Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Xinyu Wang v Liudmila Samsonova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-29 15:06 UTC

Score final : Xinyu Wang 0–2 Liudmila Samsonova

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Xinyu Wang (Local)

Prévision 37.83%2.64cote équitable
EV -0.893%
Avantage -0.341%
Kelly -0.551%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.27%39.06%37.78%50.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.832.482.502.6254.64%40.33%40.00%38.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Liudmila Samsonova (Visiteur)

Prévision 62.17%1.61cote équitable
EV +16.26%
Avantage +8.70%
Kelly +18.69%
Croissance +3.04%

avec la cote maximale 1.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%60.94%62.22%63.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.471.531.521.8768.03%65.21%65.79%53.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Xinyu Wang (Local) : 37.83% ; Liudmila Samsonova (Visiteur) : 62.17%. Pour Liudmila Samsonova (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.61. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 1.87, soit une espérance positive de +16.26%.

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -29.26%E -15.65%K -33.64%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +16.26%E +8.70%K +18.69%G +3.04%7.0%2026-07-29 15:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -30.78%E -16.82%K -37.08%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV +13.78%E +7.53%K +16.60%G +2.29%9.3%2026-07-29 15:05
Pinnacle🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 37.74%EV -2.03%E -0.783%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.26%EV -2.39%E -1.52%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-29 13:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.01%E -1.93%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-29 06:30
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.63%E -2.34%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-29 15:05
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.63%E -2.34%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 06:24
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.63%E -2.34%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 06:25
TABtouch🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.63%E -2.34%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 06:24
BetRivers🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.63%E -2.34%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 06:25
Casumo🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.63%E -2.34%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 06:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.63%E -2.34%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 06:25
Grosvenor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.63%E -2.34%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 06:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.63%E -2.34%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 06:25
Bally Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.63%E -2.34%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 06:25
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.63%E -2.34%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 06:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.63%E -2.34%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 06:24
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.63%E -2.34%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 06:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -1.65%E -0.634%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -4.25%E -2.76%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-29 15:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -1.65%E -0.634%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -4.25%E -2.76%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-29 15:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -1.65%E -0.634%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -4.25%E -2.76%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-29 15:00
BetUS🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.54%E -1.39%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.25%E -2.76%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-29 13:25
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.54%E -1.39%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.25%E -2.76%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-29 13:24
BetAnything🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -3.92%E -1.54%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.25%E -2.76%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-29 15:00
1xBet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -5.05%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -4.25%E -2.76%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 14:59
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -8.08%E -3.33%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -4.25%E -2.76%K -7.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-29 06:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -8.08%E -3.33%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -4.25%E -2.76%K -7.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-29 06:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.88%E -3.19%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 06:25
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.88%E -3.19%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 13:25
Dabble (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.88%E -3.19%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 07:35
ReBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.54%E -1.39%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.50%E -3.62%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 14:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -4.30%E -1.70%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -5.50%E -3.62%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 14:59
DraftKings🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 37.72%EV -5.05%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.28%EV -5.50%E -3.62%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 15:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.50%E -3.62%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-29 15:00
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.50%E -3.62%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-29 07:40
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.50%E -3.62%K -10.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-29 15:05
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.50%E -3.62%K -10.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-29 15:05
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.65%E -0.634%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.12%E -4.05%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 15:00
Bet Right🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -2.41%E -0.932%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -6.12%E -4.05%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 15:04
Fanatics🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.54%E -1.39%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.12%E -4.05%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 14:59
PMU (FR)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -9.97%E -4.19%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%EV -6.12%E -4.05%K -12.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-29 06:25
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -0.893%E -0.341%K -0.551%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -6.74%E -4.49%K -13.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 06:30
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -0.893%E -0.341%K -0.551%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -6.74%E -4.49%K -13.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 15:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.54%E -1.39%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.74%E -4.49%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 15:00
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.74%E -4.49%K -13.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-29 06:25
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.74%E -4.49%K -13.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-29 14:58
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.74%E -4.49%K -13.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-29 15:05
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.74%E -4.49%K -13.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-29 06:25
Caesars🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.74%E -4.49%K -13.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-29 06:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.74%E -4.49%K -13.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-29 15:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.74%E -4.49%K -13.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-29 14:58
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.74%E -4.49%K -13.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-29 14:55
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.74%E -4.49%K -13.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-29 14:55
TAB🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.74%E -4.49%K -13.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-29 11:25
betano_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.21%E -3.84%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.74%E -4.49%K -13.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-29 12:15
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.21%E -3.84%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.74%E -4.49%K -13.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-29 12:14
Unibet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -7.36%E -4.94%K -15.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-29 14:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -1.65%E -0.634%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.98%E -5.39%K -16.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-29 14:55
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -1.65%E -0.634%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.98%E -5.39%K -16.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-29 14:55
NetBet (FR)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 37.95%EV -8.46%E -3.50%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.05%EV -7.98%E -5.39%K -16.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-29 13:24
SportsBet🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.48%EV -3.16%E -1.24%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.52%EV -8.61%E -5.85%K -18.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-29 15:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%1.0%2026-07-29 15:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%1.0%2026-07-29 15:05
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%1.0%2026-07-29 15:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%1.0%2026-07-29 15:05
Novig2.67I 37.45%NM 37.03%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.97%1.1%2026-07-29 15:05
ProphetX2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03%1.7%2026-07-29 15:05
Smarkets2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%2.4%2026-07-29 15:00