Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Jessica Pegula v Magdalena Frech

2026-07-30 15:00 UTC — WTA Washington Open

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Jessica Pegula (Local)

Predicción 85.11%1.17momio equitativo
EV -3.83%
Ventaja -3.39%
Kelly -29.45%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.13

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
82.52%85.17%85.26%87.91%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.081.101.101.1392.59%90.60%90.91%88.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Magdalena Frech (Visitante)

Predicción 14.89%6.71momio equitativo
EV +19.14%
Ventaja +2.39%
Kelly +2.73%
Crecimiento +0.523%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.09%14.83%14.74%17.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.106.386.508.0019.61%15.67%15.38%12.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
BoyleSports1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -6.38%E -5.80%K -63.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV +19.14%E +2.39%K +2.73%G +0.523%3.4%2026-07-29 06:30
FanDuel1.10I 90.91%NM 86.75%EV -6.38%E -5.80%K -63.81%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV +7.22%E +1.00%K +1.17%G +0.084%4.8%2026-07-29 07:15
Bet Right1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.53%E -4.98%K -50.27%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +0.522%E +0.077%K +0.091%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-29 08:05
Unibet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -6.38%E -5.80%K -63.81%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +0.522%E +0.077%K +0.091%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-29 06:24
TABtouch1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -6.38%E -5.80%K -63.81%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +0.522%E +0.077%K +0.091%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-29 06:24
BetRivers1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -6.38%E -5.80%K -63.81%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +0.522%E +0.077%K +0.091%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-29 06:25
Casumo1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -6.38%E -5.80%K -63.81%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +0.522%E +0.077%K +0.091%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-29 06:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -6.38%E -5.80%K -63.81%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +0.522%E +0.077%K +0.091%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-29 06:25
Unibet (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -6.38%E -5.80%K -63.81%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +0.522%E +0.077%K +0.091%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-29 06:25
Grosvenor1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -6.38%E -5.80%K -63.81%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +0.522%E +0.077%K +0.091%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-29 06:25
Unibet (NL)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -6.38%E -5.80%K -63.81%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +0.522%E +0.077%K +0.091%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-29 06:25
ATG (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -6.38%E -5.80%K -63.81%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +0.522%E +0.077%K +0.091%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-29 06:24
Svenska Spel1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -6.38%E -5.80%K -63.81%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +0.522%E +0.077%K +0.091%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-29 06:25
betPARX1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -6.38%E -5.80%K -63.81%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +0.522%E +0.077%K +0.091%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-29 06:25
Bally Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -6.38%E -5.80%K -63.81%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +0.522%E +0.077%K +0.091%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-29 06:25
Hard Rock Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -6.38%E -5.80%K -63.81%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +0.522%E +0.077%K +0.091%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-29 06:30
DraftKings1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -4.68%E -4.18%K -38.99%G +0.000%6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV -1.56%E -0.237%K -0.279%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-29 06:49
Fanatics1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -5.53%E -4.98%K -50.27%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -1.71%E -0.259%K -0.306%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-29 08:04
Betway1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.68%E -4.18%K -38.99%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.20%E -0.493%K -0.582%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 07:15
Winamax (DE)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.53%E -4.98%K -50.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.20%E -0.493%K -0.582%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-29 07:15
888sport1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.53%E -4.98%K -50.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.20%E -0.493%K -0.582%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-29 06:35
William Hill1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.53%E -4.98%K -50.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.20%E -0.493%K -0.582%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-29 06:35
888sport (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.53%E -4.98%K -50.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.20%E -0.493%K -0.582%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-29 10:40
Mr Green (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.53%E -4.98%K -50.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.20%E -0.493%K -0.582%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-29 10:40
betfred_uk1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.38%E -5.80%K -63.81%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.20%E -0.493%K -0.582%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-29 07:25
Coral1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.38%E -5.80%K -63.81%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.20%E -0.493%K -0.582%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-29 07:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.38%E -5.80%K -63.81%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.20%E -0.493%K -0.582%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-29 07:14
Virgin Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -7.23%E -6.64%K -80.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -3.20%E -0.493%K -0.582%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-29 06:25
LiveScore Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -7.23%E -6.64%K -80.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -3.20%E -0.493%K -0.582%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-29 06:25
Betsson1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.53%E -4.98%K -50.27%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -4.69%E -0.733%K -0.869%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-29 07:15
NordicBet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.53%E -4.98%K -50.27%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -4.69%E -0.733%K -0.869%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-29 07:15
PMU (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 85.56%EV -8.08%E -7.48%K -101.04%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.44%EV -4.69%E -0.733%K -0.869%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-29 06:25
Betr (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.53%E -4.98%K -50.27%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -6.92%E -1.11%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-29 14:15
PointsBet (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.53%E -4.98%K -50.27%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -6.92%E -1.11%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-29 14:15
Dabble (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.68%E -4.18%K -38.99%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.65%E -1.77%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-29 14:15
PlayUp1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.68%E -4.18%K -38.99%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.65%E -1.77%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-29 14:20
theScore Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.53%E -4.98%K -50.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -10.65%E -1.77%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-29 07:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.53%E -4.98%K -50.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -10.65%E -1.77%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-29 07:15
Neds1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.53%E -4.98%K -50.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -10.65%E -1.77%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-29 07:15
SportsBet1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.38%E -5.80%K -63.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -10.65%E -1.77%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-29 06:35
Unibet (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.38%E -5.80%K -63.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -10.65%E -1.77%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-29 06:35
Paddy Power1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.38%E -5.80%K -63.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -10.65%E -1.77%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-29 06:35
Sky Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.38%E -5.80%K -63.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -10.65%E -1.77%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-29 06:35
1xBet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.04%EV -3.83%E -3.39%K -29.45%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 15.96%EV -11.39%E -1.91%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 14:10
Betclic (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 84.18%EV -7.23%E -6.64%K -80.36%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.82%EV -13.63%E -2.35%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-29 14:08
ReBet1.09I 91.74%NM 83.71%EV -7.23%E -6.64%K -80.36%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.29%EV -16.60%E -2.97%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-29 14:10
betano_uk1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.68%E -4.18%K -38.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -18.09%E -3.29%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-29 06:44
Bet Victor1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.68%E -4.18%K -38.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -18.09%E -3.29%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-29 06:43
Winamax (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 83.59%EV -8.08%E -7.48%K -101.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -18.09%E -3.29%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-29 14:05
Unibet (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 82.52%EV -8.08%E -7.48%K -101.04%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.48%EV -24.05%E -4.72%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-29 07:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%0.9%2026-07-29 14:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 86.33%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67%1.6%2026-07-29 14:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 86.33%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67%1.6%2026-07-29 14:40
Matchbook1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%4.0%2026-07-29 14:45
Novig1.09I 91.74%NM 85.95%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.05%6.7%2026-07-29 06:50
Smarkets1.12I 89.29%NM 81.99%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%8.9%2026-07-29 14:35