Language:English
Cristina Bucsa v Polina Kudermetova
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cristina Bucsa (Local)
Prediction 43.84%2.28fair odd
EV -1.35%
Edge -0.601%
Kelly -1.08%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.31%43.83%43.84%45.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.022.132.122.2549.50%46.96%47.17%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Polina Kudermetova (Visit)
Prediction 56.16%1.78fair odd
EV -1.73%
Edge -0.986%
Kelly -2.30%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.01%56.17%56.16%57.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.701.701.7561.73%58.75%58.82%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cristina Bucsa (Local): 43.84%; Polina Kudermetova (Visit): 56.16%. For Cristina Bucsa (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.28. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.25, with an expected value of -1.35%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.35%E -0.601%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 14:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.23%E -1.000%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.66%E -3.37%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-28 14:53 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65%EV -2.67%E -1.20%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35%EV -3.41%E -1.98%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-28 15:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -2.67%E -1.20%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -5.66%E -3.37%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-28 14:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-28 10:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-28 10:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.53%E -2.67%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-28 10:38 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.09%E -3.01%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-28 15:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.22%E -3.72%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 15:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-28 14:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-28 14:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.42%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.53%E -2.67%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 11:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.42%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.66%E -3.37%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 15:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.42%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.66%E -3.37%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 15:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.42%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.66%E -3.37%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 15:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.42%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.66%E -3.37%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 15:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.42%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.66%E -3.37%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 15:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.86%E -2.24%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.53%E -2.67%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-28 11:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.86%E -2.24%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.53%E -2.67%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-28 14:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.85%E -1.65%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-28 05:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 14:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.09%E -3.01%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 11:14 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.09%E -3.01%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 14:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.66%E -3.37%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 11:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.66%E -3.37%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 10:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.22%E -3.72%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-28 11:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -9.03%E -5.57%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-28 15:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.18%E -2.89%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-28 14:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -6.18%E -2.89%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -5.09%E -3.01%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-28 14:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -7.05%E -3.33%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-28 14:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.93%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.29%E -1.31%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 10:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.93%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.85%E -1.65%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 02:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.93%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.85%E -1.65%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 02:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.93%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.85%E -1.65%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 02:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.93%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.85%E -1.65%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 02:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.93%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.85%E -1.65%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 04:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.93%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.41%E -1.98%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 04:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.93%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-28 14:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.93%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-28 15:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.93%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.53%E -2.67%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-28 14:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.93%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.53%E -2.67%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-28 04:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.93%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.22%E -3.72%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-28 14:43 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.93%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.22%E -3.72%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-28 04:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.93%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.22%E -3.72%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-28 04:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.93%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.22%E -3.72%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-28 14:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -9.24%E -4.47%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -1.73%E -0.986%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-28 00:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -9.24%E -4.47%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -1.73%E -0.986%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-28 00:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -9.24%E -4.47%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -1.73%E -0.986%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-28 00:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -9.24%E -4.47%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -1.73%E -0.986%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-28 00:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -9.24%E -4.47%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -1.73%E -0.986%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-28 00:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -9.24%E -4.47%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -1.73%E -0.986%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-28 00:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -9.24%E -4.47%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -1.73%E -0.986%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-28 00:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -10.12%E -4.94%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.29%E -1.31%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-28 00:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -10.12%E -4.94%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.29%E -1.31%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-28 00:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -10.12%E -4.94%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -3.41%E -1.98%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-28 04:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -10.12%E -4.94%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -3.41%E -1.98%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-28 04:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.12%E -4.94%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.53%E -2.67%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-28 04:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.12%E -4.94%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.53%E -2.67%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-28 04:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -11.44%E -5.66%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -3.41%E -1.98%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-28 00:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 0.5% | 2026-07-28 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 0.5% | 2026-07-28 14:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 0.9% | 2026-07-28 15:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 0.9% | 2026-07-28 15:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36% | 2.0% | 2026-07-28 15:00 |
| Novig◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89% | 2.2% | 2026-07-28 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14% | 2.3% | 2026-07-28 15:00 |
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