Idioma:Español
Jessica Pegula v Magdalena Frech
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jessica Pegula (Local)
Predicción 88.19%1.13momio equitativo
EV -2.10%
Ventaja -1.90%
Kelly -19.13%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.11
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
84.92%88.28%88.15%90.58%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.031.081.081.1197.09%92.80%92.59%90.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Magdalena Frech (Visitante)
Predicción 11.81%8.47momio equitativo
EV +18.05%
Ventaja +1.81%
Kelly +2.01%
Crecimiento +0.362%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 10.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
9.42%11.72%11.85%15.08%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
6.257.787.5010.0016.00%12.85%13.33%10.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Jessica Pegula (Local): 88.19%; Magdalena Frech (Visitante): 11.81%. Para Magdalena Frech (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 8.47. 10 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 10.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +18.05%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -8.28%E -7.96%K -206.94%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +18.05%E +1.81%K +2.01%G +0.362% | 6.2% | 2026-07-30 18:57 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -8.28%E -7.96%K -206.94%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +18.05%E +1.81%K +2.01%G +0.362% | 6.2% | 2026-07-30 19:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -8.28%E -7.96%K -206.94%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +18.05%E +1.81%K +2.01%G +0.362% | 6.2% | 2026-07-30 18:57 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -8.28%E -7.96%K -206.94%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +18.05%E +1.81%K +2.01%G +0.362% | 6.2% | 2026-07-30 18:57 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 90.07%EV -4.75%E -4.40%K -59.37%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.93%EV +15.69%E +1.60%K +1.78%G +0.280% | 2.8% | 2026-07-30 19:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -7.40%E -7.04%K -147.91%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +6.25%E +0.694%K +0.781%G +0.049% | 6.3% | 2026-07-30 19:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.35%EV -5.63%E -5.26%K -80.45%G +0.000% | 8.98I 11.14%NM 10.65%EV +6.01%E +0.669%K +0.753%G +0.045% | 4.6% | 2026-07-30 19:08 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -5.63%E -5.26%K -80.45%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV +3.30%E +0.377%K +0.425%G +0.014% | 4.9% | 2026-07-30 19:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.75%E -4.40%K -59.37%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +0.345%E +0.041%K +0.046%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-30 19:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.75%E -4.40%K -59.37%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +0.345%E +0.041%K +0.046%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-30 17:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.14%EV -9.16%E -8.89%K -305.31%G +0.000% | 8.45I 11.83%NM 10.86%EV -0.246%E -0.029%K -0.033%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-30 19:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.61%EV -4.75%E -4.40%K -59.37%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.39%EV -0.836%E -0.100%K -0.113%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-30 15:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -5.63%E -5.26%K -80.45%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -2.61%E -0.316%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-30 19:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 88.17%EV -2.99%E -2.71%K -29.86%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.83%EV -3.20%E -0.390%K -0.444%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-30 15:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.13%EV -3.87%E -3.55%K -42.97%G +0.000% | 8.09I 12.36%NM 11.87%EV -4.50%E -0.556%K -0.634%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-30 10:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.13%EV -3.87%E -3.55%K -42.97%G +0.000% | 8.09I 12.36%NM 11.87%EV -4.50%E -0.556%K -0.634%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-30 10:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -2.99%E -2.71%K -29.86%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV -5.56%E -0.695%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-29 06:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.75%E -4.40%K -59.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -5.56%E -0.695%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-30 18:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.75%E -4.40%K -59.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -5.56%E -0.695%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-30 17:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.75%E -4.40%K -59.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -5.56%E -0.695%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-30 18:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.63%E -5.26%K -80.45%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -5.56%E -0.695%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-30 17:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.50%EV -8.28%E -7.96%K -206.94%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -5.56%E -0.695%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-30 19:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.84%EV -4.75%E -4.40%K -59.37%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.16%EV -7.92%E -1.02%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-30 17:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.97%EV -6.51%E -6.14%K -108.56%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV -8.51%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-30 15:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -4.75%E -4.40%K -59.37%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV -9.10%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-30 17:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.87%E -3.55%K -42.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.46%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 17:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.87%E -3.55%K -42.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.46%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 17:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.87%E -3.55%K -42.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.46%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 17:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.87%E -3.55%K -42.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.46%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 17:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.87%E -3.55%K -42.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.46%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 17:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.87%E -3.55%K -42.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.46%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 17:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.87%E -3.55%K -42.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.46%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 17:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.87%E -3.55%K -42.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.46%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 17:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.87%E -3.55%K -42.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.46%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 17:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.87%E -3.55%K -42.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.46%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 17:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.87%E -3.55%K -42.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.46%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 17:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.87%E -3.55%K -42.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.46%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 17:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.87%E -3.55%K -42.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.46%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 17:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.75%E -4.40%K -59.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.46%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-30 15:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.75%E -4.40%K -59.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.46%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-30 15:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.75%E -4.40%K -59.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.46%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-29 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.75%E -4.40%K -59.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.46%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-29 17:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.75%E -4.40%K -59.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.46%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-30 05:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.63%E -5.26%K -80.45%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -11.46%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-30 19:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.63%E -5.26%K -80.45%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -11.46%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-30 19:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.63%E -5.26%K -80.45%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -11.46%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-30 19:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.63%E -5.26%K -80.45%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -11.46%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-30 18:58 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -4.75%E -4.40%K -59.37%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV -15.00%E -2.08%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-30 18:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.75%E -4.40%K -59.37%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -17.36%E -2.48%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-29 17:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.75%E -4.40%K -59.37%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -17.36%E -2.48%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-29 17:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.75%E -4.40%K -59.37%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -17.36%E -2.48%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-30 01:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.63%E -5.26%K -80.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -17.36%E -2.48%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-30 15:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.63%E -5.26%K -80.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -17.36%E -2.48%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-29 17:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.63%E -5.26%K -80.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -17.36%E -2.48%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-30 15:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.63%E -5.26%K -80.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -17.36%E -2.48%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-30 15:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.19%EV -3.87%E -3.55%K -42.97%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.81%EV -19.72%E -2.90%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-29 17:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.19%EV -3.87%E -3.55%K -42.97%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.81%EV -19.72%E -2.90%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-29 17:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -2.10%E -1.90%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -23.27%E -3.58%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-30 01:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -4.75%E -4.40%K -59.37%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -23.27%E -3.58%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-30 14:23 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -4.75%E -4.40%K -59.37%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -23.27%E -3.58%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-30 14:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -2.10%E -1.90%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -26.22%E -4.19%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-30 01:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 0.9% | 2026-07-30 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 0.9% | 2026-07-30 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 0.9% | 2026-07-30 18:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 0.9% | 2026-07-30 18:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 89.32% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.68% | 1.8% | 2026-07-30 19:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 89.21% | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.79% | 1.9% | 2026-07-30 19:06 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 90.07% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.93% | 2.8% | 2026-07-30 19:10 |