Language:English
Emma Navarro v Sofia Kenin
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Emma Navarro (Local)
Prediction 67.43%1.48fair odd
EV +7.89%
Edge +4.93%
Kelly +13.15%
Growth +1.04%
assuming max odds 1.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.44%66.94%67.83%70.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.371.361.6076.92%72.79%73.53%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sofia Kenin (Visit)
Prediction 32.57%3.07fair odd
EV +5.85%
Edge +1.80%
Kelly +2.60%
Growth +0.152%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.04%33.06%32.17%41.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.973.003.2544.44%33.61%33.33%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Emma Navarro (Local): 67.43%; Sofia Kenin (Visit): 32.57%. For Emma Navarro (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.48. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.89%.
Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV +7.89%E +4.93%K +13.15%G +1.04% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -26.72%E -11.88%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-27 16:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV +1.15%E +0.765%K +2.29%G +0.026% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -15.32%E -5.89%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV +1.15%E +0.765%K +2.29%G +0.026% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -18.58%E -7.43%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-27 16:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -0.876%E -0.596%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -15.32%E -5.89%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -0.876%E -0.596%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -16.95%E -6.65%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -2.22%E -1.53%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -20.21%E -8.25%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.17%EV -3.57%E -2.50%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.83%EV -23.46%E -9.98%K -17.38%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.29%E -0.765%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.29%E -0.765%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -4.25%E -1.45%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-27 13:26 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.44%E -3.80%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.44%E -3.80%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04%EV -6.27%E -4.51%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%EV +5.85%E +1.80%K +2.60%G +0.152% | 2.7% | 2026-07-27 16:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.94%E -5.03%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -3.92%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.94%E -5.03%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -3.92%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.94%E -5.03%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -3.92%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.94%E -5.03%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -5.55%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-27 08:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.94%E -5.03%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -5.55%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-27 08:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -6.94%E -5.03%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.09%EV -7.62%E -5.56%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.91%EV +4.54%E +1.42%K +2.06%G +0.093% | 4.1% | 2026-07-27 09:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.09%EV -7.62%E -5.56%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.91%EV +4.54%E +1.42%K +2.06%G +0.093% | 4.1% | 2026-07-27 09:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -7.62%E -5.56%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV +0.962%E +0.310%K +0.458%G +0.004% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -7.62%E -5.56%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -5.55%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -8.29%E -6.10%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +5.85%E +1.80%K +2.60%G +0.152% | 4.3% | 2026-07-27 16:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -8.29%E -6.10%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +4.22%E +1.32%K +1.92%G +0.081% | 4.8% | 2026-07-27 16:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -8.29%E -6.10%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +2.59%E +0.822%K +1.20%G +0.031% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 16:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -8.29%E -6.10%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +2.59%E +0.822%K +1.20%G +0.031% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 15:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -8.29%E -6.10%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +2.59%E +0.822%K +1.20%G +0.031% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 16:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.29%E -6.10%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.962%E +0.310%K +0.458%G +0.004% | 5.8% | 2026-07-27 14:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -8.29%E -6.10%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -0.666%E -0.218%K -0.325%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-27 08:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.29%E -6.10%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.29%E -0.765%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-27 16:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.29%E -6.10%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.29%E -0.765%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-27 16:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.29%E -6.10%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.29%E -0.765%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-27 16:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.29%E -6.10%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.29%E -0.765%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-27 09:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.29%E -6.10%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -6.20%E -2.15%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.29%E -6.10%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -6.20%E -2.15%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -8.29%E -6.10%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.97%E -6.64%K -25.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -2.29%E -0.765%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-27 08:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.97%E -6.64%K -25.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -2.29%E -0.765%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-27 09:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -9.64%E -7.20%K -28.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV +4.22%E +1.32%K +1.92%G +0.081% | 5.9% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -9.64%E -7.20%K -28.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV +4.22%E +1.32%K +1.92%G +0.081% | 5.9% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -9.64%E -7.20%K -28.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV +4.22%E +1.32%K +1.92%G +0.081% | 5.9% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -9.64%E -7.20%K -28.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV +4.22%E +1.32%K +1.92%G +0.081% | 5.9% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -9.64%E -7.20%K -28.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV +4.22%E +1.32%K +1.92%G +0.081% | 5.9% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -9.64%E -7.20%K -28.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV +4.22%E +1.32%K +1.92%G +0.081% | 5.9% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.40%EV -9.64%E -7.20%K -28.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -5.55%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -10.32%E -7.76%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +5.85%E +1.80%K +2.60%G +0.152% | 6.0% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -10.32%E -7.76%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +5.85%E +1.80%K +2.60%G +0.152% | 6.0% | 2026-07-27 16:51 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -10.32%E -7.76%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV +2.59%E +0.822%K +1.20%G +0.031% | 6.9% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -10.32%E -7.76%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV +2.59%E +0.822%K +1.20%G +0.031% | 6.9% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -10.99%E -8.33%K -34.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV +4.22%E +1.32%K +1.92%G +0.081% | 7.0% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -10.99%E -8.33%K -34.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV +4.22%E +1.32%K +1.92%G +0.081% | 7.0% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -10.99%E -8.33%K -34.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV +0.962%E +0.310%K +0.458%G +0.004% | 8.0% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -10.99%E -8.33%K -34.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV +0.962%E +0.310%K +0.458%G +0.004% | 8.0% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.57%EV -10.99%E -8.33%K -34.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.44%E -3.80%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.11%EV -12.34%E -9.49%K -41.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%EV -0.666%E -0.218%K -0.325%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-27 16:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57% | 0.3% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59% | 0.8% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31% | 4.7% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41% | 4.9% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 67.36% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 32.64% | 18.8% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
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