La escuela de los momios

Cristina Bucsa v Polina Kudermetova

2026-07-28 15:00 UTC — WTA Washington Open

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Cristina Bucsa (Local)

Predicción 52.54%1.90momio equitativo
EV -2.80%
Ventaja -1.51%
Kelly -3.29%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.80%52.44%52.58%53.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.711.791.801.8558.48%55.82%55.56%54.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Polina Kudermetova (Visitante)

Predicción 47.46%2.11momio equitativo
EV -2.71%
Ventaja -1.32%
Kelly -2.58%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.05%47.56%47.42%49.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.871.971.962.0553.48%50.85%51.02%48.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -2.80%E -1.51%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -9.35%E -4.90%K -10.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 12:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -2.80%E -1.51%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -9.35%E -4.90%K -10.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 12:30
1xBet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -3.32%E -1.81%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -6.98%E -3.56%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 12:55
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.85%E -2.10%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.35%E -4.90%K -10.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-27 12:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.85%E -2.10%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.35%E -4.90%K -10.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-27 12:30
Bet Right1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.37%E -2.40%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.08%E -2.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-27 12:25
FanDuel1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.90%E -2.71%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.13%E -2.05%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 12:54
Unibet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -4.90%E -2.71%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -6.51%E -3.30%K -6.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 12:15
TABtouch1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -4.90%E -2.71%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -6.98%E -3.56%K -7.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-27 12:15
Unibet (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -4.90%E -2.71%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -6.98%E -3.56%K -7.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-27 12:15
Grosvenor1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -4.90%E -2.71%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -6.98%E -3.56%K -7.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-27 12:15
Casumo1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -4.90%E -2.71%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -6.98%E -3.56%K -7.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-27 12:15
Unibet (NL)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -4.90%E -2.71%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -6.98%E -3.56%K -7.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-27 12:15
BetRivers1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -4.90%E -2.71%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -6.98%E -3.56%K -7.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-27 12:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -4.90%E -2.71%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -6.98%E -3.56%K -7.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-27 12:15
Bally Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -4.90%E -2.71%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -6.98%E -3.56%K -7.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-27 12:15
Svenska Spel1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -4.90%E -2.71%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -6.98%E -3.56%K -7.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-27 12:15
ATG (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -4.90%E -2.71%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -6.98%E -3.56%K -7.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-27 12:15
betPARX1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -4.90%E -2.71%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -6.98%E -3.56%K -7.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-27 12:15
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -5.43%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -3.66%E -1.80%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 12:25
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.43%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.08%E -2.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 12:20
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.43%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.08%E -2.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 12:25
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.43%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.08%E -2.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 12:26
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.43%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.08%E -2.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 12:22
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.43%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.08%E -2.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 09:40
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.43%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.08%E -2.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 13:55
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.43%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.08%E -2.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 14:05
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.43%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.08%E -2.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 14:05
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 52.51%EV -5.43%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.49%EV -5.56%E -2.79%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 12:55
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.51%EV -5.43%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.49%EV -5.56%E -2.79%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 12:55
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.43%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.46%E -3.82%K -7.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-27 12:14
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -5.43%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -8.88%E -4.62%K -9.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-27 12:25
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.43%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.35%E -4.90%K -10.28%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-27 12:25
Betr (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -5.95%E -3.32%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -5.56%E -2.79%K -5.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 13:50
LiveScore Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -5.95%E -3.32%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -7.46%E -3.82%K -7.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-27 12:16
Virgin Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -5.95%E -3.32%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -7.46%E -3.82%K -7.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-27 12:15
SportsBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -6.48%E -3.64%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -4.13%E -2.05%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 12:55
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -6.48%E -3.64%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -6.51%E -3.30%K -6.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-27 12:55
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.00%E -3.96%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.08%E -2.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-27 12:25
PMU (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -7.00%E -3.96%K -9.09%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.84%EV -8.41%E -4.35%K -9.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-27 12:15
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.05%E -4.60%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.71%E -1.32%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-27 12:35
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.05%E -4.60%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.71%E -1.32%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-27 12:30
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.05%E -4.60%K -10.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.46%E -3.82%K -7.85%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-27 12:23
betano_uk1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.05%E -4.60%K -10.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.46%E -3.82%K -7.85%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-27 12:24
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.10%E -5.26%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.08%E -2.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-27 12:19
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.10%E -5.26%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.08%E -2.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-27 12:20
ReBet1.73I 57.80%NM 52.47%EV -9.10%E -5.26%K -12.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.53%EV -9.35%E -4.90%K -10.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-27 12:55
Betclic (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.47%EV -9.10%E -5.26%K -12.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.53%EV -9.35%E -4.90%K -10.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-27 12:55
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.22%EV -9.63%E -5.60%K -13.37%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.78%EV -10.78%E -5.73%K -12.25%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-27 12:55
Unibet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 52.23%EV -10.15%E -5.94%K -14.30%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.77%EV -11.25%E -6.02%K -12.93%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-27 12:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.82I 54.95%NM 50.27%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.73%9.3%2026-07-27 13:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.59%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.41%9.5%2026-07-27 13:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.59%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.41%9.5%2026-07-27 13:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.59%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.41%9.5%2026-07-27 13:05
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 52.38%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.62%12.3%2026-07-27 12:55