Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Emma Navarro v Sofia Kenin

Inicio: 2026-07-27 17:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Emma Navarro (Local)

Predicción 67.43%1.48momio equitativo
EV +7.89%
Ventaja +4.93%
Kelly +13.15%
Crecimiento +1.04%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.44%66.94%67.83%70.96%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.301.371.361.6076.92%72.79%73.53%62.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Sofia Kenin (Visitante)

Predicción 32.57%3.07momio equitativo
EV +5.85%
Ventaja +1.80%
Kelly +2.60%
Crecimiento +0.152%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.04%33.06%32.17%41.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.252.973.003.2544.44%33.61%33.33%30.77%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Emma Navarro (Local): 67.43%; Sofia Kenin (Visitante): 32.57%. Para Emma Navarro (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.48. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 1.60, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +7.89%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV +7.89%E +4.93%K +13.15%G +1.04%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -26.72%E -11.88%K -21.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-27 16:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV +1.15%E +0.765%K +2.29%G +0.026%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -15.32%E -5.89%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 16:55
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV +1.15%E +0.765%K +2.29%G +0.026%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -18.58%E -7.43%K -12.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-27 16:54
theScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -0.876%E -0.596%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -15.32%E -5.89%K -9.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-27 16:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -0.876%E -0.596%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -16.95%E -6.65%K -10.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-27 16:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -2.22%E -1.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -20.21%E -8.25%K -13.94%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-27 16:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.17%EV -3.57%E -2.50%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.83%EV -23.46%E -9.98%K -17.38%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-27 16:55
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.29%E -0.765%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 16:55
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.29%E -0.765%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 16:55
DraftKings🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -4.25%E -1.45%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 16:55
TAB🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-27 13:26
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.44%E -3.80%K -5.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-27 16:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.60%E -4.00%K -13.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.44%E -3.80%K -5.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-27 16:55
Pinnacle🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04%EV -6.27%E -4.51%K -16.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%EV +5.85%E +1.80%K +2.60%G +0.152%2.7%2026-07-27 16:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.94%E -5.03%K -18.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -3.92%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 16:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.94%E -5.03%K -18.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -3.92%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 16:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.94%E -5.03%K -18.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -3.92%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 16:55
Neds🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.94%E -5.03%K -18.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -5.55%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-27 08:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.94%E -5.03%K -18.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -5.55%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-27 08:55
Bally Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -6.94%E -5.03%K -18.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-27 16:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.09%EV -7.62%E -5.56%K -20.59%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.91%EV +4.54%E +1.42%K +2.06%G +0.093%4.1%2026-07-27 09:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.09%EV -7.62%E -5.56%K -20.59%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.91%EV +4.54%E +1.42%K +2.06%G +0.093%4.1%2026-07-27 09:45
FanDuel🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -7.62%E -5.56%K -20.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV +0.962%E +0.310%K +0.458%G +0.004%5.3%2026-07-27 16:55
Betsson🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -7.62%E -5.56%K -20.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -5.55%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-27 16:55
BetAnything🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -8.29%E -6.10%K -23.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +5.85%E +1.80%K +2.60%G +0.152%4.3%2026-07-27 16:40
BetUS🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -8.29%E -6.10%K -23.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +4.22%E +1.32%K +1.92%G +0.081%4.8%2026-07-27 16:45
Bet Right🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -8.29%E -6.10%K -23.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +2.59%E +0.822%K +1.20%G +0.031%5.3%2026-07-27 16:45
ReBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -8.29%E -6.10%K -23.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +2.59%E +0.822%K +1.20%G +0.031%5.3%2026-07-27 15:10
1xBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -8.29%E -6.10%K -23.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +2.59%E +0.822%K +1.20%G +0.031%5.3%2026-07-27 16:35
Fanatics🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.29%E -6.10%K -23.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.962%E +0.310%K +0.458%G +0.004%5.8%2026-07-27 14:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -8.29%E -6.10%K -23.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -0.666%E -0.218%K -0.325%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-27 08:50
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.29%E -6.10%K -23.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.29%E -0.765%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-27 16:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.29%E -6.10%K -23.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.29%E -0.765%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-27 16:45
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.29%E -6.10%K -23.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.29%E -0.765%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-27 16:45
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.29%E -6.10%K -23.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.29%E -0.765%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-27 09:10
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.29%E -6.10%K -23.04%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -6.20%E -2.15%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-27 16:55
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.29%E -6.10%K -23.04%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -6.20%E -2.15%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-27 16:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -8.29%E -6.10%K -23.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-27 16:55
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.97%E -6.64%K -25.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -2.29%E -0.765%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-27 08:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.97%E -6.64%K -25.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -2.29%E -0.765%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-27 09:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -9.64%E -7.20%K -28.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV +4.22%E +1.32%K +1.92%G +0.081%5.9%2026-07-27 16:55
Casumo🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -9.64%E -7.20%K -28.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV +4.22%E +1.32%K +1.92%G +0.081%5.9%2026-07-27 16:55
betPARX🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -9.64%E -7.20%K -28.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV +4.22%E +1.32%K +1.92%G +0.081%5.9%2026-07-27 16:55
Unibet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -9.64%E -7.20%K -28.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV +4.22%E +1.32%K +1.92%G +0.081%5.9%2026-07-27 16:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -9.64%E -7.20%K -28.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV +4.22%E +1.32%K +1.92%G +0.081%5.9%2026-07-27 16:55
BetRivers🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -9.64%E -7.20%K -28.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV +4.22%E +1.32%K +1.92%G +0.081%5.9%2026-07-27 16:55
Fliff🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.40%EV -9.64%E -7.20%K -28.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -5.55%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-27 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -10.32%E -7.76%K -31.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +5.85%E +1.80%K +2.60%G +0.152%6.0%2026-07-27 16:55
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -10.32%E -7.76%K -31.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +5.85%E +1.80%K +2.60%G +0.152%6.0%2026-07-27 16:51
Grosvenor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -10.32%E -7.76%K -31.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV +2.59%E +0.822%K +1.20%G +0.031%6.9%2026-07-27 16:55
TABtouch🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -10.32%E -7.76%K -31.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV +2.59%E +0.822%K +1.20%G +0.031%6.9%2026-07-27 16:55
SportsBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -10.99%E -8.33%K -34.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV +4.22%E +1.32%K +1.92%G +0.081%7.0%2026-07-27 16:55
NordicBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -10.99%E -8.33%K -34.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV +4.22%E +1.32%K +1.92%G +0.081%7.0%2026-07-27 16:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -10.99%E -8.33%K -34.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV +0.962%E +0.310%K +0.458%G +0.004%8.0%2026-07-27 16:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -10.99%E -8.33%K -34.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV +0.962%E +0.310%K +0.458%G +0.004%8.0%2026-07-27 16:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 67.57%EV -10.99%E -8.33%K -34.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.44%E -3.80%K -5.96%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-27 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.11%EV -12.34%E -9.49%K -41.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%EV -0.666%E -0.218%K -0.325%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-27 16:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57%0.3%2026-07-27 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%0.8%2026-07-27 16:55
ProphetX1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%4.7%2026-07-27 16:55
Novig1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%4.9%2026-07-27 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%5.1%2026-07-27 16:55
Smarkets1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%5.1%2026-07-27 16:55
Matchbook1.25I 80.00%NM 67.36%2.58I 38.76%NM 32.64%18.8%2026-07-27 16:55