Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Emma Navarro v Sofia Kenin

Início: 2026-07-27 17:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Emma Navarro (Local)

Previsão 67.43%1.48odd justa
EV +7.89%
Vantagem +4.93%
Kelly +13.15%
Crescimento +1.04%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.44%66.94%67.83%70.96%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.301.371.361.6076.92%72.79%73.53%62.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Sofia Kenin (Visitante)

Previsão 32.57%3.07odd justa
EV +5.85%
Vantagem +1.80%
Kelly +2.60%
Crescimento +0.152%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.04%33.06%32.17%41.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.252.973.003.2544.44%33.61%33.33%30.77%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Emma Navarro (Local): 67.43%; Sofia Kenin (Visitante): 32.57%. Para Emma Navarro (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.48. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 1.60, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +7.89%.

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV +7.89%E +4.93%K +13.15%G +1.04%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -26.72%E -11.88%K -21.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-27 16:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV +1.15%E +0.765%K +2.29%G +0.026%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -15.32%E -5.89%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 16:55
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV +1.15%E +0.765%K +2.29%G +0.026%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -18.58%E -7.43%K -12.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-27 16:54
theScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -0.876%E -0.596%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -15.32%E -5.89%K -9.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-27 16:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -0.876%E -0.596%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -16.95%E -6.65%K -10.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-27 16:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -2.22%E -1.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -20.21%E -8.25%K -13.94%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-27 16:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.17%EV -3.57%E -2.50%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.83%EV -23.46%E -9.98%K -17.38%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-27 16:55
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.29%E -0.765%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 16:55
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.29%E -0.765%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 16:55
DraftKings🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -4.25%E -1.45%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 16:55
TAB🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-27 13:26
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.44%E -3.80%K -5.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-27 16:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.44%E -3.80%K -5.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-27 16:55
Pinnacle🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04%EV -6.27%E -4.51%K -16.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%EV +5.85%E +1.80%K +2.60%G +0.152%2.7%2026-07-27 16:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.94%E -5.03%K -18.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -3.92%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 16:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.94%E -5.03%K -18.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -3.92%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 16:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.94%E -5.03%K -18.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -3.92%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 16:55
Neds🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.94%E -5.03%K -18.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -5.55%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-27 08:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.94%E -5.03%K -18.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -5.55%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-27 08:55
Bally Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -6.94%E -5.03%K -18.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-27 16:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.09%EV -7.62%E -5.56%K -20.59%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.91%EV +4.54%E +1.42%K +2.06%G +0.093%4.1%2026-07-27 09:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.09%EV -7.62%E -5.56%K -20.59%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.91%EV +4.54%E +1.42%K +2.06%G +0.093%4.1%2026-07-27 09:45
FanDuel🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -7.62%E -5.56%K -20.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV +0.962%E +0.310%K +0.458%G +0.004%5.3%2026-07-27 16:55
Betsson🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -7.62%E -5.56%K -20.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -5.55%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-27 16:55
BetAnything🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -8.29%E -6.10%K -23.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +5.85%E +1.80%K +2.60%G +0.152%4.3%2026-07-27 16:40
BetUS🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -8.29%E -6.10%K -23.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +4.22%E +1.32%K +1.92%G +0.081%4.8%2026-07-27 16:45
Bet Right🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -8.29%E -6.10%K -23.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +2.59%E +0.822%K +1.20%G +0.031%5.3%2026-07-27 16:45
ReBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -8.29%E -6.10%K -23.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +2.59%E +0.822%K +1.20%G +0.031%5.3%2026-07-27 15:10
1xBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -8.29%E -6.10%K -23.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +2.59%E +0.822%K +1.20%G +0.031%5.3%2026-07-27 16:35
Fanatics🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.29%E -6.10%K -23.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.962%E +0.310%K +0.458%G +0.004%5.8%2026-07-27 14:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -8.29%E -6.10%K -23.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -0.666%E -0.218%K -0.325%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-27 08:50
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.29%E -6.10%K -23.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.29%E -0.765%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-27 16:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.29%E -6.10%K -23.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.29%E -0.765%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-27 16:45
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.29%E -6.10%K -23.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.29%E -0.765%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-27 16:45
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.29%E -6.10%K -23.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.29%E -0.765%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-27 09:10
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.29%E -6.10%K -23.04%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -6.20%E -2.15%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-27 16:55
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.29%E -6.10%K -23.04%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -6.20%E -2.15%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-27 16:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -8.29%E -6.10%K -23.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-27 16:55
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.97%E -6.64%K -25.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -2.29%E -0.765%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-27 08:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.97%E -6.64%K -25.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -2.29%E -0.765%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-27 09:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -9.64%E -7.20%K -28.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV +4.22%E +1.32%K +1.92%G +0.081%5.9%2026-07-27 16:55
Casumo🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -9.64%E -7.20%K -28.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV +4.22%E +1.32%K +1.92%G +0.081%5.9%2026-07-27 16:55
betPARX🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -9.64%E -7.20%K -28.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV +4.22%E +1.32%K +1.92%G +0.081%5.9%2026-07-27 16:55
Unibet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -9.64%E -7.20%K -28.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV +4.22%E +1.32%K +1.92%G +0.081%5.9%2026-07-27 16:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -9.64%E -7.20%K -28.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV +4.22%E +1.32%K +1.92%G +0.081%5.9%2026-07-27 16:55
BetRivers🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -9.64%E -7.20%K -28.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV +4.22%E +1.32%K +1.92%G +0.081%5.9%2026-07-27 16:55
Fliff🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.40%EV -9.64%E -7.20%K -28.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -5.55%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-27 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -10.32%E -7.76%K -31.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +5.85%E +1.80%K +2.60%G +0.152%6.0%2026-07-27 16:55
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -10.32%E -7.76%K -31.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +5.85%E +1.80%K +2.60%G +0.152%6.0%2026-07-27 16:51
Grosvenor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -10.32%E -7.76%K -31.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV +2.59%E +0.822%K +1.20%G +0.031%6.9%2026-07-27 16:55
TABtouch🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -10.32%E -7.76%K -31.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV +2.59%E +0.822%K +1.20%G +0.031%6.9%2026-07-27 16:55
SportsBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -10.99%E -8.33%K -34.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV +4.22%E +1.32%K +1.92%G +0.081%7.0%2026-07-27 16:55
NordicBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -10.99%E -8.33%K -34.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV +4.22%E +1.32%K +1.92%G +0.081%7.0%2026-07-27 16:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -10.99%E -8.33%K -34.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV +0.962%E +0.310%K +0.458%G +0.004%8.0%2026-07-27 16:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -10.99%E -8.33%K -34.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV +0.962%E +0.310%K +0.458%G +0.004%8.0%2026-07-27 16:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 67.57%EV -10.99%E -8.33%K -34.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.44%E -3.80%K -5.96%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-27 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.11%EV -12.34%E -9.49%K -41.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%EV -0.666%E -0.218%K -0.325%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-27 16:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57%0.3%2026-07-27 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%0.8%2026-07-27 16:55
ProphetX1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%4.7%2026-07-27 16:55
Novig1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%4.9%2026-07-27 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%5.1%2026-07-27 16:55
Smarkets1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%5.1%2026-07-27 16:55
Matchbook1.25I 80.00%NM 67.36%2.58I 38.76%NM 32.64%18.8%2026-07-27 16:55