Language:English
Anastasia Potapova v Venus Williams
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Anastasia Potapova (Local)
Prediction 84.26%1.19fair odd
EV +57.56%
Edge +30.78%
Kelly +66.16%
Growth +38.08%
assuming max odds 1.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%82.36%84.15%86.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.091.151.131.8791.74%87.31%88.50%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Venus Williams (Visit)
Prediction 15.74%6.35fair odd
EV +9.89%
Edge +1.42%
Kelly +1.65%
Growth +0.164%
assuming max odds 6.98
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.83%17.64%15.85%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.875.685.636.9853.48%17.61%17.78%14.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Anastasia Potapova (Local): 84.26%; Venus Williams (Visit): 15.74%. For Anastasia Potapova (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.19. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.87, corresponding to a positive expected value of +57.56%.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +57.56%E +30.78%K +66.16%G +38.08% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -70.56%E -37.73%K -81.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-29 01:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -1.42%E -1.21%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -21.28%E -4.26%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-28 15:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.11%E -2.70%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -13.41%E -2.44%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 17:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.11%E -2.70%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -13.41%E -2.44%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 17:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.11%E -2.70%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -13.41%E -2.44%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 17:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.11%E -2.70%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -13.41%E -2.44%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 17:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.11%E -2.70%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -13.41%E -2.44%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 17:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.11%E -2.70%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -13.41%E -2.44%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 17:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.11%E -2.70%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -13.41%E -2.44%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 17:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.11%E -2.70%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -13.41%E -2.44%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 17:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.11%E -2.70%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -13.41%E -2.44%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 17:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.11%E -2.70%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -13.41%E -2.44%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 17:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.11%E -2.70%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -13.41%E -2.44%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 17:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.11%E -2.70%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -13.41%E -2.44%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 17:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.11%E -2.70%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -13.41%E -2.44%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 17:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -3.11%E -2.70%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -17.35%E -3.30%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-29 01:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -3.11%E -2.70%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -18.13%E -3.49%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 02:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -3.11%E -2.70%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -18.13%E -3.49%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 02:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -3.11%E -2.70%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -21.28%E -4.26%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 03:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.57%EV -3.95%E -3.46%K -28.20%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV -1.60%E -0.257%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-28 07:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -3.95%E -3.46%K -28.20%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -4.75%E -0.785%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-29 01:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.95%E -3.46%K -28.20%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -13.41%E -2.44%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-28 21:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -3.95%E -3.46%K -28.20%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -16.56%E -3.12%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-27 17:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -3.95%E -3.46%K -28.20%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -16.56%E -3.12%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-27 17:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.93%EV -4.79%E -4.24%K -36.85%G +0.000% | 6.37I 15.70%NM 15.07%EV +0.286%E +0.045%K +0.053%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-29 01:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.79%E -4.24%K -36.85%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -1.60%E -0.257%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-29 00:58 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.79%E -4.24%K -36.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.54%E -0.923%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-29 00:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.79%E -4.24%K -36.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.54%E -0.923%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-29 00:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -4.79%E -4.24%K -36.85%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -7.11%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 21:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -4.79%E -4.24%K -36.85%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -8.69%E -1.50%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-29 00:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -4.79%E -4.24%K -36.85%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -8.69%E -1.50%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-29 00:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -4.79%E -4.24%K -36.85%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -8.69%E -1.50%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-29 01:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.79%E -4.24%K -36.85%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -9.47%E -1.65%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-29 00:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.79%E -4.24%K -36.85%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -9.47%E -1.65%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-28 16:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -4.79%E -4.24%K -36.85%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -17.35%E -3.30%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-27 17:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.15%EV -4.79%E -4.24%K -36.85%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -18.13%E -3.49%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-29 01:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -4.79%E -4.24%K -36.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -21.28%E -4.26%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-29 01:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.17%EV -5.63%E -5.03%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 6.98I 14.33%NM 13.83%EV +9.89%E +1.42%K +1.65%G +0.164% | 3.6% | 2026-07-29 01:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -5.63%E -5.03%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV +4.06%E +0.615%K +0.725%G +0.029% | 4.4% | 2026-07-29 00:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -5.63%E -5.03%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV +4.06%E +0.615%K +0.725%G +0.029% | 4.4% | 2026-07-29 00:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.63%E -5.03%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +2.33%E +0.359%K +0.424%G +0.010% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 05:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.63%E -5.03%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -1.60%E -0.257%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 00:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.63%E -5.03%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -1.60%E -0.257%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 01:07 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -5.63%E -5.03%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -2.39%E -0.386%K -0.460%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 01:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.63%E -5.03%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.54%E -0.923%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-29 00:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.63%E -5.03%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.54%E -0.923%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-29 01:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.63%E -5.03%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.54%E -0.923%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-29 00:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.63%E -5.03%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -9.47%E -1.65%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-29 00:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.63%E -5.03%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -9.47%E -1.65%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-27 09:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.63%E -5.03%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.41%E -2.44%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-28 21:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.63%E -5.03%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.41%E -2.44%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-28 01:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -5.63%E -5.03%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -21.28%E -4.26%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-29 01:07 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -5.63%E -5.03%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -21.28%E -4.26%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-29 01:07 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.48%E -5.83%K -58.87%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +2.33%E +0.359%K +0.424%G +0.010% | 5.5% | 2026-07-29 00:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.48%E -5.83%K -58.87%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +2.33%E +0.359%K +0.424%G +0.010% | 5.5% | 2026-07-29 00:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.48%E -5.83%K -58.87%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -5.54%E -0.923%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-29 01:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.48%E -5.83%K -58.87%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -5.54%E -0.923%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-29 01:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.05%EV -8.16%E -7.49%K -90.67%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.95%EV -2.39%E -0.386%K -0.460%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-29 01:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86% | 0.4% | 2026-07-29 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86% | 0.4% | 2026-07-29 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 0.9% | 2026-07-29 01:09 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 1.0% | 2026-07-29 01:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 1.0% | 2026-07-29 01:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.33% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.67% | 2.0% | 2026-07-29 01:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.87% | 7.41I 13.50%NM 13.13% | 2.8% | 2026-07-29 01:04 |
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