Language:English
Xinyu Wang v Liudmila Samsonova
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Xinyu Wang (Local)
Prediction 37.83%2.64fair odd
EV -0.893%
Edge -0.341%
Kelly -0.551%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.27%39.06%37.78%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.832.482.502.6254.64%40.33%40.00%38.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Liudmila Samsonova (Visit)
Prediction 62.17%1.61fair odd
EV +16.26%
Edge +8.70%
Kelly +18.69%
Growth +3.04%
assuming max odds 1.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%60.94%62.22%63.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.531.521.8768.03%65.21%65.79%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Xinyu Wang (Local): 37.83%; Liudmila Samsonova (Visit): 62.17%. For Liudmila Samsonova (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.61. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.87, corresponding to a positive expected value of +16.26%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -29.26%E -15.65%K -33.64%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +16.26%E +8.70%K +18.69%G +3.04% | 7.0% | 2026-07-29 15:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -30.78%E -16.82%K -37.08%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV +13.78%E +7.53%K +16.60%G +2.29% | 9.3% | 2026-07-29 15:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.74%EV -2.03%E -0.783%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.26%EV -2.39%E -1.52%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-29 13:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.01%E -1.93%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-29 06:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.63%E -2.34%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-29 15:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.63%E -2.34%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 06:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.63%E -2.34%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 06:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.63%E -2.34%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 06:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.63%E -2.34%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 06:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.63%E -2.34%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 06:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.63%E -2.34%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 06:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.63%E -2.34%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 06:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.63%E -2.34%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 06:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.63%E -2.34%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 06:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.63%E -2.34%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 06:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.63%E -2.34%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 06:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.63%E -2.34%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 06:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -1.65%E -0.634%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -4.25%E -2.76%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-29 15:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -1.65%E -0.634%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -4.25%E -2.76%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-29 15:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -1.65%E -0.634%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -4.25%E -2.76%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-29 15:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.54%E -1.39%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.25%E -2.76%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-29 13:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.54%E -1.39%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.25%E -2.76%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-29 13:24 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -3.92%E -1.54%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.25%E -2.76%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-29 15:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -5.05%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -4.25%E -2.76%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-29 14:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -8.08%E -3.33%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -4.25%E -2.76%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-29 06:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -8.08%E -3.33%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -4.25%E -2.76%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-29 06:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.88%E -3.19%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 06:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.88%E -3.19%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 13:25 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.88%E -3.19%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 07:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.54%E -1.39%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.50%E -3.62%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 14:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -4.30%E -1.70%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -5.50%E -3.62%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 14:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.72%EV -5.05%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.28%EV -5.50%E -3.62%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 15:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.50%E -3.62%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-29 15:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.50%E -3.62%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-29 07:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.50%E -3.62%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-29 15:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.50%E -3.62%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-29 15:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.65%E -0.634%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.12%E -4.05%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-29 15:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -2.41%E -0.932%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -6.12%E -4.05%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 15:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.54%E -1.39%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.12%E -4.05%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 14:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -9.97%E -4.19%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%EV -6.12%E -4.05%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-29 06:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -0.893%E -0.341%K -0.551%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -6.74%E -4.49%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-29 06:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -0.893%E -0.341%K -0.551%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -6.74%E -4.49%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-29 15:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.54%E -1.39%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.74%E -4.49%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-29 15:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.74%E -4.49%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-29 06:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.74%E -4.49%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-29 14:58 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.74%E -4.49%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-29 15:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.74%E -4.49%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-29 06:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.74%E -4.49%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-29 06:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.74%E -4.49%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-29 15:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.74%E -4.49%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-29 14:58 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.74%E -4.49%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-29 14:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.74%E -4.49%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-29 14:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.74%E -4.49%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-29 11:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.21%E -3.84%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.74%E -4.49%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-29 12:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.21%E -3.84%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.74%E -4.49%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-29 12:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -7.36%E -4.94%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-29 14:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -1.65%E -0.634%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.98%E -5.39%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-29 14:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -1.65%E -0.634%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.98%E -5.39%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-29 14:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.95%EV -8.46%E -3.50%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.05%EV -7.98%E -5.39%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-29 13:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.48%EV -3.16%E -1.24%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.52%EV -8.61%E -5.85%K -18.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-29 15:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06% | 1.0% | 2026-07-29 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06% | 1.0% | 2026-07-29 15:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06% | 1.0% | 2026-07-29 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06% | 1.0% | 2026-07-29 15:05 |
| Novig◎ | 2.67I 37.45%NM 37.03% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.97% | 1.1% | 2026-07-29 15:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03% | 1.7% | 2026-07-29 15:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01% | 2.4% | 2026-07-29 15:00 |
Discuss this game on odds.forum
No published comments yet.