Idioma:Español
Jessica Pegula v Alexandra Eala
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jessica Pegula (Local)
Predicción 61.45%1.63momio equitativo
EV +0.774%
Ventaja +0.472%
Kelly +1.21%
Crecimiento +0.009%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.64
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.27%61.41%61.25%64.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.441.531.531.6469.44%65.51%65.36%60.98%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Alexandra Eala (Visitante)
Predicción 38.55%2.59momio equitativo
EV +4.09%
Ventaja +1.52%
Kelly +2.41%
Crecimiento +0.098%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.64%38.59%38.75%41.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.252.482.452.7044.44%40.29%40.82%37.04%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Jessica Pegula (Local): 61.45%; Alexandra Eala (Visitante): 38.55%. Para Alexandra Eala (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.59. 20 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.70, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +4.09%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -7.83%E -5.22%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV +4.09%E +1.52%K +2.41%G +0.098% | 3.7% | 2026-08-02 18:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.42%EV -5.37%E -3.49%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.58%EV +2.93%E +1.10%K +1.76%G +0.052% | 2.4% | 2026-08-02 18:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -7.21%E -4.78%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV +2.16%E +0.816%K +1.31%G +0.028% | 4.0% | 2026-08-02 18:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -9.06%E -6.12%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +2.16%E +0.816%K +1.31%G +0.028% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 18:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -9.67%E -6.58%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV +2.16%E +0.816%K +1.31%G +0.028% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 18:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -9.67%E -6.58%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV +2.16%E +0.816%K +1.31%G +0.028% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 18:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -9.67%E -6.58%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV +2.16%E +0.816%K +1.31%G +0.028% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 18:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -9.67%E -6.58%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV +2.16%E +0.816%K +1.31%G +0.028% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 18:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -9.67%E -6.58%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV +2.16%E +0.816%K +1.31%G +0.028% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 18:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -9.67%E -6.58%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV +2.16%E +0.816%K +1.31%G +0.028% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 18:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -9.67%E -6.58%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV +2.16%E +0.816%K +1.31%G +0.028% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 18:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -9.67%E -6.58%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV +2.16%E +0.816%K +1.31%G +0.028% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 18:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -9.67%E -6.58%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV +2.16%E +0.816%K +1.31%G +0.028% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 18:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -9.67%E -6.58%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV +2.16%E +0.816%K +1.31%G +0.028% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 18:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -9.67%E -6.58%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV +2.16%E +0.816%K +1.31%G +0.028% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 18:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -9.67%E -6.58%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV +2.16%E +0.816%K +1.31%G +0.028% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 18:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -10.29%E -7.05%K -22.36%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV +1.39%E +0.530%K +0.854%G +0.012% | 6.5% | 2026-08-02 18:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -10.29%E -7.05%K -22.36%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV +1.39%E +0.530%K +0.854%G +0.012% | 6.5% | 2026-08-02 18:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -7.21%E -4.78%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +0.236%E +0.091%K +0.148%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 18:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -11.52%E -8.00%K -26.17%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV +0.236%E +0.091%K +0.148%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-02 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -4.14%E -2.65%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -1.31%E -0.510%K -0.837%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-02 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -4.14%E -2.65%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -1.31%E -0.510%K -0.837%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-02 18:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.99%E -3.91%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.69%E -0.663%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-02 18:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.21%E -4.78%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.69%E -0.663%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 18:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.83%E -5.22%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -1.69%E -0.663%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 18:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -6.60%E -4.34%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -2.46%E -0.973%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 16:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.99%E -3.91%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.62%E -1.45%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 18:23 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -7.21%E -4.78%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -3.62%E -1.45%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 18:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.76%E -3.07%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.55%E -2.26%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 16:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.76%E -3.07%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.55%E -2.26%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 16:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -4.14%E -2.65%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -5.93%E -2.43%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 16:44 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -3.53%E -2.25%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -6.70%E -2.77%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-02 18:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.14%E -2.65%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.47%E -3.11%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 18:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.76%E -3.07%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.47%E -3.11%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 18:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.37%E -3.49%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.47%E -3.11%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-02 18:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.99%E -3.91%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.47%E -3.11%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 16:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.83%E -5.22%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.47%E -3.11%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-02 18:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -4.14%E -2.65%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -7.86%E -3.29%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 18:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -4.14%E -2.65%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -7.86%E -3.29%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 18:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.53%E -2.25%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.25%E -3.46%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-02 16:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.99%E -3.91%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.25%E -3.46%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-02 16:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.99%E -3.91%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.25%E -3.46%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-02 16:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.99%E -3.91%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.25%E -3.46%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-02 16:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.99%E -3.91%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.25%E -3.46%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-02 16:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.99%E -3.91%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.25%E -3.46%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-02 16:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.99%E -3.91%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.25%E -3.46%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-02 16:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -1.68%E -1.05%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -9.40%E -4.00%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 18:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -1.07%E -0.664%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -11.33%E -4.93%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 18:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -1.68%E -1.05%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -11.33%E -4.93%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-02 18:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -2.30%E -1.45%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -11.33%E -4.93%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-02 03:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -2.91%E -1.84%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -11.33%E -4.93%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-02 18:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -2.91%E -1.84%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -11.33%E -4.93%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-02 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -2.91%E -1.84%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -11.33%E -4.93%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-02 17:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.76%E -3.07%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.33%E -4.93%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-02 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.76%E -3.07%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.33%E -4.93%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-02 17:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV +0.774%E +0.472%K +1.21%G +0.009% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -11.72%E -5.12%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-02 18:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -4.14%E -2.65%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -13.26%E -5.89%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-02 18:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -4.76%E -3.07%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -13.26%E -5.89%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-02 18:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.89% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 36.11% | 0.3% | 2026-08-02 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41% | 0.5% | 2026-08-02 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41% | 0.5% | 2026-08-02 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41% | 0.5% | 2026-08-02 18:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 0.6% | 2026-08-02 18:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.02% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.98% | 1.4% | 2026-08-02 18:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.51% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.49% | 2.2% | 2026-08-02 18:55 |