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Elisabetta Cocciaretto v Naomi Osaka
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Elisabetta Cocciaretto (Local)
Predicción 17.72%5.64momio equitativo
EV +2.76%
Ventaja +0.475%
Kelly +0.575%
Crecimiento +0.016%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.43%17.94%17.56%20.28%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.605.125.205.8021.74%19.52%19.23%17.24%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Naomi Osaka (Visitante)
Predicción 82.28%1.22momio equitativo
EV -2.08%
Ventaja -1.75%
Kelly -10.96%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.19
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
79.72%82.06%82.44%83.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.111.161.151.1990.09%86.30%86.96%84.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Elisabetta Cocciaretto (Local): 17.72%; Naomi Osaka (Visitante): 82.28%. Para Elisabetta Cocciaretto (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.64. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.80, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.76%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +2.76%E +0.475%K +0.575%G +0.016% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -6.20%E -5.44%K -44.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-31 17:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.91%EV +0.986%E +0.173%K +0.210%G +0.002% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.09%EV -4.55%E -3.92%K -28.45%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-31 14:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.68I 17.61%NM 17.20%EV +0.632%E +0.111%K +0.135%G +0.001% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.80%EV -2.91%E -2.46%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-31 17:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -0.786%E -0.140%K -0.171%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.55%E -3.92%K -28.45%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-31 16:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -0.786%E -0.140%K -0.171%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.55%E -3.92%K -28.45%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-31 16:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.04%EV -1.67%E -0.301%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.96%EV -6.20%E -5.44%K -44.27%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-31 17:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -2.56%E -0.465%K -0.568%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.37%E -4.67%K -35.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-31 14:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -2.56%E -0.465%K -0.568%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.37%E -4.67%K -35.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-30 20:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -2.56%E -0.465%K -0.568%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.37%E -4.67%K -35.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-31 15:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.56%E -0.465%K -0.568%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.20%E -5.44%K -44.27%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-31 15:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.56%E -0.465%K -0.568%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.20%E -5.44%K -44.27%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-31 16:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.56%E -0.465%K -0.568%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.20%E -5.44%K -44.27%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-31 16:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -2.56%E -0.465%K -0.568%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -7.02%E -6.21%K -54.00%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-31 15:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -2.56%E -0.465%K -0.568%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -7.02%E -6.21%K -54.00%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-30 11:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -2.56%E -0.465%K -0.568%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -7.02%E -6.21%K -54.00%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-30 11:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -2.56%E -0.465%K -0.568%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.84%E -7.00%K -65.36%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-31 16:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -2.56%E -0.465%K -0.568%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.84%E -7.00%K -65.36%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-30 13:28 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.33%E -0.802%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.37%E -4.67%K -35.83%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-31 16:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.33%E -0.802%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.37%E -4.67%K -35.83%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-31 14:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.33%E -0.802%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.37%E -4.67%K -35.83%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-31 15:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.33%E -0.802%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.37%E -4.67%K -35.83%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-31 14:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.33%E -0.802%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.37%E -4.67%K -35.83%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-31 15:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -4.33%E -0.802%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -7.02%E -6.21%K -54.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-31 15:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -6.10%E -1.15%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -3.73%E -3.19%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-31 18:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -6.10%E -1.15%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -7.02%E -6.21%K -54.00%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-31 17:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -6.99%E -1.33%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.55%E -3.92%K -28.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-31 18:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.99%E -1.33%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.37%E -4.67%K -35.83%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-31 16:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.99%E -1.33%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.37%E -4.67%K -35.83%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-31 16:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.99%E -1.33%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.37%E -4.67%K -35.83%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-31 15:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.45%EV -6.99%E -1.33%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.55%EV -8.67%E -7.81%K -78.78%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-31 18:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -7.87%E -1.51%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.20%E -5.44%K -44.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-31 17:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.42%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.73%E -3.19%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-31 15:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -11.42%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.55%E -3.92%K -28.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-31 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -11.42%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.55%E -3.92%K -28.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-30 11:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -11.42%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.55%E -3.92%K -28.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-30 11:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -11.42%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.37%E -4.67%K -35.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-31 15:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.03%EV -14.07%E -2.90%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.97%EV -6.20%E -5.44%K -44.27%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-31 18:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.08%E -1.75%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-31 15:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.08%E -1.75%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-31 15:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.08%E -1.75%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-31 15:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.08%E -1.75%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-31 15:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.08%E -1.75%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-31 15:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.08%E -1.75%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-31 15:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.08%E -1.75%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-31 15:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.08%E -1.75%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-31 15:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.08%E -1.75%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-31 16:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.08%E -1.75%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-31 15:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.08%E -1.75%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-31 15:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.08%E -1.75%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-31 16:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.08%E -1.75%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-31 15:54 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -2.91%E -2.46%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-31 17:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -2.91%E -2.46%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-31 17:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.37%E -4.67%K -35.83%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-31 18:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.37%E -4.67%K -35.83%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-31 17:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.37%E -4.67%K -35.83%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-31 15:48 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.37%E -4.67%K -35.83%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-31 18:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.37%E -4.67%K -35.83%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-31 18:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.37%E -4.67%K -35.83%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-31 18:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -16.73%E -3.56%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -2.91%E -2.46%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-31 15:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -16.73%E -3.56%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -2.91%E -2.46%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-31 15:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -18.50%E -4.02%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -3.73%E -3.19%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-31 15:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.78% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.22% | 0.6% | 2026-07-31 18:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94% | 0.6% | 2026-07-31 18:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94% | 0.6% | 2026-07-31 18:05 |
| Novig◎ | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12% | 0.7% | 2026-07-31 17:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 0.9% | 2026-07-31 18:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 0.9% | 2026-07-31 18:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 1.1% | 2026-07-31 18:00 |