Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Jessica Pegula v Alexandra Eala

Początek: 2026-08-02 18:58 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Jessica Pegula 1–2 Alexandra Eala

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

58 bukmacherów (17 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Jessica Pegula (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 61.45%1.63kurs godziwy
EV +0.774%
Przewaga +0.472%
Kelly +1.21%
Wzrost +0.009%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.64

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
58.27%61.41%61.25%64.36%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.441.531.531.6469.44%65.51%65.36%60.98%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Alexandra Eala (Goście)

Prognoza 38.55%2.59kurs godziwy
EV +4.09%
Przewaga +1.52%
Kelly +2.41%
Wzrost +0.098%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.70

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
35.64%38.59%38.75%41.73%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.252.482.452.7044.44%40.29%40.82%37.04%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Jessica Pegula (Gospodarze): 61.45%; Alexandra Eala (Goście): 38.55%. Dla wyniku Alexandra Eala (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.59. 20 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 2.70, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +4.09%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (58 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
BetAnything🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -7.83%E -5.22%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV +4.09%E +1.52%K +2.41%G +0.098%3.7%2026-08-02 18:50
Pinnacle🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.42%EV -5.37%E -3.49%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.58%EV +2.93%E +1.10%K +1.76%G +0.052%2.4%2026-08-02 18:50
BetUS🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -7.21%E -4.78%K -14.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV +2.16%E +0.816%K +1.31%G +0.028%4.0%2026-08-02 18:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -9.06%E -6.12%K -18.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +2.16%E +0.816%K +1.31%G +0.028%5.3%2026-08-02 18:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -9.67%E -6.58%K -20.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV +2.16%E +0.816%K +1.31%G +0.028%5.8%2026-08-02 18:40
Unibet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -9.67%E -6.58%K -20.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV +2.16%E +0.816%K +1.31%G +0.028%5.8%2026-08-02 18:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -9.67%E -6.58%K -20.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV +2.16%E +0.816%K +1.31%G +0.028%5.8%2026-08-02 18:39
Grosvenor🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -9.67%E -6.58%K -20.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV +2.16%E +0.816%K +1.31%G +0.028%5.8%2026-08-02 18:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -9.67%E -6.58%K -20.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV +2.16%E +0.816%K +1.31%G +0.028%5.8%2026-08-02 18:39
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -9.67%E -6.58%K -20.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV +2.16%E +0.816%K +1.31%G +0.028%5.8%2026-08-02 18:39
Casumo🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -9.67%E -6.58%K -20.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV +2.16%E +0.816%K +1.31%G +0.028%5.8%2026-08-02 18:40
TABtouch🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -9.67%E -6.58%K -20.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV +2.16%E +0.816%K +1.31%G +0.028%5.8%2026-08-02 18:39
Bally Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -9.67%E -6.58%K -20.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV +2.16%E +0.816%K +1.31%G +0.028%5.8%2026-08-02 18:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -9.67%E -6.58%K -20.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV +2.16%E +0.816%K +1.31%G +0.028%5.8%2026-08-02 18:40
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -9.67%E -6.58%K -20.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV +2.16%E +0.816%K +1.31%G +0.028%5.8%2026-08-02 18:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -9.67%E -6.58%K -20.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV +2.16%E +0.816%K +1.31%G +0.028%5.8%2026-08-02 18:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -10.29%E -7.05%K -22.36%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV +1.39%E +0.530%K +0.854%G +0.012%6.5%2026-08-02 18:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -10.29%E -7.05%K -22.36%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV +1.39%E +0.530%K +0.854%G +0.012%6.5%2026-08-02 18:40
Bovada🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -7.21%E -4.78%K -14.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +0.236%E +0.091%K +0.148%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 18:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -11.52%E -8.00%K -26.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV +0.236%E +0.091%K +0.148%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 18:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -4.14%E -2.65%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -1.31%E -0.510%K -0.837%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-02 18:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -4.14%E -2.65%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -1.31%E -0.510%K -0.837%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-02 18:39
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.99%E -3.91%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.69%E -0.663%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 18:55
Fanatics🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.21%E -4.78%K -14.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.69%E -0.663%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 18:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.83%E -5.22%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -1.69%E -0.663%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 18:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -6.60%E -4.34%K -12.69%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -2.46%E -0.973%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 16:50
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.99%E -3.91%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.62%E -1.45%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 18:23
Betr (AU)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -7.21%E -4.78%K -14.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -3.62%E -1.45%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 18:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.76%E -3.07%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.55%E -2.26%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 16:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.76%E -3.07%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.55%E -2.26%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 16:05
FanDuel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -4.14%E -2.65%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -5.93%E -2.43%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 16:44
ReBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -3.53%E -2.25%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -6.70%E -2.77%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 18:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.14%E -2.65%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.47%E -3.11%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 18:44
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.76%E -3.07%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.47%E -3.11%K -5.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 18:44
Bet Right🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.37%E -3.49%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.47%E -3.11%K -5.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 18:55
SportsBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.99%E -3.91%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.47%E -3.11%K -5.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 16:40
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.83%E -5.22%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.47%E -3.11%K -5.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-02 18:55
Betsson🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -4.14%E -2.65%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -7.86%E -3.29%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 18:45
NordicBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -4.14%E -2.65%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -7.86%E -3.29%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 18:44
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.53%E -2.25%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.25%E -3.46%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 16:45
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.99%E -3.91%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.25%E -3.46%K -5.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 16:15
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.99%E -3.91%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.25%E -3.46%K -5.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 16:15
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.99%E -3.91%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.25%E -3.46%K -5.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 16:40
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.99%E -3.91%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.25%E -3.46%K -5.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 16:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.99%E -3.91%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.25%E -3.46%K -5.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 16:14
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.99%E -3.91%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.25%E -3.46%K -5.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 16:15
Dabble (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -1.68%E -1.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -9.40%E -4.00%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 18:30
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -1.07%E -0.664%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -11.33%E -4.93%K -8.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 18:55
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -1.68%E -1.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -11.33%E -4.93%K -8.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 18:40
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -2.30%E -1.45%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -11.33%E -4.93%K -8.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 03:34
TAB🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -2.91%E -1.84%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -11.33%E -4.93%K -8.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 18:34
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -2.91%E -1.84%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -11.33%E -4.93%K -8.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 17:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -2.91%E -1.84%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -11.33%E -4.93%K -8.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 17:50
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.76%E -3.07%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.33%E -4.93%K -8.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.76%E -3.07%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.33%E -4.93%K -8.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 17:50
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV +0.774%E +0.472%K +1.21%G +0.009%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -11.72%E -5.12%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 18:55
Fliff🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -4.14%E -2.65%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -13.26%E -5.89%K -10.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 18:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -4.76%E -3.07%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -13.26%E -5.89%K -10.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 18:50
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
ProphetX◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.89%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.11%0.3%2026-08-02 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%0.5%2026-08-02 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%0.5%2026-08-02 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%0.5%2026-08-02 18:55
Matchbook◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-08-02 18:55
Novig◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.02%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.98%1.4%2026-08-02 18:50
Smarkets◎1.54I 64.94%NM 63.51%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.49%2.2%2026-08-02 18:55