Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Jessica Pegula v Alexandra Eala

2026-08-02 16:00 UTC — WTA Washington Open

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Jessica Pegula (Local)

Predicción 59.06%1.69momio equitativo
EV -0.772%
Ventaja -0.459%
Kelly -1.13%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.68

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.85%58.98%58.97%60.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.561.611.601.6864.10%62.24%62.50%59.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Alexandra Eala (Visitante)

Predicción 40.94%2.44momio equitativo
EV -1.75%
Ventaja -0.731%
Kelly -1.25%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.75%41.02%41.03%43.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.202.302.302.4045.45%43.47%43.48%41.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Jessica Pegula (Local): 59.06%; Alexandra Eala (Visitante): 40.94%. Para Jessica Pegula (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 1.69. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 1.68, con un valor esperado de -0.772%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -0.772%E -0.459%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -9.12%E -4.11%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 09:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.36%E -0.816%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.94%E -4.52%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 09:15
Dabble (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.36%E -0.816%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.94%E -4.52%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 09:49
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.54%E -1.54%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.94%E -4.52%K -8.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 09:49
Pinnacle1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%EV -3.13%E -1.91%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59%EV -1.75%E -0.731%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-02 09:50
1xBet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -3.13%E -1.91%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -7.08%E -3.12%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 08:54
SportsBet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.13%E -1.91%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -9.94%E -4.52%K -8.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 09:15
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.32%E -2.66%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.75%E -0.731%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-02 08:05
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.32%E -2.66%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.75%E -0.731%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-02 08:04
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.32%E -2.66%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.80%E -1.62%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 07:10
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.32%E -2.66%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.85%E -2.54%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 09:49
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.32%E -2.66%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.85%E -2.54%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 06:04
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.32%E -2.66%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.85%E -2.54%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 08:04
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.32%E -2.66%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.85%E -2.54%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 07:00
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.32%E -2.66%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.90%E -3.51%K -6.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 09:04
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.32%E -2.66%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.90%E -3.51%K -6.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 07:24
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.32%E -2.66%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.90%E -3.51%K -6.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 07:25
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.32%E -2.66%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.94%E -4.52%K -8.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 09:14
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.32%E -2.66%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.94%E -4.52%K -8.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 09:39
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.32%E -2.66%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.94%E -4.52%K -8.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 09:15
BetAnything1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.91%E -3.05%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.75%E -0.731%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-02 08:34
Betclic (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.91%E -3.05%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.80%E -1.62%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 07:18
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.91%E -3.05%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.80%E -1.62%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 07:14
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.91%E -3.05%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.80%E -1.62%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 07:14
Hard Rock Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.91%E -3.05%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.80%E -1.62%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 06:04
Bet Right1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.91%E -3.05%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.03%E -2.17%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 09:04
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.50%E -3.44%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.62%E -1.98%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 06:05
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.50%E -3.44%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.62%E -1.98%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 06:04
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.50%E -3.44%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.62%E -1.98%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 06:05
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.50%E -3.44%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.62%E -1.98%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 06:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.50%E -3.44%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.62%E -1.98%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 06:04
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.50%E -3.44%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.62%E -1.98%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 06:05
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.50%E -3.44%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.62%E -1.98%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 06:04
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.50%E -3.44%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.62%E -1.98%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 06:04
Bally Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.50%E -3.44%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.62%E -1.98%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 06:03
ATG (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.50%E -3.44%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.62%E -1.98%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 06:05
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.50%E -3.44%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.62%E -1.98%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 06:04
Svenska Spel1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.50%E -3.44%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.62%E -1.98%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 06:04
PointsBet (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.50%E -3.44%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.85%E -2.54%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 06:04
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.50%E -3.44%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.85%E -2.54%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 07:34
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.50%E -3.44%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.85%E -2.54%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 07:09
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.50%E -3.44%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.85%E -2.54%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 09:05
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.50%E -3.44%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.85%E -2.54%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 09:49
Unibet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.50%E -3.44%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.85%E -2.54%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 07:09
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.50%E -3.44%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.85%E -2.54%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 07:10
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.50%E -3.44%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.85%E -2.54%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 07:10
betano_uk1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.50%E -3.44%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.94%E -4.52%K -8.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 08:58
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.50%E -3.44%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.94%E -4.52%K -8.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 08:59
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.09%E -3.83%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.85%E -2.54%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 03:34
ReBet1.59I 62.89%NM 58.81%EV -6.09%E -3.83%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.19%EV -7.08%E -3.12%K -5.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 07:09
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.68%E -4.23%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.85%E -2.54%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 06:04
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.68%E -4.23%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.85%E -2.54%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 06:05
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.27%E -4.63%K -12.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.57%E -1.08%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 07:14
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.27%E -4.63%K -12.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.57%E -1.08%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 07:14
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.27%E -4.63%K -12.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.57%E -1.08%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 07:15
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.27%E -4.63%K -12.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.57%E -1.08%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 07:14
NetBet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.27%E -4.63%K -12.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.85%E -2.54%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 07:18
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.27%E -4.63%K -12.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.90%E -3.51%K -6.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 07:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.27%E -4.63%K -12.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.90%E -3.51%K -6.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 07:30
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -7.86%E -5.04%K -14.03%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -6.67%E -2.92%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 06:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%0.2%2026-08-02 09:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%0.2%2026-08-02 09:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-08-02 09:30
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-08-02 09:55
ProphetX1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-08-02 09:55
Novig1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%1.6%2026-08-02 09:54
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%1.9%2026-08-02 09:55