La escuela de los momios

Emma Navarro v Sofia Kenin

2026-07-27 17:00 UTC — WTA Washington Open

Resultado del partido

39 corredores (11 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Emma Navarro (Local)

Predicción 70.10%1.43momio equitativo
EV -1.86%
Ventaja -1.33%
Kelly -4.65%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.44%70.11%70.00%71.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.301.351.361.4076.92%73.81%73.53%71.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Sofia Kenin (Visitante)

Predicción 29.90%3.34momio equitativo
EV -2.52%
Ventaja -0.774%
Kelly -1.12%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.26

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.79%29.89%30.00%32.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.153.153.2634.48%31.70%31.75%30.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (39 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -1.86%E -1.33%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -13.29%E -4.58%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-27 07:00
Pinnacle1.38I 72.46%NM 69.93%EV -3.26%E -2.36%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.07%EV -4.02%E -1.25%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-27 01:40
BetOnline.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -2.52%E -0.774%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-27 01:55
LowVig.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -2.52%E -0.774%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-27 02:05
BetAnything1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.82%E -0.868%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 01:45
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.32%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 05:35
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.32%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 01:55
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.32%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 02:00
BetUS1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.32%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 05:25
ATG (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.81%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 01:40
Bally Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.81%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 01:45
Casumo1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.81%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 02:00
Grosvenor1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.81%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 02:00
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.81%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 02:01
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.81%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 02:05
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.81%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 02:05
Unibet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.81%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 02:05
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.81%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 02:35
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.81%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 02:35
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.81%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 02:35
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.81%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 02:50
Bet Right1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.81%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 02:55
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.81%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 03:10
theScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.31%E -2.36%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 05:00
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.31%E -2.36%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 02:45
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.31%E -2.36%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 02:50
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.31%E -2.36%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 03:25
Neds1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.30%E -3.43%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-27 02:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.30%E -3.43%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-27 02:55
DraftKings1.35I 74.07%NM 70.59%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.33%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.41%EV -3.12%E -0.963%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-27 02:50
Betway1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.32%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 01:55
Betr (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.81%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 03:00
PointsBet (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.81%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 03:00
ReBet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.07%E -4.53%K -17.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -7.31%E -2.36%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-27 04:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.82%E -0.868%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 01:50
FanDuel1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.82%E -0.868%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 01:55
PMU (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -8.80%E -2.89%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-27 03:25
SportsBet1.31I 76.34%NM 71.21%EV -8.17%E -6.24%K -26.36%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.79%EV -3.12%E -0.963%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-27 02:35
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.87%E -6.82%K -29.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.32%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-27 02:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-07-27 07:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-07-27 07:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-07-27 07:45
ProphetX1.38I 72.46%NM 70.82%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18%2.3%2026-07-27 07:45
Novig1.36I 73.53%NM 71.00%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.00%3.6%2026-07-27 07:10