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Elisabetta Cocciaretto v Naomi Osaka
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Elisabetta Cocciaretto (Local)
Prediction 17.72%5.64fair odd
EV +2.76%
Edge +0.475%
Kelly +0.575%
Growth +0.016%
assuming max odds 5.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.43%17.94%17.56%20.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.605.125.205.8021.74%19.52%19.23%17.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Naomi Osaka (Visit)
Prediction 82.28%1.22fair odd
EV -2.08%
Edge -1.75%
Kelly -10.96%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.19
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.72%82.06%82.44%83.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.111.161.151.1990.09%86.30%86.96%84.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Elisabetta Cocciaretto (Local): 17.72%; Naomi Osaka (Visit): 82.28%. For Elisabetta Cocciaretto (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.64. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.76%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +2.76%E +0.475%K +0.575%G +0.016% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -6.20%E -5.44%K -44.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-31 17:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.91%EV +0.986%E +0.173%K +0.210%G +0.002% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.09%EV -4.55%E -3.92%K -28.45%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-31 14:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.68I 17.61%NM 17.20%EV +0.632%E +0.111%K +0.135%G +0.001% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.80%EV -2.91%E -2.46%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-31 17:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -0.786%E -0.140%K -0.171%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.55%E -3.92%K -28.45%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-31 16:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -0.786%E -0.140%K -0.171%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.55%E -3.92%K -28.45%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-31 16:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.04%EV -1.67%E -0.301%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.96%EV -6.20%E -5.44%K -44.27%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-31 17:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -2.56%E -0.465%K -0.568%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.37%E -4.67%K -35.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-31 14:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -2.56%E -0.465%K -0.568%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.37%E -4.67%K -35.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-30 20:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -2.56%E -0.465%K -0.568%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.37%E -4.67%K -35.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-31 15:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.56%E -0.465%K -0.568%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.20%E -5.44%K -44.27%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-31 15:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.56%E -0.465%K -0.568%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.20%E -5.44%K -44.27%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-31 16:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.56%E -0.465%K -0.568%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.20%E -5.44%K -44.27%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-31 16:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -2.56%E -0.465%K -0.568%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -7.02%E -6.21%K -54.00%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-31 15:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -2.56%E -0.465%K -0.568%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -7.02%E -6.21%K -54.00%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-30 11:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -2.56%E -0.465%K -0.568%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -7.02%E -6.21%K -54.00%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-30 11:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -2.56%E -0.465%K -0.568%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.84%E -7.00%K -65.36%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-31 16:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -2.56%E -0.465%K -0.568%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.84%E -7.00%K -65.36%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-30 13:28 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.33%E -0.802%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.37%E -4.67%K -35.83%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-31 16:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.33%E -0.802%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.37%E -4.67%K -35.83%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-31 14:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.33%E -0.802%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.37%E -4.67%K -35.83%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-31 15:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.33%E -0.802%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.37%E -4.67%K -35.83%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-31 14:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.33%E -0.802%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.37%E -4.67%K -35.83%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-31 15:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -4.33%E -0.802%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -7.02%E -6.21%K -54.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-31 15:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -6.10%E -1.15%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -3.73%E -3.19%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-31 18:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -6.10%E -1.15%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -7.02%E -6.21%K -54.00%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-31 17:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -6.99%E -1.33%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.55%E -3.92%K -28.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-31 18:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.99%E -1.33%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.37%E -4.67%K -35.83%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-31 16:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.99%E -1.33%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.37%E -4.67%K -35.83%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-31 16:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.99%E -1.33%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.37%E -4.67%K -35.83%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-31 15:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.45%EV -6.99%E -1.33%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.55%EV -8.67%E -7.81%K -78.78%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-31 18:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -7.87%E -1.51%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.20%E -5.44%K -44.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-31 17:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.42%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.73%E -3.19%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-31 15:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -11.42%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.55%E -3.92%K -28.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-31 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -11.42%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.55%E -3.92%K -28.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-30 11:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -11.42%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.55%E -3.92%K -28.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-30 11:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -11.42%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.37%E -4.67%K -35.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-31 15:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.03%EV -14.07%E -2.90%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.97%EV -6.20%E -5.44%K -44.27%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-31 18:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.08%E -1.75%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-31 15:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.08%E -1.75%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-31 15:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.08%E -1.75%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-31 15:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.08%E -1.75%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-31 15:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.08%E -1.75%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-31 15:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.08%E -1.75%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-31 15:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.08%E -1.75%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-31 15:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.08%E -1.75%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-31 15:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.08%E -1.75%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-31 16:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.08%E -1.75%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-31 15:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.08%E -1.75%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-31 15:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.08%E -1.75%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-31 16:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.08%E -1.75%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-31 15:54 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -2.91%E -2.46%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-31 17:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -2.91%E -2.46%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-31 17:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.37%E -4.67%K -35.83%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-31 18:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.37%E -4.67%K -35.83%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-31 17:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.37%E -4.67%K -35.83%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-31 15:48 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.37%E -4.67%K -35.83%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-31 18:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.37%E -4.67%K -35.83%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-31 18:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.37%E -4.67%K -35.83%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-31 18:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -16.73%E -3.56%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -2.91%E -2.46%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-31 15:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -16.73%E -3.56%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -2.91%E -2.46%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-31 15:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -18.50%E -4.02%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -3.73%E -3.19%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-31 15:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.78% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.22% | 0.6% | 2026-07-31 18:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94% | 0.6% | 2026-07-31 18:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94% | 0.6% | 2026-07-31 18:05 |
| Novig◎ | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12% | 0.7% | 2026-07-31 17:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 0.9% | 2026-07-31 18:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 0.9% | 2026-07-31 18:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 1.1% | 2026-07-31 18:00 |
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