Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cristina Bucsa v Polina Kudermetova

Início: 2026-07-28 15:02 UTC

Final: Cristina Bucsa 1–2 Polina Kudermetova

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cristina Bucsa (Local)

Previsão 43.84%2.28odd justa
EV -1.35%
Vantagem -0.601%
Kelly -1.08%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.31%43.83%43.84%45.99%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.022.132.122.2549.50%46.96%47.17%44.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Polina Kudermetova (Visitante)

Previsão 56.16%1.78odd justa
EV -1.73%
Vantagem -0.986%
Kelly -2.30%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.01%56.17%56.16%57.69%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.621.701.701.7561.73%58.75%58.82%57.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Cristina Bucsa (Local): 43.84%; Polina Kudermetova (Visitante): 56.16%. Para Cristina Bucsa (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.28. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.25, com valor esperado de -1.35%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.35%E -0.601%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 14:59
Betclic (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.23%E -1.000%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.66%E -3.37%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-28 14:53
Pinnacle🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65%EV -2.67%E -1.20%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35%EV -3.41%E -1.98%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-28 15:00
1xBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -2.67%E -1.20%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -5.66%E -3.37%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 14:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-28 10:19
BetOnline.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-28 10:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.53%E -2.67%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 10:38
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.09%E -3.01%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 15:00
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.22%E -3.72%K -9.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 15:00
Betsson🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-28 14:59
NordicBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-28 14:59
FanDuel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.42%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.53%E -2.67%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 11:10
Grosvenor🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.42%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.66%E -3.37%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 15:00
BetRivers🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.42%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.66%E -3.37%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.42%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.66%E -3.37%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 15:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.42%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.66%E -3.37%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 15:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.42%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.66%E -3.37%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 15:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.86%E -2.24%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.53%E -2.67%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 11:09
ReBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.86%E -2.24%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.53%E -2.67%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 14:09
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.85%E -1.65%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 05:45
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 14:59
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.09%E -3.01%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-28 11:14
Caesars🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.09%E -3.01%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-28 14:54
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.66%E -3.37%K -8.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 11:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.66%E -3.37%K -8.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 10:39
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.22%E -3.72%K -9.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-28 11:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -9.03%E -5.57%K -14.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-28 15:00
Bet Right🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.18%E -2.89%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 14:55
DraftKings🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -6.18%E -2.89%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -5.09%E -3.01%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-28 14:59
NetBet (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -7.05%E -3.33%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-28 14:55
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.93%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.29%E -1.31%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 10:04
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.93%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.85%E -1.65%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 02:20
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.93%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.85%E -1.65%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 02:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.93%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.85%E -1.65%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 02:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.93%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.85%E -1.65%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 02:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.93%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.85%E -1.65%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 04:10
PlayUp🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.93%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.41%E -1.98%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 04:15
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.93%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-28 14:04
BetAnything🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.93%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-28 15:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.93%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.53%E -2.67%K -6.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-28 14:59
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.93%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.53%E -2.67%K -6.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-28 04:19
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.93%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.22%E -3.72%K -9.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-28 14:43
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.93%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.22%E -3.72%K -9.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-28 04:15
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.93%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.22%E -3.72%K -9.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-28 04:15
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.93%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.22%E -3.72%K -9.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-28 14:44
Unibet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -9.24%E -4.47%K -8.64%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -1.73%E -0.986%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-28 00:05
TABtouch🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -9.24%E -4.47%K -8.64%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -1.73%E -0.986%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-28 00:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -9.24%E -4.47%K -8.64%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -1.73%E -0.986%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-28 00:05
Casumo🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -9.24%E -4.47%K -8.64%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -1.73%E -0.986%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-28 00:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -9.24%E -4.47%K -8.64%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -1.73%E -0.986%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-28 00:05
Bally Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -9.24%E -4.47%K -8.64%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -1.73%E -0.986%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-28 00:00
betPARX🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -9.24%E -4.47%K -8.64%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -1.73%E -0.986%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-28 00:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -10.12%E -4.94%K -9.64%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.29%E -1.31%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-28 00:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -10.12%E -4.94%K -9.64%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.29%E -1.31%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-28 00:05
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -10.12%E -4.94%K -9.64%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -3.41%E -1.98%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-28 04:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -10.12%E -4.94%K -9.64%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -3.41%E -1.98%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-28 04:10
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.12%E -4.94%K -9.64%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.53%E -2.67%K -6.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-28 04:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.12%E -4.94%K -9.64%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.53%E -2.67%K -6.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-28 04:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -11.44%E -5.66%K -11.21%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -3.41%E -1.98%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-28 00:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-07-28 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-07-28 14:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%0.9%2026-07-28 15:00
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%0.9%2026-07-28 15:00
ProphetX2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%2.0%2026-07-28 15:00
Novig2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.2%2026-07-28 14:55
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%2.3%2026-07-28 15:00