Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Xinyu Wang v Liudmila Samsonova

Início: 2026-07-29 15:06 UTC

Final: Xinyu Wang 0–2 Liudmila Samsonova

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Xinyu Wang (Local)

Previsão 37.83%2.64odd justa
EV -0.893%
Vantagem -0.341%
Kelly -0.551%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.62

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.27%39.06%37.78%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.832.482.502.6254.64%40.33%40.00%38.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Liudmila Samsonova (Visitante)

Previsão 62.17%1.61odd justa
EV +16.26%
Vantagem +8.70%
Kelly +18.69%
Crescimento +3.04%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.87

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%60.94%62.22%63.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.471.531.521.8768.03%65.21%65.79%53.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Xinyu Wang (Local): 37.83%; Liudmila Samsonova (Visitante): 62.17%. Para Liudmila Samsonova (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.61. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 1.87, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +16.26%.

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -29.26%E -15.65%K -33.64%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +16.26%E +8.70%K +18.69%G +3.04%7.0%2026-07-29 15:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -30.78%E -16.82%K -37.08%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV +13.78%E +7.53%K +16.60%G +2.29%9.3%2026-07-29 15:05
Pinnacle🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 37.74%EV -2.03%E -0.783%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.26%EV -2.39%E -1.52%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-29 13:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.01%E -1.93%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-29 06:30
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.63%E -2.34%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-29 15:05
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.63%E -2.34%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 06:24
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.63%E -2.34%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 06:25
TABtouch🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.63%E -2.34%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 06:24
BetRivers🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.63%E -2.34%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 06:25
Casumo🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.63%E -2.34%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 06:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.63%E -2.34%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 06:25
Grosvenor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.63%E -2.34%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 06:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.63%E -2.34%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 06:25
Bally Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.63%E -2.34%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 06:25
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.63%E -2.34%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 06:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.63%E -2.34%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 06:24
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.63%E -2.34%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 06:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -1.65%E -0.634%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -4.25%E -2.76%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-29 15:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -1.65%E -0.634%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -4.25%E -2.76%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-29 15:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -1.65%E -0.634%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -4.25%E -2.76%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-29 15:00
BetUS🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.54%E -1.39%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.25%E -2.76%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-29 13:25
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.54%E -1.39%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.25%E -2.76%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-29 13:24
BetAnything🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -3.92%E -1.54%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.25%E -2.76%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-29 15:00
1xBet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -5.05%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -4.25%E -2.76%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 14:59
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -8.08%E -3.33%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -4.25%E -2.76%K -7.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-29 06:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -8.08%E -3.33%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -4.25%E -2.76%K -7.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-29 06:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.88%E -3.19%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 06:25
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.88%E -3.19%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 13:25
Dabble (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.88%E -3.19%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 07:35
ReBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.54%E -1.39%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.50%E -3.62%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 14:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -4.30%E -1.70%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -5.50%E -3.62%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 14:59
DraftKings🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 37.72%EV -5.05%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.28%EV -5.50%E -3.62%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 15:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.50%E -3.62%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-29 15:00
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.50%E -3.62%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-29 07:40
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.50%E -3.62%K -10.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-29 15:05
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.50%E -3.62%K -10.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-29 15:05
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.65%E -0.634%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.12%E -4.05%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 15:00
Bet Right🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -2.41%E -0.932%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -6.12%E -4.05%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 15:04
Fanatics🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.54%E -1.39%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.12%E -4.05%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 14:59
PMU (FR)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -9.97%E -4.19%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%EV -6.12%E -4.05%K -12.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-29 06:25
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -0.893%E -0.341%K -0.551%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -6.74%E -4.49%K -13.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 06:30
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -0.893%E -0.341%K -0.551%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -6.74%E -4.49%K -13.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 15:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.54%E -1.39%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.74%E -4.49%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 15:00
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.74%E -4.49%K -13.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-29 06:25
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.74%E -4.49%K -13.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-29 14:58
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.74%E -4.49%K -13.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-29 15:05
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.74%E -4.49%K -13.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-29 06:25
Caesars🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.74%E -4.49%K -13.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-29 06:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.74%E -4.49%K -13.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-29 15:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.74%E -4.49%K -13.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-29 14:58
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.74%E -4.49%K -13.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-29 14:55
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.74%E -4.49%K -13.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-29 14:55
TAB🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.74%E -4.49%K -13.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-29 11:25
betano_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.21%E -3.84%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.74%E -4.49%K -13.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-29 12:15
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.21%E -3.84%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.74%E -4.49%K -13.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-29 12:14
Unibet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -7.36%E -4.94%K -15.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-29 14:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -1.65%E -0.634%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.98%E -5.39%K -16.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-29 14:55
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -1.65%E -0.634%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.98%E -5.39%K -16.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-29 14:55
NetBet (FR)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 37.95%EV -8.46%E -3.50%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.05%EV -7.98%E -5.39%K -16.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-29 13:24
SportsBet🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.48%EV -3.16%E -1.24%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.52%EV -8.61%E -5.85%K -18.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-29 15:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%1.0%2026-07-29 15:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%1.0%2026-07-29 15:05
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%1.0%2026-07-29 15:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%1.0%2026-07-29 15:05
Novig2.67I 37.45%NM 37.03%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.97%1.1%2026-07-29 15:05
ProphetX2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03%1.7%2026-07-29 15:05
Smarkets2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%2.4%2026-07-29 15:00