Language:English
Jessica Pegula v Magdalena Frech
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jessica Pegula (Local)
Prediction 88.19%1.13fair odd
EV -2.10%
Edge -1.90%
Kelly -19.13%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.11
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
84.92%88.28%88.15%90.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.031.081.081.1197.09%92.80%92.59%90.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Magdalena Frech (Visit)
Prediction 11.81%8.47fair odd
EV +18.05%
Edge +1.81%
Kelly +2.01%
Growth +0.362%
assuming max odds 10.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.42%11.72%11.85%15.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.257.787.5010.0016.00%12.85%13.33%10.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jessica Pegula (Local): 88.19%; Magdalena Frech (Visit): 11.81%. For Magdalena Frech (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.47. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +18.05%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -8.28%E -7.96%K -206.94%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +18.05%E +1.81%K +2.01%G +0.362% | 6.2% | 2026-07-30 18:57 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -8.28%E -7.96%K -206.94%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +18.05%E +1.81%K +2.01%G +0.362% | 6.2% | 2026-07-30 19:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -8.28%E -7.96%K -206.94%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +18.05%E +1.81%K +2.01%G +0.362% | 6.2% | 2026-07-30 18:57 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -8.28%E -7.96%K -206.94%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +18.05%E +1.81%K +2.01%G +0.362% | 6.2% | 2026-07-30 18:57 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 90.07%EV -4.75%E -4.40%K -59.37%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.93%EV +15.69%E +1.60%K +1.78%G +0.280% | 2.8% | 2026-07-30 19:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -7.40%E -7.04%K -147.91%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +6.25%E +0.694%K +0.781%G +0.049% | 6.3% | 2026-07-30 19:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.35%EV -5.63%E -5.26%K -80.45%G +0.000% | 8.98I 11.14%NM 10.65%EV +6.01%E +0.669%K +0.753%G +0.045% | 4.6% | 2026-07-30 19:08 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -5.63%E -5.26%K -80.45%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV +3.30%E +0.377%K +0.425%G +0.014% | 4.9% | 2026-07-30 19:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.75%E -4.40%K -59.37%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +0.345%E +0.041%K +0.046%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-30 19:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.75%E -4.40%K -59.37%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +0.345%E +0.041%K +0.046%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-30 17:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.14%EV -9.16%E -8.89%K -305.31%G +0.000% | 8.45I 11.83%NM 10.86%EV -0.246%E -0.029%K -0.033%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-30 19:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.61%EV -4.75%E -4.40%K -59.37%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.39%EV -0.836%E -0.100%K -0.113%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-30 15:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -5.63%E -5.26%K -80.45%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -2.61%E -0.316%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-30 19:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 88.17%EV -2.99%E -2.71%K -29.86%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.83%EV -3.20%E -0.390%K -0.444%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-30 15:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.13%EV -3.87%E -3.55%K -42.97%G +0.000% | 8.09I 12.36%NM 11.87%EV -4.50%E -0.556%K -0.634%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-30 10:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.13%EV -3.87%E -3.55%K -42.97%G +0.000% | 8.09I 12.36%NM 11.87%EV -4.50%E -0.556%K -0.634%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-30 10:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -2.99%E -2.71%K -29.86%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV -5.56%E -0.695%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-29 06:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.75%E -4.40%K -59.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -5.56%E -0.695%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-30 18:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.75%E -4.40%K -59.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -5.56%E -0.695%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-30 17:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.75%E -4.40%K -59.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -5.56%E -0.695%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-30 18:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.63%E -5.26%K -80.45%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -5.56%E -0.695%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-30 17:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.50%EV -8.28%E -7.96%K -206.94%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -5.56%E -0.695%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-30 19:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.84%EV -4.75%E -4.40%K -59.37%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.16%EV -7.92%E -1.02%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-30 17:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.97%EV -6.51%E -6.14%K -108.56%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV -8.51%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-30 15:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -4.75%E -4.40%K -59.37%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV -9.10%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-30 17:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.87%E -3.55%K -42.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.46%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 17:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.87%E -3.55%K -42.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.46%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 17:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.87%E -3.55%K -42.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.46%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 17:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.87%E -3.55%K -42.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.46%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 17:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.87%E -3.55%K -42.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.46%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 17:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.87%E -3.55%K -42.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.46%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 17:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.87%E -3.55%K -42.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.46%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 17:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.87%E -3.55%K -42.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.46%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 17:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.87%E -3.55%K -42.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.46%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 17:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.87%E -3.55%K -42.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.46%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 17:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.87%E -3.55%K -42.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.46%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 17:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.87%E -3.55%K -42.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.46%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 17:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.87%E -3.55%K -42.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.46%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 17:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.75%E -4.40%K -59.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.46%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-30 15:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.75%E -4.40%K -59.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.46%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-30 15:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.75%E -4.40%K -59.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.46%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-29 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.75%E -4.40%K -59.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.46%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-29 17:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.75%E -4.40%K -59.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.46%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-30 05:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.63%E -5.26%K -80.45%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -11.46%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-30 19:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.63%E -5.26%K -80.45%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -11.46%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-30 19:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.63%E -5.26%K -80.45%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -11.46%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-30 19:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.63%E -5.26%K -80.45%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -11.46%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-30 18:58 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -4.75%E -4.40%K -59.37%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV -15.00%E -2.08%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-30 18:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.75%E -4.40%K -59.37%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -17.36%E -2.48%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-29 17:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.75%E -4.40%K -59.37%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -17.36%E -2.48%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-29 17:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.75%E -4.40%K -59.37%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -17.36%E -2.48%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-30 01:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.63%E -5.26%K -80.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -17.36%E -2.48%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-30 15:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.63%E -5.26%K -80.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -17.36%E -2.48%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-29 17:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.63%E -5.26%K -80.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -17.36%E -2.48%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-30 15:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.63%E -5.26%K -80.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -17.36%E -2.48%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-30 15:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.19%EV -3.87%E -3.55%K -42.97%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.81%EV -19.72%E -2.90%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-29 17:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.19%EV -3.87%E -3.55%K -42.97%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.81%EV -19.72%E -2.90%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-29 17:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -2.10%E -1.90%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -23.27%E -3.58%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-30 01:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -4.75%E -4.40%K -59.37%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -23.27%E -3.58%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-30 14:23 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -4.75%E -4.40%K -59.37%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -23.27%E -3.58%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-30 14:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -2.10%E -1.90%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -26.22%E -4.19%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-30 01:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 0.9% | 2026-07-30 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 0.9% | 2026-07-30 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 0.9% | 2026-07-30 18:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 0.9% | 2026-07-30 18:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 89.32% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.68% | 1.8% | 2026-07-30 19:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 89.21% | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.79% | 1.9% | 2026-07-30 19:06 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 90.07% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.93% | 2.8% | 2026-07-30 19:10 |
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