Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Jessica Pegula v Magdalena Frech

Inizio: 2026-07-30 19:11 UTC

Finale: Jessica Pegula 2–1 Magdalena Frech

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

61 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Jessica Pegula (Casa)

Previsione 88.19%1.13quota equa
EV -2.10%
Vantaggio -1.90%
Kelly -19.13%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.11

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
84.92%88.28%88.15%90.58%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.031.081.081.1197.09%92.80%92.59%90.09%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Magdalena Frech (Trasferta)

Previsione 11.81%8.47quota equa
EV +18.05%
Vantaggio +1.81%
Kelly +2.01%
Crescita +0.362%

ipotizzando la quota massima 10.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
9.42%11.72%11.85%15.08%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
6.257.787.5010.0016.00%12.85%13.33%10.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Jessica Pegula (Casa): 88.19%; Magdalena Frech (Trasferta): 11.81%. Per Magdalena Frech (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 8.47. 10 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 10.00, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +18.05%.

Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
888sport🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -8.28%E -7.96%K -206.94%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +18.05%E +1.81%K +2.01%G +0.362%6.2%2026-07-30 18:57
William Hill🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -8.28%E -7.96%K -206.94%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +18.05%E +1.81%K +2.01%G +0.362%6.2%2026-07-30 19:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -8.28%E -7.96%K -206.94%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +18.05%E +1.81%K +2.01%G +0.362%6.2%2026-07-30 18:57
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -8.28%E -7.96%K -206.94%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +18.05%E +1.81%K +2.01%G +0.362%6.2%2026-07-30 18:57
DraftKings🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 90.07%EV -4.75%E -4.40%K -59.37%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.93%EV +15.69%E +1.60%K +1.78%G +0.280%2.8%2026-07-30 19:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -7.40%E -7.04%K -147.91%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +6.25%E +0.694%K +0.781%G +0.049%6.3%2026-07-30 19:10
1xBet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.35%EV -5.63%E -5.26%K -80.45%G +0.000%8.98I 11.14%NM 10.65%EV +6.01%E +0.669%K +0.753%G +0.045%4.6%2026-07-30 19:08
Bovada🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -5.63%E -5.26%K -80.45%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV +3.30%E +0.377%K +0.425%G +0.014%4.9%2026-07-30 19:05
Betway🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.75%E -4.40%K -59.37%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +0.345%E +0.041%K +0.046%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-30 19:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.75%E -4.40%K -59.37%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +0.345%E +0.041%K +0.046%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-30 17:55
Fliff🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 89.14%EV -9.16%E -8.89%K -305.31%G +0.000%8.45I 11.83%NM 10.86%EV -0.246%E -0.029%K -0.033%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-30 19:10
FanDuel🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.61%EV -4.75%E -4.40%K -59.37%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.39%EV -0.836%E -0.100%K -0.113%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-30 15:25
theScore Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -5.63%E -5.26%K -80.45%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -2.61%E -0.316%K -0.360%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 19:09
Pinnacle🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 88.17%EV -2.99%E -2.71%K -29.86%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.83%EV -3.20%E -0.390%K -0.444%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-30 15:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.13%EV -3.87%E -3.55%K -42.97%G +0.000%8.09I 12.36%NM 11.87%EV -4.50%E -0.556%K -0.634%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-30 10:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.13%EV -3.87%E -3.55%K -42.97%G +0.000%8.09I 12.36%NM 11.87%EV -4.50%E -0.556%K -0.634%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-30 10:35
BoyleSports🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -2.99%E -2.71%K -29.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV -5.56%E -0.695%K -0.794%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-29 06:30
Bet Right🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.75%E -4.40%K -59.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -5.56%E -0.695%K -0.794%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 18:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.75%E -4.40%K -59.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -5.56%E -0.695%K -0.794%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 17:55
ReBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.75%E -4.40%K -59.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -5.56%E -0.695%K -0.794%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 18:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.63%E -5.26%K -80.45%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -5.56%E -0.695%K -0.794%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 17:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 88.50%EV -8.28%E -7.96%K -206.94%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -5.56%E -0.695%K -0.794%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-30 19:05
Fanatics🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.84%EV -4.75%E -4.40%K -59.37%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.16%EV -7.92%E -1.02%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 17:54
NetBet (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.97%EV -6.51%E -6.14%K -108.56%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV -8.51%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-30 15:10
BetAnything🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -4.75%E -4.40%K -59.37%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV -9.10%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 17:55
Unibet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.87%E -3.55%K -42.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.46%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 17:55
TABtouch🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.87%E -3.55%K -42.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.46%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 17:55
BetRivers🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.87%E -3.55%K -42.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.46%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 17:55
Casumo🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.87%E -3.55%K -42.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.46%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 17:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.87%E -3.55%K -42.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.46%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 17:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.87%E -3.55%K -42.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.46%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 17:55
Grosvenor🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.87%E -3.55%K -42.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.46%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 17:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.87%E -3.55%K -42.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.46%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 17:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.87%E -3.55%K -42.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.46%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 17:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.87%E -3.55%K -42.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.46%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 17:55
betPARX🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.87%E -3.55%K -42.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.46%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 17:55
Bally Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.87%E -3.55%K -42.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.46%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 17:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.87%E -3.55%K -42.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.46%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 17:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.75%E -4.40%K -59.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.46%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-30 15:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.75%E -4.40%K -59.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.46%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-30 15:24
Coral🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.75%E -4.40%K -59.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.46%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.75%E -4.40%K -59.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.46%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 17:00
BetUS🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.75%E -4.40%K -59.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.46%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-30 05:45
betfred_uk🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.63%E -5.26%K -80.45%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -11.46%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-30 19:09
Betsson🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.63%E -5.26%K -80.45%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -11.46%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-30 19:00
NordicBet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.63%E -5.26%K -80.45%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -11.46%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-30 19:04
Caesars🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.63%E -5.26%K -80.45%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -11.46%E -1.53%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-30 18:58
Unibet (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -4.75%E -4.40%K -59.37%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV -15.00%E -2.08%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-30 18:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.75%E -4.40%K -59.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -17.36%E -2.48%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-29 17:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.75%E -4.40%K -59.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -17.36%E -2.48%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-29 17:55
TAB🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.75%E -4.40%K -59.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -17.36%E -2.48%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-30 01:30
SportsBet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.63%E -5.26%K -80.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -17.36%E -2.48%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-30 15:24
PMU (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.63%E -5.26%K -80.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -17.36%E -2.48%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-29 17:55
Paddy Power🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.63%E -5.26%K -80.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -17.36%E -2.48%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-30 15:25
Sky Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.63%E -5.26%K -80.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -17.36%E -2.48%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-30 15:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.19%EV -3.87%E -3.55%K -42.97%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.81%EV -19.72%E -2.90%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-29 17:00
Neds🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.19%EV -3.87%E -3.55%K -42.97%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.81%EV -19.72%E -2.90%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-29 17:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -2.10%E -1.90%K -19.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -23.27%E -3.58%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-30 01:25
betano_uk🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -4.75%E -4.40%K -59.37%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -23.27%E -3.58%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-30 14:23
Bet Victor🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -4.75%E -4.40%K -59.37%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -23.27%E -3.58%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-30 14:24
PlayUp🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -2.10%E -1.90%K -19.13%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -26.22%E -4.19%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-30 01:25
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-07-30 19:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-07-30 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-07-30 18:55
Matchbook1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-07-30 18:55
ProphetX1.10I 90.91%NM 89.32%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.68%1.8%2026-07-30 19:10
Novig1.10I 90.91%NM 89.21%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.79%1.9%2026-07-30 19:06
Smarkets1.08I 92.59%NM 90.07%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.93%2.8%2026-07-30 19:10