: 2026-06-30 17:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

63 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Ajla Tomljanovic (Casa)

Previsione 82.06%1.22quota equa
EV -0.706%
Vantaggio -0.583%
Kelly -3.36%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.21

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
77.84%82.19%81.60%87.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.081.151.141.2192.59%86.98%87.72%82.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Mariam Bolkvadze (Trasferta)

Previsione 17.94%5.57quota equa
EV +34.54%
Vantaggio +4.61%
Kelly +5.31%
Crescita +1.84%

ipotizzando la quota massima 7.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
12.59%17.81%18.40%22.16%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.255.255.107.5023.53%19.03%19.61%13.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Coral1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -11.37%E -10.53%K -142.17%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +34.54%E +4.61%K +5.31%G +1.84%5.9%2026-06-30 16:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -9.73%E -8.85%K -97.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +25.57%E +3.65%K +4.26%G +1.09%5.2%2026-06-30 16:29
BetOnline.ag1.14I 87.72%NM 84.23%EV -6.45%E -5.66%K -46.07%G +0.000%6.09I 16.42%NM 15.77%EV +9.25%E +1.52%K +1.82%G +0.168%4.1%2026-06-30 16:09
SportsBet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -7.27%E -6.43%K -55.93%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV +8.53%E +1.41%K +1.69%G +0.144%5.0%2026-06-30 16:10
Pinnacle1.14I 87.72%NM 84.08%EV -6.45%E -5.66%K -46.07%G +0.000%6.02I 16.61%NM 15.92%EV +7.99%E +1.33%K +1.59%G +0.127%4.3%2026-06-30 16:10
ReBet1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -5.63%E -4.89%K -37.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV +7.63%E +1.27%K +1.53%G +0.116%3.6%2026-06-30 16:10
FanDuel1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -7.27%E -6.43%K -55.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +7.63%E +1.27%K +1.53%G +0.116%5.2%2026-06-30 16:30
Dabble (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -7.27%E -6.43%K -55.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +7.63%E +1.27%K +1.53%G +0.116%5.2%2026-06-30 16:10
BetMGM1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.91%E -8.03%K -81.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +7.63%E +1.27%K +1.53%G +0.116%6.8%2026-06-30 16:29
MyBookie.ag1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -5.63%E -4.89%K -37.53%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +3.15%E +0.547%K +0.662%G +0.021%4.3%2026-06-30 16:29
Marathon Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.45%E -5.66%K -46.07%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +3.15%E +0.547%K +0.662%G +0.021%5.1%2026-06-30 16:25
Bovada1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.45%E -5.66%K -46.07%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +3.15%E +0.547%K +0.662%G +0.021%5.1%2026-06-30 16:08
BetAnything1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.45%E -5.66%K -46.07%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +3.15%E +0.547%K +0.662%G +0.021%5.1%2026-06-30 16:10
PlayUp1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -7.27%E -6.43%K -55.93%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV +3.15%E +0.547%K +0.662%G +0.021%5.9%2026-06-30 16:25
BetUS1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -7.27%E -6.43%K -55.93%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV +3.15%E +0.547%K +0.662%G +0.021%5.9%2026-06-30 16:09
Unibet (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -7.27%E -6.43%K -55.93%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV +2.25%E +0.395%K +0.479%G +0.011%6.0%2026-06-30 16:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -6.45%E -5.66%K -46.07%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV +0.455%E +0.081%K +0.099%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 16:09
Neds1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -6.45%E -5.66%K -46.07%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV +0.455%E +0.081%K +0.099%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 16:10
1xBet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -5.63%E -4.89%K -37.53%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.16%EV -0.441%E -0.080%K -0.097%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 16:18
Betway1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.63%E -4.89%K -37.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -1.34%E -0.243%K -0.297%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 16:10
William Hill1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.45%E -5.66%K -46.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.34%E -0.243%K -0.297%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 16:09
Everygame1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.45%E -5.66%K -46.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.34%E -0.243%K -0.297%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 16:09
Betr (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.45%E -5.66%K -46.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.34%E -0.243%K -0.297%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 16:09
betfred_uk1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.45%E -5.66%K -46.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.34%E -0.243%K -0.297%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 16:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.45%E -5.66%K -46.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.34%E -0.243%K -0.297%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 16:09
PointsBet (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -7.27%E -6.43%K -55.93%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -1.34%E -0.243%K -0.297%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 16:29
TAB1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -7.27%E -6.43%K -55.93%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -1.34%E -0.243%K -0.297%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 16:09
Bet Victor1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -8.09%E -7.22%K -67.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -1.34%E -0.243%K -0.297%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 16:25
Caesars1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -8.09%E -7.22%K -67.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -1.34%E -0.243%K -0.297%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 16:08
Fanatics1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -3.99%E -3.41%K -23.46%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -6.72%E -1.29%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 16:29
DraftKings1.17I 85.47%NM 81.52%EV -3.99%E -3.41%K -23.46%G +0.000%5.16I 19.38%NM 18.48%EV -7.44%E -1.44%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 16:29
BetRivers1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.99%E -3.41%K -23.46%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.51%E -1.67%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 16:10
BoyleSports1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.99%E -3.41%K -23.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.31%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 16:29
theScore Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.63%E -4.89%K -37.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -10.31%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 16:29
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.45%E -5.66%K -46.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -10.31%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-30 16:29
888sport1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.45%E -5.66%K -46.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -10.31%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-30 16:19
Sky Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.45%E -5.66%K -46.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -10.31%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-30 16:30
Betclic (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -7.27%E -6.43%K -55.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -10.31%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-30 16:29
Fliff1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -7.27%E -6.43%K -55.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -10.31%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-30 16:29
Betsson1.14I 87.72%NM 81.16%EV -6.45%E -5.66%K -46.07%G +0.000%4.91I 20.37%NM 18.84%EV -11.92%E -2.43%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-30 16:29
NordicBet1.14I 87.72%NM 81.16%EV -6.45%E -5.66%K -46.07%G +0.000%4.91I 20.37%NM 18.84%EV -11.92%E -2.43%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-30 16:29
Winamax (DE)1.13I 88.50%NM 81.26%EV -7.27%E -6.43%K -55.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -12.10%E -2.47%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-30 16:29
Mr Green (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.63%E -4.89%K -37.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -14.79%E -3.11%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-30 16:29
888sport (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.63%E -4.89%K -37.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -14.79%E -3.11%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-30 16:29
Unibet (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -2.35%E -1.97%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -15.69%E -3.34%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 16:29
Unibet (NL)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -2.35%E -1.97%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -15.69%E -3.34%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 16:29
Casumo1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -2.35%E -1.97%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -15.69%E -3.34%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 16:29
Unibet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -2.35%E -1.97%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -15.69%E -3.34%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 16:29
Unibet (UK)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -2.35%E -1.97%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -15.69%E -3.34%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 16:30
ATG (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -2.35%E -1.97%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -15.69%E -3.34%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 16:29
Svenska Spel1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -2.35%E -1.97%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -15.69%E -3.34%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 16:29
betPARX1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -2.35%E -1.97%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -15.69%E -3.34%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 16:29
Tipico (DE)1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -4.81%E -4.15%K -30.05%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -15.69%E -3.34%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 16:29
Winamax (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 80.76%EV -8.09%E -7.22%K -67.43%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.24%EV -15.69%E -3.34%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 16:29
Grosvenor1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -3.17%E -2.68%K -17.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -17.48%E -3.80%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 16:30
TABtouch1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -3.17%E -2.68%K -17.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -17.48%E -3.80%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 16:29
Virgin Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -3.99%E -3.41%K -23.46%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -17.48%E -3.80%K -4.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-30 16:29
LiveScore Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -3.99%E -3.41%K -23.46%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -17.48%E -3.80%K -4.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-30 16:29
Bally Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -3.99%E -3.41%K -23.46%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -17.48%E -3.80%K -4.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-30 16:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -4.81%E -4.15%K -30.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -19.28%E -4.28%K -5.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-30 16:29
LeoVegas1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -4.81%E -4.15%K -30.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -19.28%E -4.28%K -5.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-30 16:30
PMU (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -4.81%E -4.15%K -30.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -19.28%E -4.28%K -5.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-30 16:29
Hard Rock Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -0.706%E -0.583%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -23.76%E -5.59%K -7.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 16:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86%0.4%2026-06-30 16:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86%0.4%2026-06-30 16:29
Matchbook1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%0.8%2026-06-30 16:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-06-30 16:30
ProphetX1.17I 85.47%NM 83.57%5.95I 16.81%NM 16.43%2.3%2026-06-30 16:30
Smarkets1.17I 85.47%NM 82.72%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.28%3.3%2026-06-30 16:30
Novig1.14I 87.72%NM 82.60%5.41I 18.48%NM 17.40%6.2%2026-06-30 16:30