Language:English
Jessica Pegula v Alexandra Eala
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jessica Pegula (Local)
Prediction 61.45%1.63fair odd
EV +0.774%
Edge +0.472%
Kelly +1.21%
Growth +0.009%
assuming max odds 1.64
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.27%61.41%61.25%64.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.531.531.6469.44%65.51%65.36%60.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Alexandra Eala (Visit)
Prediction 38.55%2.59fair odd
EV +4.09%
Edge +1.52%
Kelly +2.41%
Growth +0.098%
assuming max odds 2.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.64%38.59%38.75%41.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.482.452.7044.44%40.29%40.82%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jessica Pegula (Local): 61.45%; Alexandra Eala (Visit): 38.55%. For Alexandra Eala (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.59. 20 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.09%.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -7.83%E -5.22%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV +4.09%E +1.52%K +2.41%G +0.098% | 3.7% | 2026-08-02 18:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.42%EV -5.37%E -3.49%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.58%EV +2.93%E +1.10%K +1.76%G +0.052% | 2.4% | 2026-08-02 18:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -7.21%E -4.78%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV +2.16%E +0.816%K +1.31%G +0.028% | 4.0% | 2026-08-02 18:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -9.06%E -6.12%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +2.16%E +0.816%K +1.31%G +0.028% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 18:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -9.67%E -6.58%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV +2.16%E +0.816%K +1.31%G +0.028% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 18:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -9.67%E -6.58%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV +2.16%E +0.816%K +1.31%G +0.028% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 18:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -9.67%E -6.58%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV +2.16%E +0.816%K +1.31%G +0.028% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 18:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -9.67%E -6.58%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV +2.16%E +0.816%K +1.31%G +0.028% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 18:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -9.67%E -6.58%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV +2.16%E +0.816%K +1.31%G +0.028% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 18:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -9.67%E -6.58%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV +2.16%E +0.816%K +1.31%G +0.028% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 18:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -9.67%E -6.58%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV +2.16%E +0.816%K +1.31%G +0.028% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 18:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -9.67%E -6.58%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV +2.16%E +0.816%K +1.31%G +0.028% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 18:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -9.67%E -6.58%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV +2.16%E +0.816%K +1.31%G +0.028% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 18:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -9.67%E -6.58%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV +2.16%E +0.816%K +1.31%G +0.028% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 18:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -9.67%E -6.58%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV +2.16%E +0.816%K +1.31%G +0.028% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 18:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -9.67%E -6.58%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV +2.16%E +0.816%K +1.31%G +0.028% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 18:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -10.29%E -7.05%K -22.36%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV +1.39%E +0.530%K +0.854%G +0.012% | 6.5% | 2026-08-02 18:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -10.29%E -7.05%K -22.36%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV +1.39%E +0.530%K +0.854%G +0.012% | 6.5% | 2026-08-02 18:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -7.21%E -4.78%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +0.236%E +0.091%K +0.148%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 18:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -11.52%E -8.00%K -26.17%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV +0.236%E +0.091%K +0.148%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-02 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -4.14%E -2.65%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -1.31%E -0.510%K -0.837%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-02 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -4.14%E -2.65%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -1.31%E -0.510%K -0.837%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-02 18:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.99%E -3.91%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.69%E -0.663%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-02 18:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.21%E -4.78%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.69%E -0.663%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 18:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.83%E -5.22%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -1.69%E -0.663%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 18:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -6.60%E -4.34%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -2.46%E -0.973%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 16:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.99%E -3.91%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.62%E -1.45%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 18:23 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -7.21%E -4.78%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -3.62%E -1.45%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 18:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.76%E -3.07%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.55%E -2.26%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 16:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.76%E -3.07%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.55%E -2.26%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 16:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -4.14%E -2.65%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -5.93%E -2.43%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 16:44 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -3.53%E -2.25%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -6.70%E -2.77%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-02 18:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.14%E -2.65%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.47%E -3.11%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 18:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.76%E -3.07%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.47%E -3.11%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 18:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.37%E -3.49%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.47%E -3.11%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-02 18:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.99%E -3.91%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.47%E -3.11%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 16:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.83%E -5.22%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.47%E -3.11%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-02 18:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -4.14%E -2.65%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -7.86%E -3.29%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 18:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -4.14%E -2.65%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -7.86%E -3.29%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 18:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.53%E -2.25%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.25%E -3.46%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-02 16:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.99%E -3.91%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.25%E -3.46%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-02 16:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.99%E -3.91%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.25%E -3.46%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-02 16:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.99%E -3.91%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.25%E -3.46%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-02 16:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.99%E -3.91%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.25%E -3.46%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-02 16:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.99%E -3.91%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.25%E -3.46%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-02 16:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.99%E -3.91%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.25%E -3.46%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-02 16:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -1.68%E -1.05%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -9.40%E -4.00%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 18:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -1.07%E -0.664%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -11.33%E -4.93%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 18:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -1.68%E -1.05%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -11.33%E -4.93%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-02 18:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -2.30%E -1.45%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -11.33%E -4.93%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-02 03:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -2.91%E -1.84%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -11.33%E -4.93%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-02 18:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -2.91%E -1.84%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -11.33%E -4.93%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-02 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -2.91%E -1.84%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -11.33%E -4.93%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-02 17:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.76%E -3.07%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.33%E -4.93%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-02 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.76%E -3.07%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.33%E -4.93%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-02 17:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV +0.774%E +0.472%K +1.21%G +0.009% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -11.72%E -5.12%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-02 18:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -4.14%E -2.65%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -13.26%E -5.89%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-02 18:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -4.76%E -3.07%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -13.26%E -5.89%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-02 18:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.89% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 36.11% | 0.3% | 2026-08-02 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41% | 0.5% | 2026-08-02 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41% | 0.5% | 2026-08-02 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41% | 0.5% | 2026-08-02 18:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 0.6% | 2026-08-02 18:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.02% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.98% | 1.4% | 2026-08-02 18:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.51% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.49% | 2.2% | 2026-08-02 18:55 |
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