默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Elisabetta Cocciaretto v Naomi Osaka

开赛时间: 2026-07-31 18:08 UTC

最终结果: Elisabetta Cocciaretto 1–2 Naomi Osaka

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

61 家博彩公司 (18 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Elisabetta Cocciaretto (主队)

预测 17.72%5.64公平赔率
EV +2.76%
优势 +0.475%
Kelly +0.575%
增长率 +0.016%

假设最高赔率为 5.80

博彩公司预测分布
16.43%17.94%17.56%20.28%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.605.125.205.8021.74%19.52%19.23%17.24%最小值均值中位数最大值

Naomi Osaka (客队)

预测 82.28%1.22公平赔率
EV -2.08%
优势 -1.75%
Kelly -10.96%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.19

博彩公司预测分布
79.72%82.06%82.44%83.57%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.111.161.151.1990.09%86.30%86.96%84.03%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Elisabetta Cocciaretto (主队):17.72%;Naomi Osaka (客队):82.28%。 对于“Elisabetta Cocciaretto (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.64。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为5.80,对应+2.76%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (61 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
FanDuel🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +2.76%E +0.475%K +0.575%G +0.016%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -6.20%E -5.44%K -44.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 17:55
Winamax (DE)🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.91%EV +0.986%E +0.173%K +0.210%G +0.002%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.09%EV -4.55%E -3.92%K -28.45%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-31 14:19
Pinnacle🎯5.68I 17.61%NM 17.20%EV +0.632%E +0.111%K +0.135%G +0.001%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.80%EV -2.91%E -2.46%K -16.14%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-31 17:40
LowVig.ag🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -0.786%E -0.140%K -0.171%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.55%E -3.92%K -28.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-31 16:00
BetOnline.ag🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -0.786%E -0.140%K -0.171%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.55%E -3.92%K -28.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-31 16:00
1xBet🎯5.55I 18.02%NM 17.04%EV -1.67%E -0.301%K -0.367%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.96%EV -6.20%E -5.44%K -44.27%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-31 17:59
Unibet (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -2.56%E -0.465%K -0.568%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.37%E -4.67%K -35.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 14:20
Betway🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -2.56%E -0.465%K -0.568%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.37%E -4.67%K -35.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 20:14
Bovada🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -2.56%E -0.465%K -0.568%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.37%E -4.67%K -35.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 15:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.56%E -0.465%K -0.568%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.20%E -5.44%K -44.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 15:55
betfred_uk🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.56%E -0.465%K -0.568%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.20%E -5.44%K -44.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 16:10
BetUS🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.56%E -0.465%K -0.568%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.20%E -5.44%K -44.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 16:19
Sky Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -2.56%E -0.465%K -0.568%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -7.02%E -6.21%K -54.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-31 15:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -2.56%E -0.465%K -0.568%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -7.02%E -6.21%K -54.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-30 11:05
Coral🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -2.56%E -0.465%K -0.568%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -7.02%E -6.21%K -54.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-30 11:10
Paddy Power🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -2.56%E -0.465%K -0.568%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.84%E -7.00%K -65.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-31 16:00
Caesars🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -2.56%E -0.465%K -0.568%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.84%E -7.00%K -65.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-30 13:28
Betsson🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.33%E -0.802%K -0.984%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.37%E -4.67%K -35.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-31 16:00
Fanatics🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.33%E -0.802%K -0.984%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.37%E -4.67%K -35.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-31 14:20
NordicBet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.33%E -0.802%K -0.984%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.37%E -4.67%K -35.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-31 15:55
Winamax (FR)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.33%E -0.802%K -0.984%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.37%E -4.67%K -35.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-31 14:19
ReBet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.33%E -0.802%K -0.984%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.37%E -4.67%K -35.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-31 15:55
SportsBet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -4.33%E -0.802%K -0.984%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -7.02%E -6.21%K -54.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-31 15:59
DraftKings🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -6.10%E -1.15%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -3.73%E -3.19%K -21.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 18:04
NetBet (FR)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -6.10%E -1.15%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -7.02%E -6.21%K -54.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-31 17:35
Bet Right🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -6.99%E -1.33%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.55%E -3.92%K -28.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 18:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.99%E -1.33%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.37%E -4.67%K -35.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-31 16:10
Betr (AU)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.99%E -1.33%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.37%E -4.67%K -35.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-31 16:10
BetAnything🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.99%E -1.33%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.37%E -4.67%K -35.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-31 15:10
Betclic (FR)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.45%EV -6.99%E -1.33%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 82.55%EV -8.67%E -7.81%K -78.78%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-31 18:05
Unibet (FR)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -7.87%E -1.51%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.20%E -5.44%K -44.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-31 17:35
BoyleSports🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.42%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.73%E -3.19%K -21.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-31 15:20
theScore Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -11.42%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.55%E -3.92%K -28.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-31 16:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -11.42%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.55%E -3.92%K -28.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-30 11:05
Neds🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -11.42%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.55%E -3.92%K -28.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-30 11:05
TAB🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -11.42%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.37%E -4.67%K -35.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-31 15:50
Fliff🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.03%EV -14.07%E -2.90%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 80.97%EV -6.20%E -5.44%K -44.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-31 18:05
Unibet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.08%E -1.75%K -10.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 15:54
Unibet (SE)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.08%E -1.75%K -10.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 15:55
Grosvenor🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.08%E -1.75%K -10.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 15:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.08%E -1.75%K -10.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 15:55
Unibet (NL)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.08%E -1.75%K -10.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 15:55
BetRivers🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.08%E -1.75%K -10.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 15:55
Casumo🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.08%E -1.75%K -10.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 15:55
TABtouch🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.08%E -1.75%K -10.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 15:55
Bally Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.08%E -1.75%K -10.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 16:00
Svenska Spel🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.08%E -1.75%K -10.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 15:54
ATG (SE)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.08%E -1.75%K -10.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 15:55
betPARX🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.08%E -1.75%K -10.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 16:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.08%E -1.75%K -10.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 15:54
Dabble (AU)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -2.91%E -2.46%K -16.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-31 17:50
PlayUp🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -2.91%E -2.46%K -16.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-31 17:50
William Hill🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.37%E -4.67%K -35.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-31 18:04
Bet Victor🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.37%E -4.67%K -35.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-31 17:59
betano_uk🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.37%E -4.67%K -35.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-31 15:48
888sport🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.37%E -4.67%K -35.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-31 18:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.37%E -4.67%K -35.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-31 18:05
888sport (SE)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -15.85%E -3.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.37%E -4.67%K -35.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-31 18:05
LiveScore Bet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -16.73%E -3.56%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -2.91%E -2.46%K -16.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-31 15:55
Virgin Bet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -16.73%E -3.56%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -2.91%E -2.46%K -16.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-31 15:54
PMU (FR)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -18.50%E -4.02%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -3.73%E -3.19%K -21.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-31 15:55
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (7)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
ProphetX6.30I 15.87%NM 15.78%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.22%0.6%2026-07-31 18:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94%0.6%2026-07-31 18:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94%0.6%2026-07-31 18:05
Novig6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12%0.7%2026-07-31 17:45
Smarkets6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%0.9%2026-07-31 18:05
Matchbook6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%0.9%2026-07-31 18:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%1.1%2026-07-31 18:00